WhaleGraph

Curated Signals

The strongest vetted smart-money signals, tracked to resolution with an honest forward track record.

These signals are posted to our TelegramJoin →
Ends in
Strength

Live ideas

The strongest current smart-money consensus markets, scored live by the same engine behind the curated signals. These are untracked ideas — not part of the forward track record below.

Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?90

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$4.2k
Ref. entry
23.5¢ → 18.0¢
Ends
4d
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?89

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$333
Ref. entry
12.8¢ → 11.5¢
Ends
4d
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?89

Backed: Yes

Sharps
4
Combined
$26.5k
Ref. entry
10.0¢ → 12.5¢
Ends
4d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?89

Backed: Yes

Sharps
31
Combined
$50.6k
Ref. entry
31.5¢ → 14.5¢
Ends
2mo
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?89

Backed: Yes

Sharps
7
Combined
$4.3k
Ref. entry
23.0¢ → 16.4¢
Ends
6d
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?89

Backed: Yes

Sharps
5
Combined
$1.7k
Ref. entry
21.9¢ → 19.0¢
Ends
2mo
Spread: Bears (-5.5)88

Backed: Bears

Sharps
2
Combined
$2.2k
Ref. entry
25.8¢ → 25.5¢
Ends
3d
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?88

Backed: Yes

Sharps
4
Combined
$12.6k
Ref. entry
27.3¢ → 28.5¢
Ends
4d
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?88

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$907
Ref. entry
11.0¢ → 5.3¢
Ends
2mo
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?87

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$948
Ref. entry
10.9¢ → 8.3¢
Ends
7h
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?87

Backed: No

Sharps
6
Combined
$1.4k
Ref. entry
21.9¢ → 6.9¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?87

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$1.1k
Ref. entry
15.6¢ → 11.5¢
Ends
4d
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?86

Backed: Yes

Sharps
11
Combined
$105.0k
Ref. entry
31.0¢ → 19.5¢
Ends
2mo
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House86

Backed: Yes

Sharps
50
Combined
$938.6k
Ref. entry
22.8¢ → 23.5¢
Ends
4d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?86

Backed: Yes

Sharps
14
Combined
$135.0k
Ref. entry
33.0¢ → 12.2¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?85

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$921
Ref. entry
16.4¢ → 11.1¢
Ends
1mo
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?85

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$3.6k
Ref. entry
15.7¢ → 16.0¢
Ends
2mo
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?85

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$521
Ref. entry
13.8¢ → 7.0¢
Ends
2mo
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?85

Backed: Yes

Sharps
4
Combined
$546
Ref. entry
15.2¢ → 6.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?85

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$3.1k
Ref. entry
15.1¢ → 8.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?85

Backed: Yes

Sharps
4
Combined
$654
Ref. entry
27.6¢ → 18.5¢
Ends
3mo
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?84

Backed: No

Sharps
3
Combined
$676
Ref. entry
30.5¢ → 26.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?84

Backed: Yes

Sharps
14
Combined
$115.0k
Ref. entry
41.8¢ → 27.5¢
Ends
4d
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?84

Backed: Yes

Sharps
12
Combined
$8.5k
Ref. entry
11.4¢ → 11.5¢
Ends
4d
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?84

Backed: No

Sharps
17
Combined
$155.8k
Ref. entry
40.6¢ → 28.0¢
Ends
4d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?83

Backed: Yes

Sharps
13
Combined
$14.2k
Ref. entry
18.5¢ → 17.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?82

Backed: Yes

Sharps
6
Combined
$2.7k
Ref. entry
39.2¢ → 6.1¢
Ends
19h
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?82

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$640
Ref. entry
15.7¢ → 13.0¢
Ends
4d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?82

Backed: Yes

Sharps
12
Combined
$3.7k
Ref. entry
9.5¢ → 5.7¢
Ends
2mo
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?82

Backed: Yes

Sharps
10
Combined
$12.0k
Ref. entry
38.6¢ → 9.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?81

Backed: Yes

Sharps
41
Combined
$288.9k
Ref. entry
35.2¢ → 29.5¢
Ends
4d
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?81

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$372
Ref. entry
13.9¢ → 17.2¢
Ends
3d
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?81

Backed: Yes

Sharps
4
Combined
$1.7k
Ref. entry
15.2¢ → 10.5¢
Ends
3mo
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?81

Backed: No

Sharps
7
Combined
$1.7k
Ref. entry
17.6¢ → 22.1¢
Ends
2mo
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?80

