← Smart money
0xe5b4…1e3e
SharpEdge
+5.4pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
52% @ 46.8¢
Brier
0.180
Resolved
2584
Avg size
$78
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (93/207) | +10% | 207 |
| Politics | 88% (22/25) | +28% | 25 |
| Sports | 35% (8/23) | +88% | 23 |
| Geopolitics | 78% (7/9) | +15% | 9 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | +45% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +49% | 1 |
- Other207 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (93/207)
- ROI
- +10%
- Politics25 bets
- Hit rate
- 88% (22/25)
- ROI
- +28%
- Sports23 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (8/23)
- ROI
- +88%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- +15%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +45%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +49%
Track record
49% hit · 132/267- Yes$17 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$27 @ 2.7¢
- No$31 @ 69.0¢
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo$178 @ 37.0¢
- Kamil Majchrzak$266 @ 36.0¢
- Tommy Paul$324 @ 54.0¢
- Adrian Mannarino$315 @ 39.4¢
- Yes$320 @ 32.0¢
- Tomas Machac$2 @ 59.0¢
- No$640 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$501 @ 82.9¢
- Seattle Redhawks$4 @ 48.0¢
- Jiri Lehecka$540 @ 54.0¢
- No$700 @ 70.0¢
- No$840 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 35.0¢
- Frances Tiafoe$392 @ 49.0¢
- Tiafoe$216 @ 44.0¢
- No$890 @ 89.0¢
- Quentin Halys$470 @ 47.0¢
- Stefanos Tsitsipas$203 @ 33.0¢
- Humbert$1.1k @ 50.5¢
- Tomas Etcheverry$598 @ 42.7¢
- Yes$31 @ 2.6¢
- Ruud$1.0k @ 69.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
- Ugo Humbert$425 @ 85.0¢
- Zverev$392 @ 56.0¢
- No$876 @ 87.6¢
- Denis Shapovalov$540 @ 45.0¢
- No$12 @ 31.0¢
- Vit Kopriva$232 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 5.0¢
- Ben Shelton$1.3k @ 47.4¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 79.0¢
- Miomir Kecmanovic$160 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$115 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$61 @ 4.1¢
- Alexei Popyrin$410 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$435 @ 29.0¢
- Martin Landaluce$160 @ 20.0¢
- Francisco Cerundolo$360 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$1000 @ 89.0¢
- No$850 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$365 @ 73.0¢
- Adolfo Vallejo$424 @ 53.0¢
- Fabian Marozsan$328 @ 41.0¢
- Martinez$343 @ 36.2¢
- Alexei Popyrin$250 @ 25.0¢
- Stan Wawrinka$360 @ 30.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$4.5k @ 70.0¢
- No$4.5k @ 62.7¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 54.1¢
- No$2.6k @ 84.8¢
- No$2.3k @ 86.4¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 61.7¢
- No$2.2k @ 60.2¢
- No$1.8k @ 72.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 90.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 86.5¢
- No$1.6k @ 81.5¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6k @ 78.5¢
- No$1.5k @ 72.1¢
- No$1.2k @ 59.5¢
- No$1.2k @ 46.9¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 77.3¢
- No$1.1k @ 76.7¢
- No$1.1k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 68.5¢
- No$1.1k @ 71.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 63.0¢
- No$890 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$870 @ 43.5¢
- No$865 @ 86.5¢
- No$865 @ 57.7¢
- No$828 @ 69.0¢
- Spread: Saints (-2.5)SportsFalcons$795 @ 53.0¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$792 @ 52.8¢
- No$760 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$753 @ 81.0¢