← Smart money
0x2f9d…deb3
ProfitableEdge
+27.3pp
ROI
+42%
Win rate
77% @ 49.6¢
Brier
0.353
Resolved
212
Avg size
$214
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 83% (24/29) | +46% | 29 |
| Other | 44% (4/9) | -73% | 9 |
- Politics29 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (24/29)
- ROI
- +46%
- Other9 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (4/9)
- ROI
- -73%
Track record
74% hit · 28/38- No$73 @ 71.5¢
- No$88 @ 81.4¢
- Yes$21 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$270 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$250 @ 29.6¢
- Yes$680 @ 52.7¢
- Yes$100 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 30.9¢
- Yes$979 @ 67.9¢
- Yes$724 @ 20.1¢
- Yes$213 @ 37.5¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 57.5¢
- No$94 @ 26.8¢
- Yes$4.9k @ 74.5¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 75.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 61.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 75.0¢
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?WonYes$357 @ 34.5¢
- Yes$117 @ 82.3¢
- No$523 @ 21.3¢
- Yes$109 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$213 @ 29.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 68.6¢
- Yes$447 @ 53.7¢
- Yes$105 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$337 @ 49.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$299 @ 35.2¢
- Yes$18.2k @ 72.8¢
- No$161 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$260 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 78.9¢
- No$707 @ 30.9¢
- No$592 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$970 @ 64.8¢
- Yes$365 @ 59.7¢
- Yes$412 @ 72.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$130.4k @ 70.3¢
- No$35.1k @ 78.6¢
- Yes$8.3k @ 40.8¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYes$7.9k @ 34.2¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 45.1¢
- Yes$643 @ 72.6¢
- Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?PoliticsNo$408 @ 78.0¢
- No$291 @ 70.4¢
- Yes$208 @ 37.5¢
- No$161 @ 63.0¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?PoliticsYes$110 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$74 @ 74.3¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?PoliticsYes$60 @ 27.1¢