Backed: Yes

Sharps
6
Combined
$840
Ref. entry
13.2¢ → 11.5¢
Ends
2mo
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?80

Backed: Yes

Sharps
32
Combined
$55.1k
Ref. entry
48.8¢ → 21.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?79

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$1.2k
Ref. entry
20.9¢ → 17.1¢
Ends
4d
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?79

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$109
Ref. entry
19.5¢ → 5.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?79

Backed: Yes

Sharps
44
Combined
$25.7k
Ref. entry
36.1¢ → 13.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?79

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$787
Ref. entry
11.4¢ → 17.1¢
Ends
2mo
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?79

Backed: Yes

Sharps
6
Combined
$4.8k
Ref. entry
39.1¢ → 32.5¢
Ends
1mo
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?78

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$447
Ref. entry
11.3¢ → 11.5¢
Ends
4d
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?78

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$207
Ref. entry
19.3¢ → 12.8¢
Ends
1mo
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?77

Backed: Yes

Sharps
20
Combined
$25.1k
Ref. entry
32.6¢ → 28.5¢
Ends
2mo
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?77

Backed: Yes

Sharps
5
Combined
$1.1k
Ref. entry
45.8¢ → 43.0¢
Ends
30d
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?77

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$240
Ref. entry
15.7¢ → 17.5¢
Ends
4d
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?76

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$1.4k
Ref. entry
40.8¢ → 13.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?76

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$48
Ref. entry
24.8¢ → 23.0¢
Ends
4d
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?76

Backed: No

Sharps
6
Combined
$1.9k
Ref. entry
20.9¢ → 5.8¢
Ends
1mo
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?75

Backed: No

Sharps
12
Combined
$8.3k
Ref. entry
39.5¢ → 22.5¢
Ends
1mo
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?75

Backed: Yes

Sharps
4
Combined
$242
Ref. entry
33.0¢ → 31.5¢
Ends
16d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?75

Backed: Yes

Sharps
28
Combined
$69.8k
Ref. entry
28.5¢ → 27.5¢
Ends
1mo
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?75

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$171
Ref. entry
37.2¢ → 32.0¢
Ends
4d
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?75

Backed: Yes

Sharps
6
Combined
$1.0k
Ref. entry
43.4¢ → 22.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?75

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$221
Ref. entry
29.6¢ → 27.0¢
Ends
2d
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?75

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$752
Ref. entry
42.2¢ → 13.5¢
Ends
2mo
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?75

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$998
Ref. entry
44.3¢ → 8.5¢
Ends
1mo
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?75

Backed: No

Sharps
18
Combined
$20.3k
Ref. entry
55.9¢ → 27.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?74

Backed: Yes

Sharps
15
Combined
$2.7k
Ref. entry
13.3¢ → 10.0¢
Ends
29d
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?74

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$702
Ref. entry
33.0¢ → 37.5¢
Ends
4d
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?74

Backed: Yes

Sharps
5
Combined
$1.1k
Ref. entry
40.7¢ → 19.5¢
Ends
2mo
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)74

Backed: Dolphins

Sharps
2
Combined
$11.9k
Ref. entry
55.6¢ → 54.5¢
Ends
2d
Spread: Jets (-7.5)74

Backed: Jets

Sharps
2
Combined
$11.3k
Ref. entry
24.6¢ → 25.5¢
Ends
1d
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?74

Backed: Yes

Sharps
15
Combined
$40.3k
Ref. entry
40.5¢ → 15.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?74

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$2.4k
Ref. entry
38.2¢ → 29.5¢
Ends
4d
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?74

Backed: No

Sharps
3
Combined
$701
Ref. entry
40.1¢ → 42.5¢
Ends
18d
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?74

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$595
Ref. entry
28.1¢ → 20.0¢
Ends
1mo
Spread: Georgia (-11.5)74

Backed: Georgia

Sharps
2
Combined
$1.1k
Ref. entry
51.8¢ → 51.5¢
Ends
11h
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?74

Backed: Yes

Sharps
5
Combined
$14.9k
Ref. entry
27.9¢ → 33.0¢
Ends
4d
Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?73

Backed: No

Sharps
2
Combined
$257
Ref. entry
36.4¢ → 28.3¢
Ends
2d
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?73

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$4.7k
Ref. entry
20.5¢ → 11.5¢
Ends
4d
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?73

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$1.2k
Ref. entry
36.3¢ → 39.0¢
Ends
4d
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)73

