PoliticsActiveends Oct 26, 2026

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

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Yes

23.0¢

No

77.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 13 tracked sharps

Lean

No 66%Yes 34%

Include 2 outside the consensus pool13 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x88c4…129a	No	$13.4k	67.7¢	16×	+37%	74%	Sharp
0x524d…4495	Yes	$6.9k	34.0¢	49×	+37%	30%	Sharp
0x3825…04e8	No	$815	73.4¢	90×	+11%	61%	Sharp
0x264c…baca	No	$546	54.6¢	1.9×	+7%	58%	Sharp
0x3dca…3c13	Yes	$489	25.0¢	2.1×	+16%	53%	Sharp
0xa066…710b	Yes	$218	27.3¢	12×	+23%	43%	Profitable
0x391d…def1	No	$207	72.0¢	11×	+30%	36%	Sharp
0xeca7…9567	Yes	$70	26.7¢	2.1×	+28%	45%	Sharp
0x686d…1a68	Yes	$60	46.1¢	22×	+29%	32%	Sharp
0x9163…82ae	Yes	$58	29.0¢	4.1×	+5%	18%	Profitable
0x676c…ce51	No	$27	53.0¢	0.9×	+29%	71%	Sharp
0xf205…90b7	Yes	$27	26.7¢	0.3×	+34%	78%	Sharp
0x7daa…5928	Yes	$15	36.0¢	1.0×	+93%	58%	Sharp

0x88c4…129aSharp

No$13.4k @ 67.7¢

Conv: 16×
ROI: +37%
Win%: 74%

0x524d…4495Sharp

Yes$6.9k @ 34.0¢

Conv: 49×
ROI: +37%
Win%: 30%

0x3825…04e8Sharp

No$815 @ 73.4¢

Conv: 90×
ROI: +11%
Win%: 61%

0x264c…bacaSharp

No$546 @ 54.6¢

Conv: 1.9×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 58%

0x3dca…3c13Sharp

Yes$489 @ 25.0¢

Conv: 2.1×
ROI: +16%
Win%: 53%

0xa066…710bProfitable

Yes$218 @ 27.3¢

Conv: 12×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 43%

0x391d…def1Sharp

No$207 @ 72.0¢

Conv: 11×
ROI: +30%
Win%: 36%

0xeca7…9567Sharp

Yes$70 @ 26.7¢

Conv: 2.1×
ROI: +28%
Win%: 45%

0x686d…1a68Sharp

Yes$60 @ 46.1¢

Conv: 22×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 32%

0x9163…82aeProfitable

Yes$58 @ 29.0¢

Conv: 4.1×
ROI: +5%
Win%: 18%

0x676c…ce51Sharp

No$27 @ 53.0¢

Conv: 0.9×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 71%

0xf205…90b7Sharp

Yes$27 @ 26.7¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +34%
Win%: 78%

0x7daa…5928Sharp

Yes$15 @ 36.0¢

Conv: 1.0×
ROI: +93%
Win%: 58%