0x6d9f…9790

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics95 bets

  Hit rate

  51% (48/95)

  ROI

  +32%

• Geopolitics31 bets

  Hit rate

  65% (20/31)

  ROI

  +14%

• Other27 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (11/27)

  ROI

  -11%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +188%

• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$4.2k @ 76.3¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Won
  No$61 @ 88.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
  No$5.3k @ 63.3¢
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
  Yes$8.6k @ 86.0¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$9.6k @ 65.7¢
• Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.6k @ 38.9¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$20.3k @ 81.2¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$40 @ 0.9¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$4.0k @ 81.0¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$2.7k @ 89.9¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 3.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$7.0k @ 66.6¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
  No$3.0k @ 75.9¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Won
  No$540 @ 69.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$3 @ 16.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Won
  No$2.3k @ 82.0¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
  Yes$3.6k @ 31.8¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
  Yes$10.0k @ 47.3¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Won
  No$1.6k @ 76.3¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Lost
  No$104 @ 19.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
  Yes$4.8k @ 75.7¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
  Yes$10.4k @ 64.8¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
  No$9.7k @ 72.3¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Won
  No$1.1k @ 55.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Lost
  Yes$850 @ 17.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Lost
  Yes$665 @ 13.3¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Lost
  Yes$217 @ 11.6¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 60.9¢
• Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Won
  No$255 @ 47.5¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
  No$3.4k @ 69.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
  No$6.3k @ 78.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3.0k @ 10.2¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
  No$380 @ 51.0¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Won
  Yes$22.1k @ 48.8¢
• Iran leadership change by August 31?Won
  No$4.5k @ 89.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$9.8k @ 76.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5.2k @ 11.3¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Lost
  Yes$569 @ 2.8¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Won
  No$2.4k @ 67.6¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 69.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Lost
  No$1.7k @ 34.9¢
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Won
  No$6.8k @ 44.0¢
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Lost
  Yes$15.2k @ 39.8¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Won
  No$4.0k @ 65.4¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4.4k @ 24.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$4.3k @ 85.0¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Won
  No$14.7k @ 81.5¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Lost
  Yes$23.0k @ 35.5¢
• Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 22.5¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Won
  No$5.3k @ 89.0¢

Current positions

• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$68.8k @ 82.6¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$63.2k @ 82.6¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$39.2k @ 77.3¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$19.5k @ 81.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$18.8k @ 94.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$15.9k @ 91.0¢
• Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics
  No$15.5k @ 84.3¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$15.1k @ 87.5¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$13.2k @ 65.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$11.9k @ 75.0¢
• Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics
  No$10.4k @ 73.3¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$9.1k @ 81.3¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$8.6k @ 85.5¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$8.3k @ 85.1¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics
  No$7.2k @ 79.6¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$6.5k @ 75.4¢
• US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Geopolitics
  No$6.4k @ 93.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$6.3k @ 85.4¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$6.1k @ 79.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics
  Yes$6.1k @ 77.5¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$6.0k @ 86.3¢
• Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics
  No$5.6k @ 86.8¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$5.3k @ 38.7¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$5.2k @ 64.6¢
• Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics
  No$5.2k @ 80.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
  Yes$5.2k @ 82.8¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$4.0k @ 62.8¢
• US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics
  No$3.9k @ 69.3¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 64.0¢
• UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 81.0¢