← Smart money
0x569f…5561
SharpEdge
+5.4pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
46% @ 40.5¢
Brier
0.169
Resolved
1478
Avg size
$19
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (305/679) | +10% | 679 |
| Politics | 39% (18/46) | +36% | 46 |
| Sports | 25% (2/8) | +200% | 8 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | -97% | 2 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +108% | 1 |
- Other679 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (305/679)
- ROI
- +10%
- Politics46 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (18/46)
- ROI
- +36%
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (2/8)
- ROI
- +200%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -97%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +108%
Track record
44% hit · 327/742- Yes$92 @ 15.2¢
- Yes$27 @ 34.4¢
- No$107 @ 24.5¢
- Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
- No$12 @ 58.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$27 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$142 @ 78.0¢
- No$187 @ 34.4¢
- Yes$22 @ 41.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.8¢
- DN Freecs$7 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 52.0¢
- No$0 @ 70.0¢
- BNK FEARX$4 @ 0.7¢
- Team WE$5 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 61.4¢
- No$15 @ 73.0¢
- No$29 @ 37.8¢
- Yes$35 @ 69.0¢
- Movistar KOI$21 @ 16.0¢
- No$101 @ 39.0¢
- No$8 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Weibo Gaming$5 @ 0.9¢
- Tyra Caterina Grant$92 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 82.0¢
- No$6 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 36.8¢
- No$72 @ 41.6¢
- Yes$176 @ 79.5¢
- No$2 @ 13.6¢
- No$1 @ 21.9¢
- Yes$229 @ 14.9¢
- Team Heretics$37 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$21 @ 20.1¢
- No$39 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$145 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 29.0¢
- Nongshim Red Force$2 @ 4.0¢
- No$5 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
- No$369 @ 73.0¢
- Zverev$123 @ 71.8¢
- Yes$54 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 51.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | Politics | No | $277 | 65.4¢ |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Politics | Yes | $214 | 38.5¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $175 | 21.0¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $140 | 63.0¢ |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Politics | Yes | $115 | 42.6¢ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $21 | 41.0¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 18.0¢ |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 22.6¢ |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 24, 2026? | Politics | No | $15 | 17.0¢ |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $9 | 60.0¢ |
- No$277 @ 65.4¢
- Yes$214 @ 38.5¢
- Yes$175 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$140 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$115 @ 42.6¢
- Yes$21 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 22.6¢
- No$15 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 60.0¢