0x5d14…f8bd

Specialization by sphere

• Other35 bets

  Hit rate

  74% (26/35)

  ROI

  +23%

• Politics12 bets

  Hit rate

  92% (11/12)

  ROI

  +13%

• Geopolitics9 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (9/9)

  ROI

  +17%

• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Won
  Yes$15 @ 89.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Won
  No$179 @ 89.5¢
• UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
  Makhachev$15 @ 73.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$58 @ 85.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$2.6k @ 87.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Won
  No$137 @ 88.9¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.2k @ 85.8¢
• Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Won
  No$1.9k @ 60.3¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Won
  No$340 @ 85.1¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$54 @ 46.2¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 67.4¢
• Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Lost
  No$1.4k @ 54.4¢
• Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
  No$42 @ 89.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Won
  No$24 @ 86.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$25 @ 87.0¢
• Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Won
  Yes$1.7k @ 73.5¢
• Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?Won
  No$22 @ 86.3¢
• Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?Won
  No$3.2k @ 69.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Won
  No$11 @ 85.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
  No$1.2k @ 79.8¢
• Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$83 @ 70.0¢
• Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Lost
  No$313 @ 16.4¢
• Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Won
  Yes$60 @ 88.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?Won
  No$52 @ 88.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$138 @ 87.1¢
• Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Lost
  No$199 @ 65.4¢
• Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Won
  Yes$36 @ 31.0¢
• Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 82.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
  No$380 @ 87.5¢
• Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Won
  No$13 @ 89.1¢
• Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$23 @ 74.3¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
  No$244 @ 82.8¢
• Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Won
  No$15 @ 86.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Lost
  No$1.4k @ 55.1¢
• Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$79 @ 83.5¢
• Iran leadership change by April 30?Won
  No$52 @ 66.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Won
  No$71 @ 75.0¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?Won
  Yes$76 @ 80.4¢
• Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Won
  No$105 @ 89.0¢
• Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Won
  No$178 @ 78.9¢
• Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?Won
  Yes$14 @ 72.0¢
• Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Won
  No$70 @ 78.3¢
• Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Won
  Yes$170 @ 88.4¢
• Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Lost
  No$7 @ 15.0¢
• Iran leadership change by March 31?Won
  No$45 @ 66.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$102 @ 87.8¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Won
  No$175 @ 87.4¢
• Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$65 @ 9.5¢
• Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Won
  No$11 @ 80.0¢

Current positions

• Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics
  No$436 @ 96.3¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$343 @ 92.5¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$204 @ 98.8¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$129 @ 86.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$29 @ 74.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$27 @ 96.5¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?Politics
  No$25 @ 98.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$17 @ 99.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$15 @ 98.3¢
• Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 99.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 98.0¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
  No$6 @ 89.0¢