0x629b…995a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.2pp

ROI

+32%

Win rate

48% @ 33.6¢

Brier

0.202

Resolved

5659

Avg size

$174

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	40% (223/564)	+6%	564
Other	45% (85/187)	+14%	187
Sports	42% (5/12)	+1%	12

Politics564 bets
Hit rate
40% (223/564)
ROI
+6%
Other187 bets
Hit rate
45% (85/187)
ROI
+14%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
ROI
+1%

Track record

41% hit · 313/763

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Marián Porvažník win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	$117	43.3¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	$5.8k	34.4¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	No	$333	30.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	$4.1k	82.0¢	Won
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$146	7.3¢	Lost
Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?	Yes	$2.0k	26.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	$3.3k	82.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	$305	34.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$529	26.9¢	Won
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?	No	$47	60.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	$253	60.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	$3	34.0¢	Won
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Yes	$728	27.2¢	Won
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$400	12.0¢	Won
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$26.1k	44.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	$1.5k	61.3¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	$670	67.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?	No	$6	29.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?	Yes	$0	25.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	$722	65.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	No	$8	14.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	$58	14.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	$444	40.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	$194	51.4¢	Won
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	No	$46	36.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	$711	64.0¢	Lost
Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	$100	35.0¢	Lost
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	$2.4k	50.2¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?	No	$10	9.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	$336	27.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	$19	31.0¢	Lost
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	$3.7k	67.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$701	48.0¢	Won
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	$124	9.8¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	$7.3k	73.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?	No	$389	35.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	$170	17.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	$170	17.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	$115	31.9¢	Won
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	$378	34.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	$16	18.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	$378	17.0¢	Lost
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	$539	57.9¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Yes	$1.3k	44.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?	No	$237	53.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	$220	22.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	$140	30.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	$1.9k	56.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Won

Will Marián Porvažník win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Lost
Yes$117 @ 43.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Lost
Yes$5.8k @ 34.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?Won
No$333 @ 30.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 82.0¢
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$146 @ 7.3¢
Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 26.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Won
No$3.3k @ 82.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?Won
Yes$305 @ 34.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Won
Yes$529 @ 26.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Won
No$47 @ 60.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Won
Yes$253 @ 60.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Won
No$3 @ 34.0¢
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Won
Yes$728 @ 27.2¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
Yes$400 @ 12.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$26.1k @ 44.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?Lost
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 61.3¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Lost
No$670 @ 67.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?Lost
No$6 @ 29.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?Won
Yes$0 @ 25.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Lost
Yes$722 @ 65.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Lost
No$8 @ 14.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Lost
Yes$58 @ 14.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Lost
Yes$444 @ 40.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Won
Yes$194 @ 51.4¢
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Won
No$46 @ 36.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?Lost
No$711 @ 64.0¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?Lost
No$100 @ 35.0¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 50.2¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Lost
No$10 @ 9.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Lost
Yes$336 @ 27.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Lost
No$19 @ 31.0¢
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Won
Yes$3.7k @ 67.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Won
Yes$701 @ 48.0¢
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Lost
Yes$124 @ 9.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
No$7.3k @ 73.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Lost
No$389 @ 35.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Lost
No$170 @ 17.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Lost
Yes$170 @ 17.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Won
Yes$115 @ 31.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Lost
Yes$378 @ 34.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Lost
Yes$16 @ 18.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Lost
No$378 @ 17.0¢
Blue wave in 2026?Won
Yes$539 @ 57.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 44.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Won
No$237 @ 53.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Lost
Yes$220 @ 22.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Lost
No$140 @ 30.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$1.9k @ 56.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$18.8k	39.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$6.0k	58.7¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$5.9k	70.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5.8k	34.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4.1k	82.0¢
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	No	$3.8k	62.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$3.6k	34.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Politics	No	$3.6k	59.4¢
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	No	$3.5k	86.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$3.3k	82.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.2k	72.0¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.2k	27.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Politics	No	$3.2k	35.2¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$3.2k	57.2¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.9k	50.1¢
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	56.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	36.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	62.2¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	28.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.5k	45.5¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?	Politics	No	$2.5k	76.1¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Politics	Yes	$2.4k	24.0¢
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	86.6¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Politics	No	$2.2k	65.2¢
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Politics	No	$2.1k	43.8¢
Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?	—	Yes	$2.0k	26.0¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.9k	19.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$1.9k	43.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Politics	No	$1.7k	56.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.7k	44.6¢

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
Yes$18.8k @ 39.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Politics
Yes$6.0k @ 58.7¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$5.9k @ 70.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5.8k @ 34.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$4.1k @ 82.0¢
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
No$3.8k @ 62.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
No$3.6k @ 34.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Politics
No$3.6k @ 59.4¢
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
No$3.5k @ 86.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics
No$3.3k @ 82.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.2k @ 72.0¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.2k @ 27.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Politics
No$3.2k @ 35.2¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Politics
Yes$3.2k @ 57.2¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.9k @ 50.1¢
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 56.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 36.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 62.2¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 28.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.5k @ 45.5¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?Politics
No$2.5k @ 76.1¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Politics
Yes$2.4k @ 24.0¢
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 86.6¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?Politics
No$2.2k @ 65.2¢
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics
No$2.1k @ 43.8¢
Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?—
Yes$2.0k @ 26.0¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.9k @ 19.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Politics
Yes$1.9k @ 43.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Politics
No$1.7k @ 56.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Politics
No$1.7k @ 44.6¢