0x9fc0…cb4b

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other36 bets

  Hit rate

  78% (28/36)

  ROI

  +11%

• Politics12 bets

  Hit rate

  92% (11/12)

  ROI

  +22%

• Geopolitics8 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (8/8)

  ROI

  +18%

• Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$41 @ 87.5¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$116 @ 85.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Won
  No$281 @ 88.9¢
• US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Won
  Yes$198 @ 79.4¢
• US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
  Yes$8 @ 78.0¢
• Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$29 @ 79.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Won
  No$10 @ 78.0¢
• Will Trump say "Cocaine" or "Kingpin" this week? (February 1)Lost
  Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
• Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$2 @ 86.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$78 @ 73.6¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Lost
  Yes$135 @ 69.2¢
• Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$306 @ 80.6¢
• Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
  No$123 @ 88.8¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Won
  No$29 @ 90.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Won
  No$49 @ 86.0¢
• Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$3 @ 57.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$472 @ 85.9¢
• Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?Won
  No$45 @ 86.3¢
• Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$20 @ 81.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
  No$1.4k @ 86.0¢
• Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?Won
  No$6 @ 89.0¢
• Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$17 @ 89.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$166 @ 70.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?Won
  No$278 @ 45.3¢
• Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Lost
  No$7 @ 13.0¢
• Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Won
  Yes$120 @ 88.0¢
• Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?Won
  Yes$14 @ 64.7¢
• Will there be 1 NYT banner headline by February 28?Won
  Yes$7 @ 52.0¢
• Kristi Noem out by March 31?Lost
  No$7 @ 25.6¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
  No$837 @ 87.3¢
• Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$74 @ 76.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
  No$529 @ 81.7¢
• Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$76 @ 80.7¢
• Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$69 @ 89.5¢
• Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Won
  No$10 @ 86.0¢
• Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$158 @ 83.6¢
• Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Won
  Yes$238 @ 81.5¢
• Iran leadership change by April 30?Won
  No$499 @ 79.4¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Won
  No$143 @ 75.0¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?Won
  Yes$411 @ 80.3¢
• Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Won
  No$209 @ 89.0¢
• Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  No$46 @ 89.9¢
• Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Won
  No$15 @ 71.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?Won
  Yes$20 @ 72.0¢
• Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Won
  Yes$171 @ 86.1¢
• Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Lost
  No$5 @ 20.0¢
• Iran leadership change by March 31?Won
  No$257 @ 73.9¢
• Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$43 @ 9.5¢
• Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Won
  No$23 @ 80.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
  No$2.4k @ 82.8¢

Current positions

• Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics
  No$872 @ 96.2¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$685 @ 92.5¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$407 @ 98.8¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$258 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?Politics
  No$125 @ 98.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$72 @ 99.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$67 @ 74.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$55 @ 96.5¢
• Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$33 @ 99.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$31 @ 98.3¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
  No$29 @ 89.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$17 @ 99.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?Politics
  Yes$14 @ 97.9¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Politics
  No$13 @ 93.0¢
• Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Politics
  No$2 @ 75.0¢