← Smart money
0x7d26…ccb8
SharpEdge
+8.9pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
75% @ 66.0¢
Brier
0.148
Resolved
649
Avg size
$94
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 69% (179/259) | +10% | 259 |
| Sports | 53% (8/15) | +23% | 15 |
| Politics | 57% (4/7) | +3% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -23% | 4 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +16% | 1 |
- Other259 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (179/259)
- ROI
- +10%
- Sports15 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (8/15)
- ROI
- +23%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +3%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -23%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +16%
Track record
67% hit · 193/286- Matteo Berrettini$51 @ 53.0¢
- Sabalenka$122 @ 81.0¢
- No$386 @ 82.7¢
- Li$60 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 19.5¢
- Medvedev$82 @ 82.0¢
- No$53 @ 88.0¢
- Luciano Darderi$30 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$311 @ 86.0¢
- No$98 @ 49.0¢
- No$83 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 81.8¢
- Alcaraz$80 @ 66.0¢
- Cobolli $416 @ 72.3¢
- Jannik Sinner$200 @ 66.7¢
- Alcaraz$166 @ 83.0¢
- Zverev$85 @ 65.6¢
- Martinez$20 @ 6.3¢
- No$347 @ 77.0¢
- Auger-Aliassime$52 @ 76.0¢
- Alexander Zverev$236 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$61 @ 63.2¢
- Alcaraz$1.0k @ 72.8¢
- Sinner $757 @ 59.0¢
- Sabalenka$158 @ 79.0¢
- Ruud$554 @ 84.8¢
- Over 2.5$78 @ 78.0¢
- Paolini$49 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 82.0¢
- Sinner$193 @ 77.1¢
- Sinner$168 @ 88.6¢
- No$241 @ 84.3¢
- No$601 @ 83.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 79.0¢
- Bublik$50 @ 56.0¢
- Shelton$357 @ 79.4¢
- No$86 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$90 @ 60.0¢
- No$166 @ 83.0¢
- Bublik$80 @ 80.0¢
- Darderi$46 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$48 @ 68.0¢
- No$84 @ 84.0¢
- No$40 @ 79.0¢
- Lorenzo Musetti$74 @ 74.0¢
- Sinner $77 @ 64.0¢
- Sonego$310 @ 44.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 85.4¢
- Sabalenka$204 @ 67.0¢
- No$312 @ 78.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Culture | No | $1.5k | 96.9¢ |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $556 | 94.9¢ |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Politics | No | $516 | 86.0¢ |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Tech | No | $154 | 77.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Politics | No | $90 | 90.0¢ |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | No | $87 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $82 | 82.0¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Politics | No | $77 | 86.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $52 | 86.0¢ |
- No$1.5k @ 96.9¢
- No$556 @ 94.9¢
- No$516 @ 86.0¢
- No$154 @ 77.0¢
- No$90 @ 90.0¢
- No$87 @ 87.0¢
- No$82 @ 82.0¢
- No$77 @ 86.0¢
- No$52 @ 86.0¢