0xf7b3…eeb2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf7b3094865495f74f01bbf7fbcc83c535da5eeb2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.9pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

90% @ 77.5¢

Brier

0.105

Resolved

366

Avg size

$49

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	77% (17/22)	+21%	22
Politics	82% (9/11)	-1%	11
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+16%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+52%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+37%	1

Other22 bets
Hit rate
77% (17/22)
ROI
+21%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
82% (9/11)
ROI
-1%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+16%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+52%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+37%

Track record

81% hit · 30/37

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$1.2k	79.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$784	82.5¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$539	77.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$417	83.4¢	Won
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	$1.5k	79.1¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	$176	88.3¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	$42	84.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$5	66.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	$87	65.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	$39	78.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	$28	28.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$872	72.7¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$430	86.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	$132	88.0¢	Won
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	No	$35	70.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	No	$352	85.2¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	$44	87.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	$1.8k	73.2¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	$243	81.2¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	$432	86.3¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	$137	68.5¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	$351	87.7¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$587	83.8¢	Won
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	$438	87.8¢	Won
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	5.6¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	$1.2k	75.2¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	$1.7k	70.3¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	$478	73.5¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	$13	56.6¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$146	73.0¢	Won
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	$79	86.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	$1.1k	87.4¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$353	88.3¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	$1.8k	85.9¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	$263	87.7¢	Won

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$1.2k @ 79.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$784 @ 82.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
No$539 @ 77.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$417 @ 83.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Won
No$1.5k @ 79.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Won
No$176 @ 88.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Won
Yes$42 @ 84.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 66.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Lost
No$87 @ 65.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Won
Yes$39 @ 78.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Lost
Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$872 @ 72.7¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Won
Yes$430 @ 86.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?Won
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Won
No$132 @ 88.0¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?Lost
No$35 @ 70.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?Won
No$352 @ 85.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
No$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Won
No$1.8k @ 73.2¢
Will Trump visit China by June 30?Won
Yes$243 @ 81.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Won
No$432 @ 86.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Lost
No$137 @ 68.5¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Won
No$351 @ 87.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$587 @ 83.8¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Won
No$438 @ 87.8¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 75.2¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 70.3¢
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Won
Yes$478 @ 73.5¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Won
No$13 @ 56.6¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Won
Yes$146 @ 73.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?Won
No$79 @ 86.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Won
No$1.1k @ 87.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$353 @ 88.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Won
No$1.8k @ 85.9¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Won
No$263 @ 87.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Politics	No	$3.1k	88.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$2.8k	55.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	79.8¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Politics	No	$2.1k	69.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$1.6k	83.1¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Politics	No	$1.2k	95.3¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	Politics	No	$1.0k	85.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Politics	Yes	$855	34.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	Yes	$522	14.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	Politics	No	$491	88.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$351	71.8¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$344	78.8¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$343	74.4¢
US recession by end of 2026?	Economy	No	$224	74.8¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?	Politics	No	$205	85.4¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Politics
No$3.1k @ 88.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
Yes$2.8k @ 55.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 79.8¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
No$2.1k @ 69.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Other
Yes$1.6k @ 83.1¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics
No$1.2k @ 95.3¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics
No$1.0k @ 85.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics
Yes$855 @ 34.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
Yes$522 @ 14.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Politics
No$491 @ 88.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$351 @ 71.8¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$344 @ 78.8¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$343 @ 74.4¢
US recession by end of 2026?Economy
No$224 @ 74.8¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics
No$205 @ 85.4¢