0x9dfb…e887

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other714 bets

  Hit rate

  62% (443/714)

  ROI

  -0%

• Politics110 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (74/110)

  ROI

  +14%

• Geopolitics26 bets

  Hit rate

  62% (16/26)

  ROI

  +4%

• Tech8 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (4/8)

  ROI

  -22%

• Culture7 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (5/7)

  ROI

  -8%

• Crypto6 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (5/6)

  ROI

  +95%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -52%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Lost
  No$6 @ 11.0¢
• Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Lost
  No$32 @ 80.0¢
• Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?Won
  Yes$82 @ 47.1¢
• US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 22.2¢
• Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
  No$40 @ 87.1¢
• Will Trump say "Rubio" or "Vance" during Memphis Roundtable?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 66.0¢
• Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 62.2¢
• Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Won
  Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)Lost
  No$5 @ 41.5¢
• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Lost
  No$5 @ 7.9¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$22 @ 22.4¢
• Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Won
  Yes$17 @ 75.0¢
• Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Won
  Yes$71 @ 86.0¢
• Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?Lost
  No$11 @ 28.0¢
• U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Lost
  No$8 @ 28.0¢
• Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?Won
  No$9 @ 45.0¢
• Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Won
  No$71 @ 89.0¢
• Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Lost
  Jazz$10 @ 49.0¢
• Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?Won
  Yes$13 @ 42.0¢
• Will Dell say "Windows 10" during earnings call?Won
  No$17 @ 87.0¢
• Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 8)Lost
  No$20 @ 74.0¢
• Panthers vs. LightningWon
  Lightning$300 @ 66.0¢
• Will Trump say "Tractor" during National Agriculture Day events?Won
  Yes$32 @ 82.7¢
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Won
  No$251 @ 85.2¢
• Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
• Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during Michigan visit?Lost
  No$11 @ 22.0¢
• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Won
  No$30 @ 79.7¢
• USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?Lost
  No$38 @ 87.4¢
• Will "Epstein" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Won
  No$58 @ 86.7¢
• Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Won
  No$10 @ 87.0¢
• Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Lost
  No$2 @ 1.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$20 @ 89.0¢
• Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreWon
  Yes$10 @ 60.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
• Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)Lost
  No$32 @ 55.8¢
• Will JD Vance say "Ass" during Michigan visit?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
  No$6 @ 10.5¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$803 @ 84.5¢
• Will "508 meters" be said during the Taipei 101 climb?Won
  No$21 @ 28.1¢
• Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)Won
  Yes$22 @ 85.0¢
• Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?Won
  No$5 @ 45.0¢
• Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Lost
  No$18 @ 88.0¢
• Sisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?Won
  Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
• Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Won
  Yes$41 @ 43.0¢
• Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Won
  No$8 @ 39.5¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 27.8¢
• Will "Algorithm" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)Won
  No$25 @ 52.0¢
• Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
  No$43 @ 72.3¢
• Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$98 @ 83.2¢
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?Won
  No$32 @ 73.7¢

Current positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 97.0¢
• Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Crypto
  No$2.0k @ 92.1¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$1.8k @ 89.8¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 75.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 66.5¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 94.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 88.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$1.3k @ 89.6¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 84.7¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics
  Yes$982 @ 98.2¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Politics
  No$693 @ 74.2¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$519 @ 83.9¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$488 @ 65.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Politics
  Yes$300 @ 75.0¢
• Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Business
  Yes$292 @ 86.9¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$279 @ 93.0¢
• Will Zcash dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$272 @ 91.1¢
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$267 @ 85.4¢
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$244 @ 79.6¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$238 @ 33.9¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$231 @ 77.0¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$221 @ 56.0¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$212 @ 47.1¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  Yes$188 @ 94.0¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$169 @ 84.5¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$167 @ 83.5¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$157 @ 62.8¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$154 @ 77.0¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$142 @ 71.0¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$140 @ 70.0¢