0x2136…ee56

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other32 bets

  Hit rate

  78% (25/32)

  ROI

  +14%

• Politics24 bets

  Hit rate

  79% (19/24)

  ROI

  +2%

• Geopolitics12 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (12/12)

  ROI

  +9%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +4%

• Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Won
  No$37 @ 91.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?Lost
  No$143 @ 78.8¢
• Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Won
  No$11.2k @ 87.9¢
• Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Won
  No$260 @ 88.3¢
• Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?Won
  No$64 @ 89.9¢
• Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?Won
  No$600 @ 70.0¢
• South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?Lost
  No$300 @ 19.2¢
• Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$20 @ 88.6¢
• Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?Won
  No$1.0k @ 80.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 7.0¢
• Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
  No$2.7k @ 88.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$10.0k @ 87.7¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
  No$9.2k @ 79.4¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Lost
  Yes$127 @ 12.7¢
• Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 2.3¢
• Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Lost
  No$400 @ 57.7¢
• Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?Won
  No$1000 @ 75.4¢
• Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?Won
  No$500 @ 82.0¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Won
  No$2.7k @ 82.9¢
• Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Won
  No$1.2k @ 88.8¢
• Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$175 @ 73.0¢
• Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? Won
  Yes$300 @ 43.7¢
• Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$1.4k @ 82.0¢
• Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?Lost
  No$700 @ 81.8¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
  No$4.8k @ 68.7¢
• Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?Won
  No$575 @ 80.0¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Won
  No$575 @ 88.5¢
• Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?Won
  No$1000 @ 80.6¢
• Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?Won
  No$1.5k @ 88.1¢
• India unbans TikTok by December 31?Won
  No$858 @ 88.5¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Won
  No$9.2k @ 82.7¢
• Israel withdraws from Syria before October?Won
  No$600 @ 80.7¢
• Iran leadership change by March 31?Won
  No$2.8k @ 81.9¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
  Yes$717 @ 68.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
  No$20.4k @ 84.8¢
• Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Won
  No$100 @ 87.0¢
• Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?Won
  No$2.9k @ 87.8¢
• Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Won
  No$5.2k @ 82.7¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
  No$616 @ 29.3¢
• Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Won
  No$360 @ 51.7¢
• Xi Jinping out in 2025?Won
  No$575 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Won
  No$829 @ 88.1¢
• Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Lost
  No$800 @ 66.8¢
• Israeli forces enter Choukine by September 30?Won
  No$10 @ 96.6¢
• Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30?Won
  No$194 @ 97.0¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$232 @ 79.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Won
  No$1.2k @ 96.0¢
• US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?Won
  No$121 @ 93.0¢
• Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?Won
  No$356 @ 89.8¢
• Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$17 @ 90.0¢

Current positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  No$13.6k @ 82.3¢
• Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics
  No$11.5k @ 88.1¢
• Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  No$9.6k @ 96.7¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$9.4k @ 84.5¢
• Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Politics
  No$5.1k @ 87.6¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$4.0k @ 93.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics
  No$4.0k @ 80.2¢
• US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics
  No$3.6k @ 84.2¢
• Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 85.8¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 78.6¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$2.4k @ 67.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$2.1k @ 70.0¢
• Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 82.5¢
• Halle Berry as Storm?Culture
  No$1.5k @ 80.2¢
• Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Culture
  No$1.5k @ 87.3¢
• Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 88.1¢
• Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?Culture
  No$1.1k @ 81.4¢
• Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 88.8¢
• Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$799 @ 88.4¢
• Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto
  No$284 @ 89.8¢
• Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?Politics
  No$275 @ 75.5¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$139 @ 78.9¢
• Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$59 @ 89.9¢
• Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
  No$20 @ 87.7¢