← Smart money
0x08ab…3af9
SharpEdge
+8.5pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
63% @ 54.8¢
Brier
0.161
Resolved
1157
Avg size
$20
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 65% (137/212) | +7% | 212 |
| Other | 63% (46/73) | -3% | 73 |
| Geopolitics | 84% (42/50) | +11% | 50 |
| Crypto | 62% (16/26) | +32% | 26 |
| Tech | 78% (7/9) | +135% | 9 |
| Sports | 75% (6/8) | +1% | 8 |
| Economy | 67% (2/3) | -2% | 3 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Politics212 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (137/212)
- ROI
- +7%
- Other73 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (46/73)
- ROI
- -3%
- Geopolitics50 bets
- Hit rate
- 84% (42/50)
- ROI
- +11%
- Crypto26 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (16/26)
- ROI
- +32%
- Tech9 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- +135%
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- +1%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -2%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
67% hit · 257/383- No$100 @ 66.7¢
- No$809 @ 89.9¢
- No$38 @ 63.7¢
- Yes$22 @ 43.8¢
- Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$189 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 33.0¢
- No$44 @ 88.3¢
- Yes$129 @ 86.1¢
- No$41 @ 82.0¢
- No$13 @ 64.0¢
- No$92 @ 92.0¢
- No$12 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 43.7¢
- No$35 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 68.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 29.0¢
- No$6 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 91.2¢
- No$273 @ 91.0¢
- No$33 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 60.4¢
- Yes$14 @ 45.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 55.0¢
- No$19 @ 63.0¢
- No$13 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 88.3¢
- Yes$74 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
- No$7 @ 70.0¢
- No$17 @ 85.0¢
- No$37 @ 92.6¢
- No$10 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 75.0¢
- No$17 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 75.0¢
- No$35 @ 70.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 15.7¢
- Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$48 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 70.6¢
- No$128 @ 85.3¢
- No$691 @ 76.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$2.2k @ 55.9¢
- No$959 @ 95.9¢
- No$809 @ 73.5¢
- No$684 @ 62.2¢
- No$673 @ 92.6¢
- No$654 @ 81.7¢
- Yes$564 @ 33.2¢
- Iran full airspace closure by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$558 @ 69.8¢
- Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?PoliticsYes$486 @ 97.1¢
- No$428 @ 85.5¢
- No$394 @ 78.8¢
- Yes$337 @ 67.3¢
- Yes$265 @ 24.1¢
- Iran full airspace closure by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$219 @ 24.3¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$218 @ 72.7¢
- No$180 @ 90.2¢
- Yes$170 @ 84.9¢
- No$166 @ 83.0¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$138 @ 34.0¢
- No$114 @ 67.2¢
- Yes$101 @ 14.5¢
- Yes$101 @ 84.5¢
- Yes$98 @ 44.7¢
- No$78 @ 77.8¢
- No$71 @ 71.0¢
- No$71 @ 71.0¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$45 @ 55.9¢
- Yes$45 @ 59.4¢
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$40 @ 80.0¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$35 @ 44.3¢