Backed: Browns

Sharps
2
Combined
$19.6k
Ref. entry
51.6¢ → 50.5¢
Ends
1d
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?73

Backed: No

Sharps
14
Combined
$65.5k
Ref. entry
56.7¢ → 55.5¢
Ends
4d
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?73

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$1.2k
Ref. entry
35.8¢ → 40.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?73

Backed: Yes

Sharps
4
Combined
$6.2k
Ref. entry
20.2¢ → 13.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?72

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$274
Ref. entry
15.4¢ → 22.7¢
Ends
29d
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?72

Backed: Yes

Sharps
8
Combined
$3.3k
Ref. entry
22.9¢ → 24.5¢
Ends
1mo
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?72

Backed: Yes

Sharps
25
Combined
$55.1k
Ref. entry
57.8¢ → 55.5¢
Ends
4d
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?72

Backed: No

Sharps
11
Combined
$17.2k
Ref. entry
59.6¢ → 59.5¢
Ends
23d
Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?72

Backed: Yes

Sharps
5
Combined
$1.1k
Ref. entry
39.3¢ → 38.5¢
Ends
4d
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?72

Backed: No

Sharps
2
Combined
$402
Ref. entry
27.5¢ → 13.5¢
Ends
3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?72

Backed: Yes

Sharps
5
Combined
$26.2k
Ref. entry
30.7¢ → 33.5¢
Ends
4d
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?72

Backed: Yes

Sharps
30
Combined
$27.7k
Ref. entry
59.1¢ → 33.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?72

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$3.2k
Ref. entry
49.4¢ → 52.0¢
Ends
4d
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?71

Backed: Yes

Sharps
5
Combined
$2.8k
Ref. entry
12.7¢ → 12.0¢
Ends
2mo
Kash Patel out by December 31?71

Backed: Yes

Sharps
21
Combined
$24.3k
Ref. entry
47.7¢ → 18.0¢
Ends
2mo
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)71

Backed: Cardinals

Sharps
2
Combined
$27.7k
Ref. entry
46.0¢ → 45.5¢
Ends
1d
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?71

Backed: Yes

Sharps
7
Combined
$4.3k
Ref. entry
49.7¢ → 46.0¢
Ends
2mo
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?71

Backed: Yes

Sharps
11
Combined
$9.0k
Ref. entry
44.9¢ → 44.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?71

Backed: Yes

Sharps
3
Combined
$404
Ref. entry
29.5¢ → 23.0¢
Ends
4d
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?70

Backed: No

Sharps
3
Combined
$5.9k
Ref. entry
57.1¢ → 38.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?70

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$201
Ref. entry
15.4¢ → 16.0¢
Ends
4d
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?70

Backed: Yes

Sharps
11
Combined
$4.0k
Ref. entry
47.0¢ → 51.8¢
Ends
15d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?70

Backed: Yes

Sharps
21
Combined
$58.0k
Ref. entry
54.5¢ → 27.5¢
Ends
2mo
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?70

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$1.7k
Ref. entry
57.0¢ → 57.5¢
Ends
6h
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?70

Backed: Yes

Sharps
2
Combined
$330
Ref. entry
12.7¢ → 12.5¢
Ends
3mo
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?69

Backed: Yes

Sharps
32
Combined
$30.9k
Ref. entry
28.7¢ → 36.0¢
Ends
4d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?69

Backed: Yes

Sharps
46
Combined
$77.9k
Ref. entry
55.5¢ → 37.0¢
Ends
2mo
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?69

Backed: Yes

Sharps
7
Combined
$1.0k
Ref. entry
34.0¢ → 10.8¢
Ends
2mo

Curated signals — verified track record

Forward track record · measured

Hit rate
22%
ROI (equal stake)
-40%
Net P/L
$-9
Resolved signals
23

95% confidence: hit rate 10–42%

Forward-only since launch, no backfill. Each signal is staked equally at the reference price (current price plus a conservative spread/fee haircut) — a conservative estimate of what a follower nets, not a guaranteed fill.

Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur85

Backed: Alex de Minaur

Sharps
2
Combined
$3.2k
Ref. entry
25.5¢ → 50.0¢
Ends
ended
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs82

Backed: Brute

Sharps
2
Combined
$2.7k
Ref. entry
42.5¢ → 50.0¢
Ends
ended
LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage75

Backed: The Secret Club Esport

Sharps
4
Combined
$10.0k
Ref. entry
51.5¢ → 50.0¢
Ends
ended

Recently resolved