0x000d…758e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-10.8pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

60% @ 71.2¢

Brier

0.254

Resolved

674

Avg size

$2.2k

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	83% (39/47)	+4%	47
Other	74% (25/34)	-2%	34
Geopolitics	77% (10/13)	+8%	13
Sports	71% (5/7)	+5%	7

Politics47 bets
Hit rate
83% (39/47)
ROI
+4%
Other34 bets
Hit rate
74% (25/34)
ROI
-2%
Geopolitics13 bets
Hit rate
77% (10/13)
ROI
+8%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
+5%

Track record

78% hit · 79/101

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$447	89.0¢	Won
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$27.7k	82.7¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$11.1k	77.8¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	90.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$2.7k	57.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	$91	85.0¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$35.7k	85.6¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$10.8k	85.6¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$880	88.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	$20.6k	87.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$7.1k	61.6¢	Lost
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	$4.2k	70.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$17.5k	50.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$38.8k	87.2¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$5.2k	61.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$46.3k	80.4¢	Won
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$12.8k	84.1¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$34.3k	82.4¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$2.3k	79.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$19.9k	87.9¢	Won
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$933	6.9¢	Lost
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$701	88.0¢	Won
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$4.1k	88.9¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$4.0k	16.5¢	Lost
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$2.4k	16.6¢	Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	Yes	$20.6k	82.7¢	Won
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	$4.1k	82.4¢	Won
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	$1.1k	87.2¢	Won
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$27.7k	86.6¢	Lost
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	$63.2k	52.2¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$8.7k	86.9¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$96.1k	80.7¢	Won
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	$23.5k	63.5¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	$9.9k	76.8¢	Won
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	$6.0k	88.1¢	Won
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	$29.9k	84.7¢	Won
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$4.8k	72.8¢	Lost
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	$1.3k	89.1¢	Won
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	$26.0k	67.6¢	Won
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$7.8k	86.4¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	$8.7k	80.2¢	Won
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	No	$61.9k	88.8¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$41.6k	67.5¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$9.9k	66.7¢	Won
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$19.1k	74.4¢	Lost
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	No	$413	77.8¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$196.0k	86.6¢	Won
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	$164	82.0¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$114.6k	85.7¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$11.9k	89.3¢	Won

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$447 @ 89.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$27.7k @ 82.7¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$11.1k @ 77.8¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 90.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
No$2.7k @ 57.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Won
Yes$91 @ 85.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$35.7k @ 85.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Won
No$10.8k @ 85.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$880 @ 88.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
No$20.6k @ 87.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$7.1k @ 61.6¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Won
No$4.2k @ 70.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Lost
Yes$17.5k @ 50.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
No$38.8k @ 87.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Won
Yes$5.2k @ 61.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$46.3k @ 80.4¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$12.8k @ 84.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
Yes$34.3k @ 82.4¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$2.3k @ 79.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
No$19.9k @ 87.9¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$933 @ 6.9¢
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$701 @ 88.0¢
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 88.9¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$4.0k @ 16.5¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 16.6¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Won
Yes$20.6k @ 82.7¢
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 82.4¢
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? Won
No$1.1k @ 87.2¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Lost
Yes$27.7k @ 86.6¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Won
Yes$63.2k @ 52.2¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$8.7k @ 86.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$96.1k @ 80.7¢
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Won
Yes$23.5k @ 63.5¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Won
Yes$9.9k @ 76.8¢
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Won
No$6.0k @ 88.1¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Won
No$29.9k @ 84.7¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$4.8k @ 72.8¢
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 89.1¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Won
No$26.0k @ 67.6¢
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$7.8k @ 86.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Won
No$8.7k @ 80.2¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$61.9k @ 88.8¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
No$41.6k @ 67.5¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
Yes$9.9k @ 66.7¢
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
Yes$19.1k @ 74.4¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Won
No$413 @ 77.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
No$196.0k @ 86.6¢
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Won
No$164 @ 82.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
Yes$114.6k @ 85.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$11.9k @ 89.3¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$222.5k	83.6¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$125.4k	96.5¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$72.2k	76.3¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$53.3k	95.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$43.7k	90.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Politics	No	$34.7k	95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$33.6k	79.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$27.9k	87.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$20.5k	89.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$18.1k	71.9¢
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$12.0k	93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$8.0k	25.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Sports	No	$7.4k	79.7¢
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Politics	Yes	$6.3k	87.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$6.0k	30.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$5.8k	72.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5.1k	92.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5.0k	69.2¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$4.7k	66.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$4.5k	91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4.0k	88.5¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$3.2k	64.0¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.0k	35.3¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$2.4k	18.0¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2.4k	4.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2.4k	1.9¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$2.2k	73.0¢
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	No	$1.8k	95.8¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$1.3k	94.0¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	1.5¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$222.5k @ 83.6¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$125.4k @ 96.5¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$72.2k @ 76.3¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$53.3k @ 95.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$43.7k @ 90.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics
No$34.7k @ 95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$33.6k @ 79.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$27.9k @ 87.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$20.5k @ 89.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$18.1k @ 71.9¢
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$12.0k @ 93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$8.0k @ 25.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
No$7.4k @ 79.7¢
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
Yes$6.3k @ 87.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$6.0k @ 30.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
Yes$5.8k @ 72.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5.1k @ 92.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$5.0k @ 69.2¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$4.7k @ 66.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$4.5k @ 91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$4.0k @ 88.5¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$3.2k @ 64.0¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.0k @ 35.3¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$2.4k @ 18.0¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$2.4k @ 4.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2.4k @ 1.9¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$2.2k @ 73.0¢
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
No$1.8k @ 95.8¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$1.3k @ 94.0¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 1.5¢