0x07b9…0fbb

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics78 bets

  Hit rate

  65% (51/78)

  ROI

  +6%

• Other44 bets

  Hit rate

  61% (27/44)

  ROI

  -20%

• Geopolitics25 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (20/25)

  ROI

  +15%

• Sports21 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (14/21)

  ROI

  +49%

• Crypto6 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (4/6)

  ROI

  +6%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +29%

• Culture2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -45%

• Science1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +16%

• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$130 @ 52.0¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$700 @ 58.3¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$476 @ 79.4¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$159 @ 79.3¢
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$53 @ 10.5¢
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$162 @ 80.8¢
• Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 2.4¢
• Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Won
  Yes$40 @ 26.7¢
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 5.4¢
• Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?Won
  No$74 @ 92.0¢
• Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?Won
  No$113 @ 75.0¢
• Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 5.4¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
  Yes$229 @ 76.4¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$176 @ 88.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?Lost
  No$48 @ 24.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
  No$164 @ 82.0¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
  No$122 @ 81.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Won
  No$76 @ 38.0¢
• US x China tariff agreement by July 31?Won
  No$184 @ 92.0¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Won
  No$134 @ 89.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$175 @ 93.3¢
• Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Won
  Yes$150 @ 75.0¢
• Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$160 @ 80.0¢
• Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Won
  No$150 @ 75.0¢
• Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$144 @ 72.0¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Lost
  No$35 @ 7.0¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  Yes$508 @ 72.6¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
  No$140 @ 49.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 52.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$49 @ 83.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$247 @ 84.3¢
• Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$80 @ 40.0¢
• Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
• Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$76 @ 38.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$48 @ 24.0¢
• Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$142 @ 71.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Won
  No$1 @ 56.0¢
• Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Won
  Yes$156 @ 78.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Lost
  No$138 @ 69.0¢
• Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$189 @ 63.0¢
• Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Won
  No$87 @ 90.4¢
• Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$124 @ 62.0¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$154 @ 77.0¢
• Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$122 @ 61.0¢
• Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Won
  Yes$762 @ 67.0¢
• Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Lost
  No$87 @ 58.0¢
• Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$158 @ 79.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$142 @ 87.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$1.2k @ 92.0¢

Current positions

• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 85.5¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 87.4¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$736 @ 81.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$548 @ 78.3¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$548 @ 78.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  Yes$442 @ 88.4¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$426 @ 85.1¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$415 @ 83.0¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$347 @ 69.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$276 @ 69.0¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$275 @ 80.4¢
• Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics
  Yes$274 @ 62.9¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$274 @ 68.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$267 @ 53.4¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$242 @ 34.6¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$225 @ 75.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$222 @ 74.0¢
• Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics
  No$194 @ 77.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$193 @ 38.6¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$183 @ 61.0¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$178 @ 89.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$177 @ 73.9¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
  No$174 @ 87.0¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$172 @ 86.0¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics
  No$171 @ 57.0¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$166 @ 83.0¢
• Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Culture
  Yes$166 @ 55.3¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$162 @ 81.0¢
• Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Politics
  No$159 @ 79.4¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$154 @ 77.0¢