0x08ab…3af9

Specialization by sphere

• Politics88 bets

  Hit rate

  66% (58/88)

  ROI

  +7%

• Other70 bets

  Hit rate

  61% (43/70)

  ROI

  -3%

• Geopolitics31 bets

  Hit rate

  90% (28/31)

  ROI

  +13%

• Crypto12 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (7/12)

  ROI

  +56%

• Sports8 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (6/8)

  ROI

  +1%

• Tech5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  +169%

• Economy3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -2%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +12%

• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 86.0¢
• Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Lost
  No$8 @ 20.5¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
  Yes$4 @ 40.0¢
• Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Won
  No$23 @ 77.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Won
  No$31 @ 78.5¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$17 @ 83.5¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$9 @ 88.0¢
• Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 8.2¢
• Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$8 @ 80.0¢
• Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Lost
  No$16 @ 63.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 79.5¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
  No$10 @ 88.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$67 @ 83.5¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 38.5¢
• Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Won
  No$15 @ 74.1¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$9 @ 85.0¢
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Won
  Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?Won
  No$33 @ 82.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$43 @ 85.9¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$8 @ 83.0¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 12.4¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Won
  No$44 @ 88.0¢
• Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Won
  Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$15 @ 72.5¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Won
  No$15 @ 74.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Won
  No$17 @ 83.0¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$124 @ 72.9¢
• Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
  Yes$104 @ 69.1¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Won
  No$64 @ 64.2¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 36.0¢
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Lost
  No$13 @ 22.3¢
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
  Yes$41 @ 68.5¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
  No$9 @ 88.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on September 21?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
  No$38 @ 34.8¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
  Yes$70 @ 64.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Won
  Yes$23 @ 76.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$1.4k @ 77.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
  Yes$429 @ 21.3¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Won
  Yes$17 @ 84.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$110 @ 73.3¢
• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?Won
  No$50 @ 25.1¢
• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?Lost
  Yes$156 @ 70.8¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
  No$20 @ 66.0¢
• Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
  No$105 @ 69.9¢
• Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Won
  Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Won
  Yes$62 @ 88.3¢
• Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$15 @ 75.5¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$7 @ 87.1¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
  No$211 @ 84.2¢

Current positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 92.2¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.4k @ 65.5¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$992 @ 90.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
  No$809 @ 89.9¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$706 @ 88.2¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$691 @ 76.8¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$684 @ 62.2¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$592 @ 84.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  Yes$501 @ 41.8¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$489 @ 81.5¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Politics
  No$375 @ 93.7¢
• Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$287 @ 95.8¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Crypto
  No$254 @ 84.5¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  No$243 @ 81.1¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$239 @ 68.3¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Geopolitics
  Yes$219 @ 87.5¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$205 @ 34.2¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?Crypto
  No$194 @ 97.1¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Crypto
  No$194 @ 96.9¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$178 @ 50.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics
  No$174 @ 87.0¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$154 @ 69.8¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?Crypto
  No$141 @ 94.2¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Politics
  Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$131 @ 76.9¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$131 @ 17.4¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$129 @ 86.1¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$128 @ 85.3¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$120 @ 30.0¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$100 @ 66.7¢