0x165e…f5aa

Specialization by sphere

• Other439 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (280/439)

  ROI

  +12%

• Politics57 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (38/57)

  ROI

  +23%

• Geopolitics16 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (10/16)

  ROI

  -12%

• Sports13 bets

  Hit rate

  23% (3/13)

  ROI

  -57%

• Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$624 @ 87.8¢
• Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Hanyu GuoWon
  Anastasia Gasanova$235 @ 47.0¢
• Will Trump say "Panama" during the State of the Union address?Won
  No$35 @ 53.0¢
• Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Ohio visit?Lost
  Yes$110 @ 24.6¢
• Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Lost
  No$157 @ 34.8¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$127 @ 38.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
  Yes$4 @ 60.0¢
• Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)Won
  Yes$57 @ 44.0¢
• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Lost
  No$110 @ 42.6¢
• Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Lost
  No$482 @ 51.2¢
• Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during the FII PRIORITY Summit?Won
  Yes$204 @ 63.0¢
• Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Lost
  No$423 @ 78.5¢
• Will Trump say "Rebuild" during trophy presentation?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 20.0¢
• Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Miami address?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 4.8¢
• Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?Won
  No$16 @ 82.0¢
• Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Won
  No$250 @ 66.6¢
• Will Trump say "Memphis" during the State of the Union address?Won
  Yes$442 @ 41.8¢
• Will Trump say "Slopadopolous" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
  No$92 @ 83.0¢
• Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)Lost
  No$318 @ 84.6¢
• Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
  Yes$34 @ 1.0¢
• Will Trump say "Too late" during events with Rutte?Won
  No$125 @ 55.0¢
• Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs m1x (BO1) - DraculaN Group DWon
  HyperSpirit$184 @ 46.0¢
• Will Trump say "Crying Chuck" or "Cryin Chuck" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
  No$108 @ 74.0¢
• Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Miami address?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 33.0¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$148 @ 78.0¢
• Will Trump say "Energy" 5+ times during the Champion of Coal event?Won
  Yes$174 @ 73.0¢
• Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?Won
  Yes$181 @ 33.5¢
• Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?Won
  No$32 @ 38.0¢
• Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?Won
  No$23 @ 64.0¢
• Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 34.0¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$357 @ 63.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Lost
  No$54 @ 27.0¢
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Won
  No$2.2k @ 74.8¢
• Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Won
  No$595 @ 67.0¢
• Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?Won
  Yes$156 @ 42.4¢
• Will Vance say "Made in America" during his Rocky Mount visit?Won
  No$21 @ 75.0¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
  Yes$153 @ 40.5¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Won
  No$210 @ 84.0¢
• Will Trump say "NATO" during Board of Peace events on February 19?Lost
  No$181 @ 49.3¢
• Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)Won
  No$759 @ 61.7¢
• Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 1.2¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$5.7k @ 80.9¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
  Yes$119 @ 66.0¢
• Will Trump say "Biden" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Won
  No$510 @ 68.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Won
  No$1.1k @ 83.0¢
• Will Trump say "Drone" during WHCA Dinner events?Won
  No$12 @ 66.0¢
• Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during the Black History Month reception?Won
  No$12 @ 60.0¢
• Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
  Yes$730 @ 88.0¢
• Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?Lost
  No$402 @ 33.4¢
• Will Trump say "America First" during Miami address?Won
  No$84 @ 45.0¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$4.7k @ 73.5¢
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$3.0k @ 40.6¢
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.4k @ 42.9¢
• Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.2k @ 73.2¢
• Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.0k @ 48.2¢
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$948 @ 79.4¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$944 @ 54.5¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$925 @ 75.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$899 @ 90.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$713 @ 52.4¢
• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$694 @ 71.9¢
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$520 @ 78.8¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Politics
  No$467 @ 39.1¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$444 @ 28.0¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics
  No$439 @ 53.3¢
• Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$430 @ 60.8¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$385 @ 40.5¢
• Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$370 @ 93.3¢
• Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$311 @ 60.6¢
• Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics
  No$300 @ 85.0¢
• Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by September 30?Politics
  No$233 @ 92.1¢
• Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$218 @ 67.9¢
• Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?Politics
  No$138 @ 81.2¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$135 @ 17.4¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$135 @ 61.6¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$111 @ 40.0¢
• Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$105 @ 14.0¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics
  No$64 @ 57.0¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$52 @ 21.9¢
• Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$26 @ 97.9¢