0x77c3…00c8

Specialization by sphere

• Other143 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (67/143)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics26 bets

  Hit rate

  65% (17/26)

  ROI

  +13%

• Sports8 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (4/8)

  ROI

  -25%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  +20%

• Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$3.0k @ 84.3¢
• Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Won
  No$1.0k @ 89.6¢
• Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
• Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 1.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$1.2k @ 85.4¢
• Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 2.2¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$235 @ 76.6¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 11.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$160 @ 6.2¢
• Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$28 @ 81.0¢
• Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Lost
  No$60 @ 2.3¢
• Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$523 @ 87.1¢
• Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
• Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$440 @ 79.4¢
• Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Lost
  No$12 @ 58.0¢
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$90 @ 27.7¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
  No$23 @ 81.0¢
• Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Won
  No$62 @ 62.0¢
• Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?Won
  Yes$11 @ 57.3¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$14.4k @ 77.2¢
• Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$248 @ 83.3¢
• Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?Lost
  No$27 @ 45.8¢
• Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$22 @ 74.1¢
• Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
  Yes$75 @ 37.5¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$227 @ 81.0¢
• Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$5.3k @ 44.6¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Won
  Yes$261 @ 84.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Won
  No$352 @ 84.6¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?Won
  Yes$537 @ 85.1¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Lost
  No$430 @ 86.0¢
• Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?Lost
  Yes$54 @ 54.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Won
  No$464 @ 56.2¢
• US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Lost
  Yes$455 @ 25.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
  No$3.8k @ 87.8¢
• Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Won
  No$645 @ 72.0¢
• Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?Won
  Yes$84 @ 89.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$3.1k @ 79.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 86.0¢
• Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$118 @ 67.9¢
• Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
  No$521 @ 86.8¢
• Iran leadership change by March 13?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 8.0¢
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$268 @ 89.2¢
• Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?Won
  No$35 @ 88.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
  No$220 @ 77.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 87.0¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Lost
  Yes$148 @ 22.6¢
• Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in February?Won
  No$68 @ 82.7¢
• Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Lost
  No$43 @ 26.6¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
  No$19 @ 33.7¢

Current positions

• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$26.7k @ 93.1¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$22.5k @ 86.4¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
  No$11.1k @ 90.4¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$5.0k @ 99.5¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$4.9k @ 88.0¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$4.0k @ 94.7¢
• US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.6k @ 91.0¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$2.9k @ 81.5¢
• Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics
  No$2.8k @ 99.1¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$2.6k @ 87.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$2.5k @ 95.2¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$1.3k @ 85.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 87.2¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$1.1k @ 80.9¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$1.0k @ 97.6¢
• Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics
  Yes$940 @ 97.7¢
• Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$919 @ 94.2¢
• Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
  No$840 @ 75.0¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$680 @ 85.0¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  No$655 @ 65.0¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?Politics
  Yes$562 @ 93.6¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$548 @ 90.8¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  Yes$475 @ 60.4¢
• Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$445 @ 91.0¢
• Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$440 @ 95.0¢
• Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$422 @ 95.0¢
• Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$415 @ 93.3¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$384 @ 73.0¢
• Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$320 @ 82.1¢
• Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics
  No$249 @ 83.0¢