0x07b9…0fbb

Specialization by sphere

• Politics30 bets

  Hit rate

  70% (21/30)

  ROI

  +26%

• Other28 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (18/28)

  ROI

  -26%

• Geopolitics7 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (5/7)

  ROI

  +12%

• Crypto4 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  -4%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +28%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +41%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 78.0¢
• Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
  No$167 @ 62.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$787 @ 28.5¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
  No$578 @ 36.1¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$120 @ 24.0¢
• Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Lost
  No$28 @ 14.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$166 @ 8.3¢
• Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Won
  No$26 @ 84.0¢
• Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?Won
  No$229 @ 76.3¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$412 @ 68.7¢
• Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Won
  No$174 @ 87.2¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
  No$589 @ 84.2¢
• Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?Lost
  No$89 @ 44.5¢
• Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Won
  Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$376 @ 72.1¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$522 @ 57.8¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$381 @ 54.4¢
• Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Won
  No$271 @ 77.0¢
• Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Won
  No$341 @ 85.3¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$135 @ 89.9¢
• Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
  No$112 @ 56.0¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
  No$94 @ 62.7¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
  No$17 @ 87.0¢
• Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Lost
  No$91 @ 45.6¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
  Yes$391 @ 78.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$267 @ 89.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$416 @ 87.1¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Lost
  No$707 @ 64.3¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Won
  Yes$66 @ 44.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 48.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$266 @ 88.7¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$481 @ 80.2¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$350 @ 70.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$150 @ 50.0¢
• Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Won
  Yes$9 @ 86.2¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Won
  No$237 @ 79.0¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Won
  No$140 @ 89.8¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Won
  No$144 @ 81.8¢
• Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?Won
  Yes$152 @ 60.8¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$875 @ 62.5¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$110 @ 32.5¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$134 @ 67.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
  No$178 @ 89.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
  Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Won
  No$693 @ 86.6¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  Yes$119 @ 88.3¢
• Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Won
  Yes$146 @ 73.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
  No$178 @ 89.0¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Won
  No$177 @ 88.7¢
• Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?Won
  Yes$141 @ 69.0¢

Current positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  No$1.2k @ 92.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$910 @ 91.0¢
• Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$842 @ 93.5¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$778 @ 86.5¢
• Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$755 @ 94.4¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$736 @ 81.8¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$700 @ 58.3¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$688 @ 93.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
  Yes$682 @ 56.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$647 @ 91.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$548 @ 78.3¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$548 @ 78.2¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$544 @ 90.7¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$508 @ 72.6¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$481 @ 80.2¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$476 @ 79.4¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$426 @ 85.1¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$415 @ 83.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics
  Yes$400 @ 80.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$385 @ 55.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$384 @ 76.8¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$347 @ 69.4¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Crypto
  No$321 @ 80.3¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Politics
  Yes$319 @ 91.3¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
  Yes$303 @ 60.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics
  Yes$295 @ 36.9¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$276 @ 69.0¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$275 @ 80.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$274 @ 68.5¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$270 @ 90.0¢