WhaleGraph

Curated Signals

The strongest vetted smart-money signals, tracked to resolution with an honest forward track record.

These signals are posted to our TelegramJoin →
Ends in
Strength

Live ideas

The strongest current smart-money consensus markets, scored live by the same engine behind the curated signals. These are untracked ideas — not part of the forward track record below.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85

Backed: Yes

Sharps
7
Combined
$6.2k
Ref. entry
22.8¢ → 25.4¢
Ends
2mo
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?80

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$8.8k
Ref. entry
18.7¢ → 24.5¢
Ends
1mo
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?75

Backed: No

Sharps
1
Combined
$1.5k
Ref. entry
51.0¢ → 37.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?74

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$8
Ref. entry
37.5¢ → 32.0¢
Ends
1mo
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?73

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$691
Ref. entry
41.2¢ → 23.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?73

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$792
Ref. entry
32.0¢ → 37.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?70

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$319
Ref. entry
6.7¢ → 6.3¢
Ends
2mo
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?69

Backed: Yes

Sharps
9
Combined
$155.3k
Ref. entry
61.5¢ → 56.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?64

Backed: No

Sharps
2
Combined
$1.3k
Ref. entry
53.6¢ → 53.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?61

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$130
Ref. entry
11.5¢ → 11.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?59

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$419
Ref. entry
22.7¢ → 34.4¢
Ends
2mo
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?59

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$557
Ref. entry
16.7¢ → 18.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?56

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$11
Ref. entry
10.3¢ → 12.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?55

Backed: No

Sharps
2
Combined
$924
Ref. entry
41.1¢ → 68.0¢
Ends
2d
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?53

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$104
Ref. entry
10.0¢ → 9.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?53

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$3.7k
Ref. entry
49.7¢ → 77.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?52

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$80
Ref. entry
8.9¢ → 6.8¢
Ends
2mo
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?51

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$2
Ref. entry
7.5¢ → 5.5¢
Ends
29d
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?51

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$57
Ref. entry
52.9¢ → 40.0¢
Ends
1mo
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?50

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$905
Ref. entry
77.8¢ → 71.5¢
Ends
30d
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?50

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$1.6k
Ref. entry
74.9¢ → 79.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?50

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$303
Ref. entry
62.6¢ → 55.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?48

Backed: Yes

Sharps
1
Combined
$51
Ref. entry
17.6¢ → 13.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?48

Backed: Yes

Sharps
16
Combined
$10.5k
Ref. entry
52.8¢ → 64.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?47

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$236
Ref. entry
63.2¢ → 66.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?47

Backed: No

Sharps
2
Combined
$311
Ref. entry
24.2¢ → 27.5¢
Ends
30d
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?45

Backed: No

Sharps
1
Combined
$6
Ref. entry
21.1¢ → 18.0¢
Ends
3mo

Curated signals — verified track record

Forward track record · accruing

No signals have resolved yet — the track record builds forward from launch.

Forward-only since launch, no backfill. Each signal is staked equally at the reference price (current price plus a conservative spread/fee haircut) — a conservative estimate of what a follower nets, not a guaranteed fill.

Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?89

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$11.3k
Ref. entry
30.5¢ → 0.1¢
Ends
ended
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?89

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$6.6k
Ref. entry
4.5¢ → 17.4¢
Ends
ended
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?87

Backed: No

Sharps
2
Combined
$8.3k
Ref. entry
21.5¢ → 19.5¢
Ends
ended
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet86

Backed: Corentin Moutet

Sharps
3
Combined
$17.2k
Ref. entry
27.5¢ → 47.5¢
Ends
ended
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?84

Backed: No

Sharps
3
Combined
$2.2k
Ref. entry
35.5¢ → 100.0¢
Ends
ended
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?80

Backed: No

Sharps
2
Combined
$2.9k
Ref. entry
21.5¢ → 19.5¢
Ends
ended
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)77

Backed: FURIA

Sharps
4
Combined
$4.4k
Ref. entry
48.0¢ → 46.0¢
Ends
ended
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?75

Backed: No

Sharps
2
Combined
$3.5k
Ref. entry
46.5¢ → 44.5¢
Ends
ended