0x8b88…5f5e

Specialization by sphere

• Other76 bets

  Hit rate

  66% (50/76)

  ROI

  +31%

• Politics13 bets

  Hit rate

  85% (11/13)

  ROI

  -1%

• Sports6 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (3/6)

  ROI

  -16%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +2%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +42%

• Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Won
  No$960 @ 99.6¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Won
  No$9.2k @ 97.6¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$8.1k @ 97.7¢
• Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$3.0k @ 99.7¢
• Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. DonchenkoWon
  Donchenko$315 @ 63.0¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
  No$240 @ 87.0¢
• US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Cameron NorrieWon
  Djokovic$51 @ 89.0¢
• 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Won
  No$101 @ 84.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
  No$506 @ 4.0¢
• Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?Won
  Yes$300 @ 75.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 12.7¢
• US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs David GoffinWon
  Musetti$49 @ 83.0¢
• Ethereum all time high before 2026?Won
  Yes$78 @ 76.0¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$5.7k @ 73.6¢
• Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo Won
  Fritz $152 @ 73.0¢
• Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Won
  Yes$148 @ 37.0¢
• Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?Lost
  Yes$34 @ 18.0¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
  No$1000 @ 84.6¢
• Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Arthur RinderknechLost
  Zverev$50 @ 73.0¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$7.2k @ 72.5¢
• Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  No$100 @ 70.0¢
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
  Yes$2.5k @ 59.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$31.8k @ 42.2¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$21.1k @ 72.7¢
• ATP Toronto – Lehecka vs. FritzWon
  Fritz $575 @ 81.0¢
• Terra Wortmann: Bublik vs. Sinner Lost
  Sinner $30 @ 89.0¢
• US strike on Cuba by March 31?Won
  No$585 @ 89.1¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Won
  No$1.5k @ 77.4¢
• Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Novak DjokovicWon
  Djokovic$76 @ 76.0¢
• Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?Won
  No$348 @ 87.0¢
• Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
• UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Lost
  Dvalishvili$235 @ 78.0¢
• US Open: Nuno Borges vs. Tommy PaulWon
  Paul $100 @ 83.0¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$27.6k @ 76.1¢
• China Open: Learner Tien vs Lorenzo MusettiLost
  Musetti$50 @ 68.0¢
• Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?Won
  No$999 @ 86.0¢
• Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$3.9k @ 46.3¢
• Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?Won
  Yes$105 @ 35.0¢
• Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2Won
  Usyk$2.9k @ 75.9¢
• Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton Won
  Sinner $140 @ 70.0¢
• South Korean President impeached in 2024?Won
  Yes$21 @ 88.0¢
• Terra Wortmann: Sonego vs. ZverevWon
  Zverev$30 @ 88.0¢
• ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben SheltonWon
  Sinner$90 @ 89.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Lost
  No$1.5k @ 74.0¢
• Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Won
  No$3.0k @ 89.0¢
• Australian Open Final (M): Sinner vs. ZverevWon
  Sinner$299 @ 84.0¢
• Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 23.0¢
• Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Lost
  No$55 @ 31.9¢
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$620 @ 2.6¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$1.5k @ 12.5¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$32.4k @ 83.7¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$18.1k @ 90.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$12.0k @ 57.9¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$10.1k @ 89.2¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$7.5k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$7.5k @ 50.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  Yes$7.1k @ 37.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics
  No$5.0k @ 99.5¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 72.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$3.1k @ 60.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  No$3.0k @ 78.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.0k @ 58.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.0k @ 59.0¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.0k @ 94.5¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$3.0k @ 88.0¢
• Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$2.4k @ 1.9¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.3k @ 78.0¢
• Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 86.9¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 86.0¢
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$631 @ 87.5¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
  No$175 @ 99.5¢