0xaab9…a08d

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other205 bets

  Hit rate

  46% (95/205)

  ROI

  +16%

• Politics68 bets

  Hit rate

  34% (23/68)

  ROI

  -21%

• Sports4 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/4)

  ROI

  -100%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +28%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +3%

• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
  Yes$832 @ 18.1¢
• Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  No$994 @ 70.4¢
• Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 21.0¢
• Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?Won
  No$665 @ 84.6¢
• Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?Lost
  Yes$291 @ 2.9¢
• Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Won
  No$701 @ 82.8¢
• Epstein client list released in 2025?Won
  No$1.0k @ 76.0¢
• U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Lost
  No$428 @ 2.6¢
• Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  No$2.2k @ 47.3¢
• Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$615 @ 16.5¢
• Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Lost
  No$279 @ 47.7¢
• Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
• Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Lost
  Yes$118 @ 47.9¢
• Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$77 @ 22.0¢
• Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Lost
  No$46 @ 8.2¢
• Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
• Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Lost
  No$801 @ 28.1¢
• Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 15.0¢
• Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Won
  Yes$2.3k @ 13.4¢
• Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
  No$212 @ 3.7¢
• Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?Lost
  Yes$110 @ 35.9¢
• Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Lost
  Yes$137 @ 12.3¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$418 @ 19.0¢
• Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  No$452 @ 30.0¢
• Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$984 @ 18.8¢
• US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Won
  No$326 @ 74.0¢
• Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Lost
  Yes$106 @ 4.1¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$7.8k @ 0.8¢
• Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Won
  Yes$3.2k @ 60.4¢
• Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Lost
  Yes$91 @ 12.7¢
• Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Lost
  No$167 @ 17.7¢
• Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
  Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
• Will The Smashing Machine win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  No$16 @ 88.5¢
• Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Won
  No$1.0k @ 73.1¢
• Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Lost
  Yes$153 @ 4.3¢
• Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
  No$269 @ 60.0¢
• Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Lost
  Yes$203 @ 28.7¢
• Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$99 @ 3.7¢
• Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Won
  Yes$806 @ 72.7¢
• Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$1.4k @ 42.3¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$719 @ 40.5¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Lost
  Yes$42 @ 6.8¢
• Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Won
  Yes$913 @ 84.1¢
• Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Won
  No$1.6k @ 70.7¢
• US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Won
  No$495 @ 82.0¢
• US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
  No$388 @ 70.0¢
• US government shutdown Saturday?Won
  Yes$18.8k @ 74.7¢
• Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Won
  Yes$189 @ 62.2¢
• Will more than 10 Senate Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 81.9¢
• Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$5 @ 2.0¢

Current positions

• Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
  Yes$9.6k @ 49.9¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  Yes$7.5k @ 26.9¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$7.1k @ 34.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$7.0k @ 13.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$3.3k @ 42.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.3k @ 40.5¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$3.1k @ 32.7¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 61.9¢
• Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 1.8¢
• U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 86.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$1.6k @ 36.5¢
• Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 82.2¢
• Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 71.2¢
• Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 39.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 19.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$865 @ 20.3¢
• Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  Yes$861 @ 47.7¢
• Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics
  No$628 @ 62.7¢
• Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?Politics
  Yes$607 @ 27.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$588 @ 29.5¢
• Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$507 @ 12.9¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Politics
  No$477 @ 50.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Politics
  Yes$444 @ 83.7¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Politics
  No$417 @ 75.1¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$378 @ 34.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?Politics
  No$342 @ 82.8¢
• Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$340 @ 29.6¢
• Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$333 @ 60.0¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics
  No$332 @ 63.2¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  Yes$323 @ 23.1¢