Curated Signals

The strongest vetted smart-money signals, tracked to resolution with an honest forward track record.

Ends in

Strength

Live ideas

The strongest current smart-money consensus markets, scored live by the same engine behind the curated signals. These are untracked ideas — not part of the forward track record below.

Market	Backed	Strength	Sharps	Combined	Ref. entry	Now	Drift	Ends
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	82	2	$3.3k	39.6¢	19.7¢	-20.0¢	25d
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	74	1	$72	44.6¢	38.3¢	-6.3¢	2mo
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	72	1	$186	6.9¢	10.1¢	+3.2¢	2mo
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	72	22	$10.3k	57.4¢	44.5¢	-12.9¢	18d
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?	Yes	71	1	$570	40.5¢	23.0¢	-17.5¢	25d
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	71	2	$314	6.8¢	6.3¢	-0.4¢	14d
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	70	3	$397	14.5¢	5.8¢	-8.7¢	2mo
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	70	6	$33.8k	62.5¢	56.5¢	-6.0¢	14d
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Yes	69	1	$28	35.8¢	9.0¢	-26.8¢	2mo
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	No	68	1	$913	57.7¢	37.5¢	-20.2¢	25d
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	68	5	$7.2k	25.7¢	34.4¢	+8.7¢	14d
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	67	2	$85	50.1¢	51.0¢	+0.9¢	2mo
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	67	2	$4.2k	52.9¢	45.6¢	-7.2¢	18d
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	67	3	$2.0k	60.1¢	55.0¢	-5.1¢	18d
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	No	65	1	$800	59.1¢	53.5¢	-5.6¢	25d
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	62	1	$670	66.4¢	62.5¢	-3.9¢	18d
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	61	6	$3.6k	49.8¢	57.5¢	+7.7¢	2mo
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	60	2	$18	31.1¢	28.5¢	-2.6¢	2mo
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	58	1	$150	42.4¢	32.6¢	-9.9¢	25d
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	57	4	$736	38.2¢	46.4¢	+8.1¢	1mo
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	54	1	$1.5k	76.0¢	75.5¢	-0.5¢	2mo
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	53	5	$2.5k	47.6¢	58.5¢	+10.9¢	2mo
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	53	1	$3.7k	49.7¢	77.5¢	+27.8¢	25d
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	53	7	$17.8k	65.6¢	73.5¢	+7.9¢	2mo
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	No	52	1	$8	37.0¢	14.5¢	-22.5¢	2mo
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	51	1	$10	29.0¢	26.0¢	-3.0¢	2mo
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	51	1	$13	29.8¢	25.0¢	-4.8¢	1mo
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	49	2	$1.3k	73.2¢	79.0¢	+5.8¢	25d
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	49	1	$15	50.0¢	45.5¢	-4.5¢	18d
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	47	1	$6	21.1¢	18.0¢	-3.0¢	1mo
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	47	4	$10.2k	63.8¢	95.5¢	+31.7¢	3mo
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	47	1	$1.2k	36.5¢	99.9¢	+63.3¢	2mo
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	46	5	$48	45.4¢	57.5¢	+12.1¢	2mo
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	46	8	$4.2k	64.0¢	77.8¢	+13.9¢	1mo
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	46	2	$410	58.6¢	67.5¢	+8.9¢	18d
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	46	1	$27	10.3¢	18.0¢	+7.6¢	25d
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	45	1	$9	47.0¢	17.5¢	-29.5¢	19d

Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?82

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 2
Combined: $3.3k
Ref. entry: 39.6¢ → 19.7¢
Ends: 25d

Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?74

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 1
Combined: $72
Ref. entry: 44.6¢ → 38.3¢
Ends: 2mo

Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?72

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 1
Combined: $186
Ref. entry: 6.9¢ → 10.1¢
Ends: 2mo

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?72

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 22
Combined: $10.3k
Ref. entry: 57.4¢ → 44.5¢
Ends: 18d

Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?71

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 1
Combined: $570
Ref. entry: 40.5¢ → 23.0¢
Ends: 25d

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?71

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 2
Combined: $314
Ref. entry: 6.8¢ → 6.3¢
Ends: 14d

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?70

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 3
Combined: $397
Ref. entry: 14.5¢ → 5.8¢
Ends: 2mo

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?70

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 6
Combined: $33.8k
Ref. entry: 62.5¢ → 56.5¢
Ends: 14d

Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?69

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 1
Combined: $28
Ref. entry: 35.8¢ → 9.0¢
Ends: 2mo

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?68

Backed: No

Sharps: 1
Combined: $913
Ref. entry: 57.7¢ → 37.5¢
Ends: 25d

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?68

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 5
Combined: $7.2k
Ref. entry: 25.7¢ → 34.4¢
Ends: 14d

