← Smart money
0xc5bd…ceaa
SharpEdge
+3.8pp
ROI
+23%
Win rate
50% @ 45.8¢
Brier
0.219
Resolved
1994
Avg size
$38
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 45% (57/127) | +19% | 127 |
| Other | 52% (55/106) | +25% | 106 |
| Sports | 53% (21/40) | +128% | 40 |
| Geopolitics | 46% (18/39) | +5% | 39 |
| Crypto | 53% (8/15) | +68% | 15 |
| Tech | 33% (2/6) | +9% | 6 |
| Economy | 67% (2/3) | -40% | 3 |
| Culture | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Science | 100% (1/1) | +174% | 1 |
- Politics127 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (57/127)
- ROI
- +19%
- Other106 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (55/106)
- ROI
- +25%
- Sports40 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (21/40)
- ROI
- +128%
- Geopolitics39 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (18/39)
- ROI
- +5%
- Crypto15 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (8/15)
- ROI
- +68%
- Tech6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- +9%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -40%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +174%
Track record
48% hit · 164/340- No$49 @ 65.9¢
- Yes$196 @ 61.8¢
- Yes$24 @ 80.0¢
- No$373 @ 60.4¢
- Yes$33 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
- No$11 @ 1.0¢
- No$6 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 52.5¢
- No$154 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 9.5¢
- No$17 @ 36.5¢
- No$8 @ 27.1¢
- Yes$74 @ 61.9¢
- Yes$135 @ 14.7¢
- No$18 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$245 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$49 @ 3.3¢
- No$20 @ 20.7¢
- No$102 @ 49.9¢
- Yes$41 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$223 @ 37.3¢
- Yes$742 @ 24.5¢
- Over$20 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$59 @ 5.6¢
- No$20 @ 87.0¢
- No$39 @ 25.6¢
- Yes$37 @ 37.0¢
- No$62 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$97 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 82.0¢
- No$263 @ 79.0¢
- No$14 @ 20.0¢
- No$9 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 57.3¢
- No$306 @ 68.7¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 63.7¢
- Yes$142 @ 16.6¢
- Germany$21 @ 40.0¢
- No$736 @ 56.6¢
- Yes$168 @ 55.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 48.0¢
- No$406 @ 78.9¢
- Yes$705 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$25 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$99 @ 48.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 3.0¢
- No$90 @ 55.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$1.6k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 65.3¢
- No$799 @ 94.0¢
- No$362 @ 92.0¢
- Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$341 @ 97.5¢
- Yes$322 @ 98.7¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$312 @ 76.0¢
- No$297 @ 98.1¢
- No$284 @ 94.5¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$198 @ 89.6¢
- Yes$196 @ 31.1¢
- Yes$181 @ 49.7¢
- Yes$155 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$144 @ 13.0¢
- No$133 @ 90.4¢
- Yes$121 @ 36.2¢
- No$108 @ 91.5¢
- No$106 @ 91.7¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$100 @ 96.8¢
- No$94 @ 93.5¢
- No$91 @ 91.0¢
- No$91 @ 94.9¢
- Yes$87 @ 13.8¢
- No$83 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 83.3¢
- No$75 @ 95.8¢
- No$69 @ 88.4¢
- No$63 @ 92.2¢
- No$62 @ 91.2¢
- No$61 @ 60.7¢