0xa6f7…8545

Specialization by sphere

• Other75 bets

  Hit rate

  77% (58/75)

  ROI

  +31%

• Politics19 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (11/19)

  ROI

  -11%

• Crypto4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +67%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -24%

• GPT ads by December 31?Won
  No$892 @ 86.7¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
  Yes$653 @ 46.4¢
• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Lost
  No$91 @ 34.7¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$506 @ 80.4¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
  No$333 @ 57.4¢
• Bill Clinton confirmed pedophile by December 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
• US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Won
  Yes$517 @ 80.0¢
• Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$186 @ 64.0¢
• Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Won
  Yes$718 @ 71.0¢
• Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Won
  No$1.1k @ 81.0¢
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$244 @ 33.0¢
• Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?Won
  No$100 @ 75.9¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
  Yes$59 @ 10.9¢
• Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 5.2¢
• Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$47 @ 47.0¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
  No$614 @ 63.4¢
• Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
  No$494 @ 82.3¢
• Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 3?Lost
  No$7 @ 4.7¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Won
  No$498 @ 83.0¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$1.6k @ 88.0¢
• Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Won
  Yes$95 @ 12.6¢
• Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Won
  Yes$3 @ 24.0¢
• Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fox News Oval Office interview?Won
  No$188 @ 82.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$164 @ 27.4¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 11.7¢
• Will Trump say "Emergency" during his announcement on September 2?Won
  No$88 @ 67.4¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
  Yes$452 @ 55.4¢
• Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$18 @ 40.1¢
• Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Won
  No$1 @ 57.0¢
• Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Lost
  No$715 @ 50.0¢
• Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?Won
  No$259 @ 72.7¢
• Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
  No$274 @ 68.5¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$522 @ 87.0¢
• Trump renames AI by October 31?Lost
  No$62 @ 20.7¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$3.2k @ 77.7¢
• Trump renames AI by September 30?Lost
  No$2.4k @ 64.9¢
• Trump renames AI by September 30?Won
  Yes$72 @ 18.0¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$1.1k @ 77.9¢
• Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Lost
  Yes$60 @ 6.7¢
• Will Trump say "Golf" during his announcement on September 2?Won
  No$177 @ 88.5¢
• Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$1.4k @ 71.7¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Won
  Yes$478 @ 79.7¢
• Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Won
  No$3.6k @ 80.9¢
• Israel strikes Syria by Friday?Won
  No$16 @ 54.0¢
• Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Won
  Yes$2.2k @ 87.9¢
• Will a hurricane form by August 31?Lost
  Yes$418 @ 76.1¢
• Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?Won
  No$339 @ 48.4¢
• Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Lost
  No$887 @ 60.0¢
• Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?Won
  No$370 @ 85.9¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberWon
  Yes$841 @ 75.9¢

Current positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$3.1k @ 64.8¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$537 @ 75.1¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$491 @ 84.6¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$357 @ 70.8¢