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?67

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 2
Combined: $85
Ref. entry: 50.1¢ → 51.0¢
Ends: 2mo

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?67

Backed: No

Sharps: 2
Combined: $4.2k
Ref. entry: 52.9¢ → 45.6¢
Ends: 18d

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?67

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 3
Combined: $2.0k
Ref. entry: 60.1¢ → 55.0¢
Ends: 18d

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?65

Backed: No

Sharps: 1
Combined: $800
Ref. entry: 59.1¢ → 53.5¢
Ends: 25d

Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?62

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 1
Combined: $670
Ref. entry: 66.4¢ → 62.5¢
Ends: 18d

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House61

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 6
Combined: $3.6k
Ref. entry: 49.8¢ → 57.5¢
Ends: 2mo

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?60

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 2
Combined: $18
Ref. entry: 31.1¢ → 28.5¢
Ends: 2mo

Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?58

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 1
Combined: $150
Ref. entry: 42.4¢ → 32.6¢
Ends: 25d

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?57

Backed: No

Sharps: 4
Combined: $736
Ref. entry: 38.2¢ → 46.4¢
Ends: 1mo

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?54

Backed: No

Sharps: 1
Combined: $1.5k
Ref. entry: 76.0¢ → 75.5¢
Ends: 2mo

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?53

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 5
Combined: $2.5k
Ref. entry: 47.6¢ → 58.5¢
Ends: 2mo

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?53

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 1
Combined: $3.7k
Ref. entry: 49.7¢ → 77.5¢
Ends: 25d

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?53

Backed: No

Sharps: 7
Combined: $17.8k
Ref. entry: 65.6¢ → 73.5¢
Ends: 2mo

Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?52

Backed: No

Sharps: 1
Combined: $8
Ref. entry: 37.0¢ → 14.5¢
Ends: 2mo

Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?51

Backed: No

Sharps: 1
Combined: $10
Ref. entry: 29.0¢ → 26.0¢
Ends: 2mo

Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?51

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 1
Combined: $13
Ref. entry: 29.8¢ → 25.0¢
Ends: 1mo

Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?49

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 2
Combined: $1.3k
Ref. entry: 73.2¢ → 79.0¢
Ends: 25d

Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?49

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 1
Combined: $15
Ref. entry: 50.0¢ → 45.5¢
Ends: 18d

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?47

Backed: No

Sharps: 1
Combined: $6
Ref. entry: 21.1¢ → 18.0¢
Ends: 1mo

Fed rate hike in 2026?47

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 4
Combined: $10.2k
Ref. entry: 63.8¢ → 95.5¢
Ends: 3mo

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?47

Backed: No

Sharps: 1
Combined: $1.2k
Ref. entry: 36.5¢ → 99.9¢
Ends: 2mo

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?46

Backed: No

Sharps: 5
Combined: $48
Ref. entry: 45.4¢ → 57.5¢
Ends: 2mo

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?46

Backed: No

Sharps: 8
Combined: $4.2k
Ref. entry: 64.0¢ → 77.8¢
Ends: 1mo

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?46

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 2
Combined: $410
Ref. entry: 58.6¢ → 67.5¢
Ends: 18d

Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?46

Backed: Yes

Sharps: 1
Combined: $27
Ref. entry: 10.3¢ → 18.0¢
Ends: 25d

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?45

Backed: No

Sharps: 1
Combined: $9
Ref. entry: 47.0¢ → 17.5¢
Ends: 19d

Curated signals — verified track record

Forward track record · accruing

No signals have resolved yet — the track record builds forward from launch.

Forward-only since launch, no backfill. Each signal is staked equally at the reference price (current price plus a conservative spread/fee haircut) — a conservative estimate of what a follower nets, not a guaranteed fill.

Market	Backed	Strength	Sharps	Combined	Ref. entry	Now	Drift	Ends
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	89	2	$11.3k	30.5¢	0.1¢	-30.4¢	ended
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	89	2	$6.6k	4.5¢	17.4¢	+12.9¢	ended
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	No	87	2	$8.3k	21.5¢	19.5¢	-2.0¢	ended
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	86	3	$17.2k	27.5¢	47.5¢	+20.0¢	ended
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	No	84	3	$2.2k	35.5¢	100.0¢	+64.5¢	ended
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	80	2	$2.9k	21.5¢	19.5¢	-2.0¢	ended
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	FURIA	77	4	$4.4k	48.0¢	46.0¢	-2.0¢	ended
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs	Team Liquid	76	3	$8.3k	43.5¢	41.5¢	-2.0¢	ended
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	No	75	2	$3.5k	46.5¢	44.5¢	-2.0¢	ended