0x77c3…00c8

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other149 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (67/149)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics74 bets

  Hit rate

  77% (57/74)

  ROI

  +5%

• Geopolitics37 bets

  Hit rate

  81% (30/37)

  ROI

  +8%

• Sports13 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (5/13)

  ROI

  -26%

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Won
  Yes$9.5k @ 99.6¢
• Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$139 @ 93.0¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Won
  No$1.3k @ 85.0¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 5.3¢
• Will Trump say "Susie" or "Wiles" during "60 Minutes" extended interview?Lost
  Yes$34 @ 28.0¢
• US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?Won
  Yes$10.3k @ 94.7¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Won
  Yes$3.0k @ 99.4¢
• US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?Won
  No$21 @ 74.0¢
• US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 1.4¢
• Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?Lost
  Yes$139 @ 16.8¢
• Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 8.5¢
• US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?Won
  No$64 @ 32.0¢
• Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$65 @ 21.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
  Yes$10.9k @ 98.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 92.2¢
• United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Take First CornerLost
  United States$24 @ 58.0¢
• Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 24.9¢
• United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceLost
  Bosnia and Herzegovina$32 @ 16.0¢
• Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?Lost
  Yes$237 @ 92.9¢
• Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?Lost
  Yes$64 @ 4.9¢
• Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?Lost
  No$26 @ 13.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$65 @ 10.9¢
• Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$58 @ 5.2¢
• Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?Won
  No$161 @ 95.5¢
• Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$364 @ 91.0¢
• Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$1 @ 74.0¢
• Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Won
  No$472 @ 97.6¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseLost
  Yes$10 @ 0.7¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseLost
  Yes$100 @ 25.0¢
• Will Iran target Egypt by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$55 @ 92.2¢
• Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$72 @ 18.0¢
• Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Won
  Yes$940 @ 97.7¢
• Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Won
  Yes$176 @ 88.1¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?Won
  No$1.6k @ 96.4¢
• Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 72.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?Won
  Yes$480 @ 98.2¢
• Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$93 @ 93.1¢
• Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?Lost
  Yes$66 @ 33.0¢
• Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Won
  No$299 @ 93.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?Won
  No$5.0k @ 99.2¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Won
  No$3.8k @ 96.0¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Won
  No$820 @ 94.5¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.6k @ 81.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 94.5¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Won
  Yes$6.3k @ 99.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Won
  Yes$880 @ 88.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Won
  Yes$2.4k @ 91.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Won
  Yes$8.6k @ 99.2¢
• Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Lost
  No$217 @ 72.3¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Won
  Yes$12 @ 78.9¢

Current positions

• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$26.7k @ 93.2¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$24.5k @ 88.6¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Geopolitics
  Yes$9.5k @ 99.6¢
• Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
  No$7.4k @ 86.7¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Politics
  No$4.6k @ 91.9¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
  No$4.5k @ 75.5¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$3.5k @ 70.6¢
• US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.1k @ 91.0¢
• Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.8k @ 94.6¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 93.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 59.1¢
• Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$2.4k @ 91.0¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$2.4k @ 81.5¢
• Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 94.2¢
• Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 98.6¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.9k @ 97.9¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$1.5k @ 87.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 67.0¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 54.2¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?Politics
  Yes$876 @ 55.0¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$680 @ 85.0¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  No$655 @ 65.0¢
• Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$558 @ 93.0¢
• Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?—
  No$512 @ 26.7¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
  No$486 @ 64.0¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  Yes$475 @ 60.4¢
• Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026?Politics
  No$450 @ 99.0¢
• Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$440 @ 95.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics
  Yes$331 @ 23.8¢
• Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$304 @ 83.2¢