← Smart money
0xd34b…0004
SharpEdge
+12.5pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
65% @ 52.8¢
Brier
0.169
Resolved
3227
Avg size
$124
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 61% (83/136) | +12% | 136 |
| Politics | 64% (56/87) | +8% | 87 |
| Sports | 55% (34/62) | +43% | 62 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (12/16) | +18% | 16 |
| Business | 100% (10/10) | +0% | 10 |
| Tech | 33% (2/6) | -78% | 6 |
| Economy | 33% (1/3) | +36% | 3 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +54% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +62% | 1 |
- Other136 bets
- Hit rate
- 61% (83/136)
- ROI
- +12%
- Politics87 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (56/87)
- ROI
- +8%
- Sports62 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (34/62)
- ROI
- +43%
- Geopolitics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (12/16)
- ROI
- +18%
- Business10 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (10/10)
- ROI
- +0%
- Tech6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- -78%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +36%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +54%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +62%
Track record
62% hit · 200/323- No$487 @ 61.5¢
- No$233 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$931 @ 80.4¢
- No$197 @ 54.7¢
- No$134 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.4¢
- No$292 @ 73.0¢
- Ciryl Gane$2.4k @ 47.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
- No$444 @ 10.0¢
- No$96 @ 83.9¢
- No$198 @ 65.0¢
- No$207 @ 86.5¢
- Damian Knyba$568 @ 55.4¢
- No$158 @ 70.3¢
- Yes$96 @ 48.0¢
- No$75 @ 22.6¢
- Yes$74 @ 14.7¢
- No$12 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 34.0¢
- No$926 @ 46.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$596 @ 53.9¢
- No$4.6k @ 76.3¢
- No$725 @ 72.5¢
- Yes$81 @ 7.3¢
- No$290 @ 58.0¢
- Mackenzie Dern$2.6k @ 64.0¢
- No$15 @ 15.0¢
- No$579 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$205 @ 0.9¢
- No$9 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 40.5¢
- No$1.8k @ 82.2¢
- No$2.7k @ 82.2¢
- No$2.7k @ 63.6¢
- Yes$221 @ 29.4¢
- No$1.6k @ 75.2¢
- No$829 @ 41.7¢
- No$2.6k @ 71.5¢
- No$116 @ 21.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 80.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 68.5¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 59.8¢
- No$6.0k @ 64.2¢
- Yes$73 @ 5.0¢
- No$3.6k @ 78.3¢
- No$536 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$203 @ 17.3¢
- No$1.6k @ 74.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$20.5k @ 82.1¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$10.6k @ 91.2¢
- Yes$8.9k @ 54.0¢
- No$6.4k @ 57.7¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 74.3¢
- New pandemic in 2026?GeopoliticsNo$1.6k @ 87.5¢
- No$1.6k @ 73.7¢
- No$1.3k @ 77.7¢
- No$1.3k @ 91.3¢
- No$1.1k @ 94.8¢
- No$1.1k @ 91.1¢
- No$1.0k @ 84.4¢
- No$948 @ 93.9¢
- No$917 @ 80.4¢
- No$647 @ 91.1¢
- Yes$641 @ 11.5¢
- No$615 @ 90.4¢
- No$581 @ 82.8¢
- Yes$560 @ 14.0¢
- No$558 @ 60.9¢
- No$552 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$510 @ 9.0¢
- No$444 @ 88.7¢
- No$397 @ 54.1¢
- No$387 @ 89.7¢
- No$349 @ 64.9¢
- No$208 @ 84.9¢
- No$147 @ 91.7¢
- No$104 @ 86.5¢
- No$90 @ 90.0¢