← Smart money
0x38e5…95e7
SharpEdge
+8.3pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
27% @ 18.9¢
Brier
0.157
Resolved
2835
Avg size
$22
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 30% (83/275) | +33% | 275 |
| Sports | 20% (36/179) | +81% | 179 |
| Other | 31% (11/35) | -59% | 35 |
| Tech | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Culture | 60% (3/5) | +12% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Economy | 100% (3/3) | +4% | 3 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics275 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (83/275)
- ROI
- +33%
- Sports179 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (36/179)
- ROI
- +81%
- Other35 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (11/35)
- ROI
- -59%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +12%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +4%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
27% hit · 136/508- No$2.7k @ 11.6¢
- Yes$361 @ 16.0¢
- No$35 @ 83.3¢
- Yes$7 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$1 @ 85.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.2¢
- No$90 @ 64.5¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 12.2¢
- No$439 @ 31.8¢
- Yes$212 @ 48.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 26.3¢
- Yes$95 @ 23.0¢
- No$129 @ 10.3¢
- No$11 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 85.8¢
- No$241 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 70.6¢
- No$1 @ 1.1¢
- No$59 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$46 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 68.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$38 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$112 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$21 @ 1.4¢
- No$2 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$18 @ 7.0¢
- No$6 @ 7.7¢
- Yes$106 @ 5.0¢
- No$2 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$15 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 10.9¢
- No$499 @ 18.8¢
- No$16 @ 17.3¢
- Yes$290 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$9 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 13.1¢
- Yes$41 @ 5.5¢
- No$7 @ 68.9¢
- Yes$11 @ 37.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$7.8k @ 17.7¢
- No$7.6k @ 50.4¢
- Yes$7.4k @ 52.6¢
- No$4.4k @ 20.4¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 64.7¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 21.8¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 29.3¢
- No$2.8k @ 89.6¢
- No$2.7k @ 30.2¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$2.6k @ 92.6¢
- No$2.6k @ 91.5¢
- No$2.6k @ 66.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 87.8¢
- No$2.4k @ 51.1¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 47.9¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 12.8¢
- No$2.2k @ 55.5¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 39.3¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 92.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 75.6¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 92.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 90.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 64.9¢
- Anduril IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$1.7k @ 69.1¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 91.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 82.0¢