← Smart money
0x165e…f5aa
SharpEdge
+2.6pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
26% @ 23.4¢
Brier
0.091
Resolved
4486
Avg size
$48
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 58% (280/484) | +5% | 484 |
| Politics | 50% (51/103) | +13% | 103 |
| Geopolitics | 63% (26/41) | -22% | 41 |
| Sports | 23% (3/13) | -57% | 13 |
- Other484 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (280/484)
- ROI
- +5%
- Politics103 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (51/103)
- ROI
- +13%
- Geopolitics41 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (26/41)
- ROI
- -22%
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 23% (3/13)
- ROI
- -57%
Track record
56% hit · 360/641- No$385 @ 40.5¢
- No$467 @ 39.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$842 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$43 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$495 @ 42.1¢
- No$31 @ 7.0¢
- No$29 @ 35.0¢
- No$373 @ 21.3¢
- No$1.3k @ 30.7¢
- No$136 @ 41.0¢
- No$286 @ 43.0¢
- No$82 @ 24.6¢
- Yes$74 @ 32.0¢
- No$12 @ 8.0¢
- No$2 @ 30.0¢
- No$132 @ 22.9¢
- No$266 @ 66.1¢
- No$28 @ 37.0¢
- No$40 @ 41.5¢
- No$432 @ 71.4¢
- No$61 @ 11.0¢
- No$366 @ 66.0¢
- No$400 @ 43.7¢
- No$260 @ 51.4¢
- No$443 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 25.6¢
- No$238 @ 36.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$182 @ 49.0¢
- No$173 @ 52.0¢
- No$115 @ 52.8¢
- No$78 @ 35.0¢
- No$52 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 61.0¢
- No$574 @ 90.4¢
- No$400 @ 45.2¢
- No$77 @ 69.0¢
- No$143 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$135 @ 61.0¢
- No$85 @ 37.0¢
- No$151 @ 34.0¢
- No$28 @ 46.0¢
- No$7 @ 41.0¢
- No$75 @ 61.9¢
- Yes$12 @ 47.0¢
- No$47 @ 23.7¢
- Yes$78 @ 75.0¢
- No$143 @ 43.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$8.0k @ 86.9¢
- No$3.7k @ 81.7¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 40.6¢
- No$2.6k @ 51.5¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 28.5¢
- No$2.0k @ 93.4¢
- Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?GeopoliticsNo$1.6k @ 91.4¢
- No$1.5k @ 70.3¢
- No$1.3k @ 30.7¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 1.8¢
- No$1.1k @ 94.2¢
- No$990 @ 71.0¢
- Iran full airspace closure by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$925 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$914 @ 53.1¢
- No$867 @ 62.3¢
- No$852 @ 67.7¢
- Yes$842 @ 16.5¢
- No$826 @ 91.7¢
- No$738 @ 52.3¢
- No$735 @ 52.7¢
- No$683 @ 52.3¢
- Yes$635 @ 4.7¢
- No$628 @ 68.3¢
- No$614 @ 66.7¢
- No$574 @ 90.4¢
- Yes$561 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$535 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$526 @ 1.3¢
- Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?PoliticsYes$500 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$495 @ 42.1¢