← Smart money
0x000d…758e
ProfitableEdge
-30.5pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
48% @ 78.1¢
Brier
0.359
Resolved
248
Avg size
$2.3k
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 73% (11/15) | -8% | 15 |
| Politics | 86% (12/14) | +17% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (3/3) | +15% | 3 |
- Other15 bets
- Hit rate
- 73% (11/15)
- ROI
- -8%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (12/14)
- ROI
- +17%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +15%
Track record
81% hit · 26/32- No$365 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$447 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$11.1k @ 77.8¢
- No$2.7k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$91 @ 85.0¢
- No$880 @ 88.0¢
- No$4.2k @ 70.0¢
- No$38.8k @ 87.2¢
- Yes$46.3k @ 80.4¢
- Yes$34.3k @ 82.4¢
- No$2.3k @ 79.0¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 88.9¢
- No$4.0k @ 16.5¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 82.4¢
- No$1.1k @ 87.2¢
- Yes$27.7k @ 86.6¢
- No$8.7k @ 86.9¢
- No$96.1k @ 80.7¢
- No$29.9k @ 84.7¢
- No$4.8k @ 72.8¢
- No$1.3k @ 89.1¢
- Yes$7.8k @ 86.4¢
- No$8.7k @ 80.2¢
- Yes$9.9k @ 66.7¢
- Yes$19.1k @ 74.4¢
- No$413 @ 77.8¢
- No$196.0k @ 86.6¢
- No$164 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$11.9k @ 89.3¢
- No$10.8k @ 85.6¢
- No$57.5k @ 88.8¢
- No$41.6k @ 67.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$148.0k @ 81.5¢
- No$122.4k @ 96.2¢
- No$75.4k @ 96.8¢
- No$37.8k @ 91.1¢
- Yes$37.8k @ 69.8¢
- Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsNo$16.0k @ 90.8¢
- Yes$12.4k @ 37.2¢
- No$12.0k @ 97.2¢
- No$11.8k @ 97.0¢
- No$9.8k @ 58.9¢
- Yes$8.7k @ 95.7¢
- No$6.7k @ 95.8¢
- No$6.3k @ 87.0¢
- No$6.3k @ 97.7¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 69.2¢
- Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$4.8k @ 76.9¢
- No$4.7k @ 66.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 47.1¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 35.3¢
- No$2.6k @ 96.4¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 18.0¢
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?GeopoliticsYes$2.4k @ 82.9¢
- No$2.3k @ 68.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 78.2¢
- No$1.4k @ 87.9¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 94.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 1.5¢
- Yes$995 @ 36.6¢
- No$689 @ 80.0¢