← Smart money
0x38e5…95e7
SharpEdge
+5.8pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
33% @ 27.5¢
Brier
0.165
Resolved
4620
Avg size
$79
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 42% (295/695) | +7% | 695 |
| Sports | 22% (60/271) | +45% | 271 |
| Other | 36% (35/98) | -66% | 98 |
| Culture | 33% (6/18) | -1% | 18 |
| Tech | 22% (2/9) | -60% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Economy | 100% (3/3) | +4% | 3 |
| Science | 100% (2/2) | +162% | 2 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics695 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (295/695)
- ROI
- +7%
- Sports271 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (60/271)
- ROI
- +45%
- Other98 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (35/98)
- ROI
- -66%
- Culture18 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (6/18)
- ROI
- -1%
- Tech9 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (2/9)
- ROI
- -60%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +4%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +162%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
37% hit · 403/1102- Yes$230 @ 92.0¢
- No$2.6k @ 11.4¢
- Yes$353 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$18 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$1 @ 85.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 53.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.8¢
- No$82 @ 86.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$25 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
- No$90 @ 64.5¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 11.5¢
- No$439 @ 31.8¢
- Yes$212 @ 48.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 26.1¢
- No$107 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.7¢
- No$11 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 85.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 10.1¢
- No$241 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 70.6¢
- No$926 @ 87.5¢
- No$1 @ 1.1¢
- No$59 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$46 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 68.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$38 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$112 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$15.3k @ 76.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
- No$553 @ 86.3¢
- Yes$13 @ 14.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 89.0¢
- No$2 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$19.7k @ 98.6¢
- Yes$9.6k @ 51.7¢
- No$7.0k @ 53.2¢
- Yes$6.3k @ 63.0¢
- No$5.3k @ 97.0¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 16.9¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 59.7¢
- No$3.7k @ 98.0¢
- No$3.4k @ 96.8¢
- No$3.4k @ 52.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 24.2¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 40.6¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 21.8¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 31.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 11.1¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2.2k @ 39.7¢
- No$2.0k @ 89.6¢
- No$1.8k @ 90.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 64.9¢
- Anduril IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$1.7k @ 69.1¢
- No$1.6k @ 49.4¢
- Databricks IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$1.5k @ 58.2¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 85.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 87.8¢
- No$1.4k @ 75.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 20.3¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 27.2¢
- Vanta IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$1.0k @ 78.7¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 10.3¢