0x9e45…3662

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other570 bets

  Hit rate

  73% (414/570)

  ROI

  +7%

• Politics51 bets

  Hit rate

  84% (43/51)

  ROI

  +16%

• Sports16 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (10/16)

  ROI

  -13%

• Crypto13 bets

  Hit rate

  92% (12/13)

  ROI

  +24%

• Geopolitics12 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (12/12)

  ROI

  +31%

• Tech6 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (4/6)

  ROI

  -59%

• Business4 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (1/4)

  ROI

  -89%

• Economy2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -58%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +28%

• Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Lost
  Yes$81 @ 78.0¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?Won
  Yes$20 @ 78.8¢
• Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Won
  No$523 @ 84.5¢
• Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Lost
  No$170 @ 74.8¢
• Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$118 @ 55.1¢
• Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Lost
  Yes$719 @ 79.9¢
• LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
  SK Gaming$20 @ 23.4¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Won
  No$351 @ 87.2¢
• Will Trump say "Boots on the ground" this week? (September 1 - 7)Won
  No$15 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in October?Lost
  No$168 @ 88.1¢
• TikTok sale announced by September 30?Won
  No$2.1k @ 75.5¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
  No$130 @ 88.0¢
• Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Won
  No$100 @ 87.9¢
• Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Won
  No$33 @ 75.1¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Lost
  No$105 @ 80.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Won
  No$657 @ 84.1¢
• Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Won
  Yes$214 @ 88.8¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
  No$10 @ 13.9¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
  Yes$200 @ 88.7¢
• Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?Lost
  No$50 @ 50.0¢
• LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerWon
  Kiwoom DRX$10 @ 21.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Won
  No$610 @ 77.6¢
• Will Solana reach $240 in October?Won
  No$616 @ 18.8¢
• LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerWon
  Karmine Corp$353 @ 71.5¢
• LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerLost
  Natus Vincere$70 @ 57.7¢
• Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Lost
  No$523 @ 85.6¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$602 @ 85.2¢
• Will Trump say "Bin Laden" during September?Lost
  No$40 @ 69.2¢
• Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,725 on September 12 at 8PM ET?Won
  No$29 @ 75.6¢
• 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 18.6¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $116k August 11–17?Lost
  No$40 @ 36.4¢
• Will Trump say "Four to Six" this week? (April 19)Won
  No$5 @ 86.1¢
• Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?Won
  No$230 @ 84.0¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?Lost
  No$36 @ 10.2¢
• OpenAI browser by September 30?Won
  No$647 @ 68.6¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$327 @ 86.4¢
• Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?Won
  Yes$15 @ 85.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?Won
  Yes$1 @ 85.0¢
• Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 78.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
  Yes$75 @ 70.9¢
• Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Won
  No$11 @ 86.0¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$429 @ 73.5¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
  Yes$1000 @ 75.1¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?Won
  No$89 @ 84.2¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$703 @ 85.2¢
• Will Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" this week? (April 5)Won
  No$10 @ 85.7¢
• LoL: IG vs ALWon
  AL$87 @ 70.8¢
• UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
  Alex Pereira$10 @ 52.0¢
• UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
  Ciryl Gane$76 @ 51.0¢
• Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Won
  No$195 @ 72.1¢

Current positions

• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Other
  No$600 @ 75.3¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$555 @ 84.8¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$533 @ 74.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
  Yes$520 @ 56.6¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$428 @ 73.9¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech
  No$400 @ 45.6¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$357 @ 70.0¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?Other
  No$300 @ 90.9¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Other
  No$300 @ 93.0¢
• Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$300 @ 74.3¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$300 @ 73.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$283 @ 74.4¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech
  No$275 @ 41.2¢
• Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$260 @ 44.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?Other
  No$259 @ 66.4¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
  No$223 @ 62.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Other
  No$220 @ 69.7¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$220 @ 33.4¢
• Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?Crypto
  No$200 @ 89.4¢
• Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics
  No$200 @ 93.0¢
• Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?Crypto
  No$200 @ 74.0¢
• Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics
  No$174 @ 73.9¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech
  No$165 @ 60.8¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$162 @ 34.7¢
• Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$162 @ 42.5¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
  No$160 @ 90.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?Crypto
  No$160 @ 79.0¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$150 @ 46.1¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$150 @ 94.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$150 @ 67.0¢