0x6bab…0fe5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6bab66c4bb24c96ed14dcca0f0979b38a6830fe5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+5.8pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

67% @ 60.9¢

Brier

0.132

Resolved

2636

Avg size

$270

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (85/146)	-9%	146
Sports	11% (3/28)	-90%	28
Geopolitics	100% (28/28)	+31%	28
Politics	81% (22/27)	+7%	27
Tech	77% (10/13)	+44%	13

Other146 bets
Hit rate
58% (85/146)
ROI
-9%
Sports28 bets
Hit rate
11% (3/28)
ROI
-90%
Geopolitics28 bets
Hit rate
100% (28/28)
ROI
+31%
Politics27 bets
Hit rate
81% (22/27)
ROI
+7%
Tech13 bets
Hit rate
77% (10/13)
ROI
+44%

Track record

61% hit · 148/242

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$215	82.7¢	Won
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.1k	2.1¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$4.3k	67.8¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$4	1.4¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$1.8k	88.3¢	Won
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$1.8k	80.6¢	Won
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$10	83.0¢	Won
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$263	63.5¢	Won
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?	No	$1.8k	78.2¢	Lost
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$1.5k	78.9¢	Won
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.0k	1.3¢	Lost
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	No	$94	59.4¢	Lost
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	$7.0k	68.4¢	Lost
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?	Yes	$186	75.8¢	Lost
Will Jirí Procházka win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$23	58.5¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	No	$1.5k	89.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$96	80.0¢	Lost
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$1.6k	88.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$177	17.8¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	No	$367	57.7¢	Lost
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	$3.6k	70.6¢	Lost
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	Yes	$343	44.9¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6.1k	4.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "F-35" or "B-2" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?	Yes	$132	66.0¢	Won
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	$5.4k	84.6¢	Won
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 30, 2026?	Yes	$22	78.6¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$1.3k	35.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$2.9k	86.4¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	Yes	$692	86.8¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?	No	$102	58.3¢	Lost
Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30?	No	$90	69.8¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$4.2k	79.3¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?	No	$1.1k	88.5¢	Won
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	No	$4.2k	83.5¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$1.0k	23.4¢	Lost
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	$7.6k	85.9¢	Won
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?	Yes	$702	85.9¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$5.3k	75.7¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	$1.6k	84.2¢	Won
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	$37	11.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	$8.7k	70.4¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$808	88.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	$7.9k	70.6¢	Won
Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	$893	57.2¢	Lost
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	$267	89.7¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$10.4k	74.4¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$3.5k	61.1¢	Won
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	Yes	$360	18.6¢	Lost

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
Yes$215 @ 82.7¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 2.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$4.3k @ 67.8¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$1.8k @ 88.3¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$1.8k @ 80.6¢
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Won
Yes$10 @ 83.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
No$263 @ 63.5¢
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Lost
No$1.8k @ 78.2¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$1.5k @ 78.9¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 1.3¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Lost
No$94 @ 59.4¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
No$7.0k @ 68.4¢
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?Lost
Yes$186 @ 75.8¢
Will Jirí Procházka win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$23 @ 58.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Won
No$1.5k @ 89.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$96 @ 80.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 88.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$177 @ 17.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Lost
No$367 @ 57.7¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Lost
No$3.6k @ 70.6¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Won
Yes$343 @ 44.9¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6.1k @ 4.8¢
Will Trump say "F-35" or "B-2" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Won
Yes$132 @ 66.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Won
No$5.4k @ 84.6¢
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 30, 2026?Won
Yes$22 @ 78.6¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
France$1.3k @ 35.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$2.9k @ 86.4¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Won
Yes$692 @ 86.8¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Lost
No$102 @ 58.3¢
Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30?Lost
No$90 @ 69.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$4.2k @ 79.3¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 88.5¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Won
No$4.2k @ 83.5¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 23.4¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Won
No$7.6k @ 85.9¢
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$702 @ 85.9¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Won
No$5.3k @ 75.7¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Won
No$1.6k @ 84.2¢
Will the US strike Iran next?Lost
Yes$37 @ 11.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
No$8.7k @ 70.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Won
No$808 @ 88.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
No$7.9k @ 70.6¢
Will the US strike Syria next?Lost
Yes$893 @ 57.2¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
No$267 @ 89.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
No$10.4k @ 74.4¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$3.5k @ 61.1¢
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Lost
Yes$360 @ 18.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$28.0k	46.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$16.8k	67.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$14.8k	72.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Politics	No	$14.8k	76.5¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	No	$14.7k	81.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$12.5k	79.4¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$11.6k	53.5¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	No	$5.9k	42.1¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$5.9k	69.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$5.1k	45.5¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$4.0k	84.6¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$3.4k	88.8¢
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$2.9k	26.6¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$2.3k	91.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$2.3k	65.1¢
Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	No	$2.1k	82.9¢
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	12.8¢
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	No	$1.6k	64.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1.6k	71.6¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.1k	76.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.0k	77.1¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Politics	No	$978	74.0¢
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	No	$736	73.0¢
Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?	Politics	No	$318	66.2¢
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	No	$287	74.6¢
Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	No	$257	72.9¢
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$221	71.0¢
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	No	$113	81.0¢
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	Yes	$100	81.0¢
Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	No	$94	62.5¢

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$28.0k @ 46.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$16.8k @ 67.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolitics
No$14.8k @ 72.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
No$14.8k @ 76.5¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
No$14.7k @ 81.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$12.5k @ 79.4¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Geopolitics
No$11.6k @ 53.5¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
No$5.9k @ 42.1¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Geopolitics
No$5.9k @ 69.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$5.1k @ 45.5¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Geopolitics
No$4.0k @ 84.6¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Geopolitics
No$3.4k @ 88.8¢
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$2.9k @ 26.6¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$2.3k @ 91.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Politics
No$2.3k @ 65.1¢
Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
No$2.1k @ 82.9¢
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 12.8¢
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
No$1.6k @ 64.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Geopolitics
Yes$1.6k @ 71.6¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
No$1.1k @ 76.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics
No$1.0k @ 77.1¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
No$978 @ 74.0¢
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
No$736 @ 73.0¢
Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?Politics
No$318 @ 66.2¢
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
No$287 @ 74.6¢
Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
No$257 @ 72.9¢
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$221 @ 71.0¢
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
No$113 @ 81.0¢
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
Yes$100 @ 81.0¢
Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
No$94 @ 62.5¢