0x629b…995a

Specialization by sphere

• Other175 bets

  Hit rate

  46% (81/175)

  ROI

  +14%

• Politics75 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (35/75)

  ROI

  +5%

• Sports12 bets

  Hit rate

  42% (5/12)

  ROI

  +1%

• Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Won
  No$15.9k @ 72.1¢
• Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
  Yes$2.3k @ 28.9¢
• Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Won
  No$686 @ 58.9¢
• Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Lost
  Yes$209 @ 27.4¢
• Will CDU win less than 17% of all valid second votes?Won
  No$618 @ 62.8¢
• Will CDU win less than 17% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$94 @ 15.0¢
• Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
  No$148 @ 56.0¢
• Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
• Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$80 @ 0.8¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$17.6k @ 71.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$7.8k @ 31.9¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$23.3k @ 70.3¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$12.0k @ 36.1¢
• Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Won
  No$162 @ 55.1¢
• Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Lost
  Yes$142 @ 23.4¢
• Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Lost
  Yes$240 @ 3.8¢
• Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 20.0¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
  No$340 @ 0.6¢
• Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
  No$40 @ 67.9¢
• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?Lost
  Under$3.1k @ 29.9¢
• Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?Won
  Yes$79 @ 13.0¢
• Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Lost
  No$586 @ 54.7¢
• Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Lost
  No$435 @ 12.8¢
• Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Won
  Yes$1.6k @ 18.9¢
• Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
• Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Won
  M$730 @ 18.1¢
• Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Lost
  SD$872 @ 76.6¢
• Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
  Yes$2.3k @ 69.7¢
• Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?Lost
  Yes$92 @ 7.6¢
• Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
  No$1.7k @ 22.7¢
• Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Won
  Yes$54 @ 41.6¢
• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Lost
  Over$2.2k @ 81.8¢
• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Won
  Under$12.4k @ 71.4¢
• Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Won
  No$460 @ 46.0¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$10.8k @ 36.4¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$23.7k @ 79.8¢
• Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Lost
  Yes$1.6k @ 47.0¢
• Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
  Yes$583 @ 58.3¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$445.3k @ 74.1¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$113.7k @ 22.8¢
• Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
  No$111 @ 4.2¢
• Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Won
  Yes$851 @ 24.7¢
• Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 9.0¢
• Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$392 @ 16.7¢
• Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Lost
  No$46 @ 51.9¢
• Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
  Yes$443 @ 26.6¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
  No$14.5k @ 51.2¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Won
  Yes$11.2k @ 64.8¢
• Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Won
  No$619 @ 68.0¢
• Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 5.0¢

Current positions

• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?—
  Under$17.8k @ 77.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$9.3k @ 49.6¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$8.9k @ 48.9¢
• Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics
  No$4.7k @ 76.8¢
• Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$4.6k @ 60.2¢
• Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
  Yes$3.5k @ 62.6¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$3.5k @ 33.5¢
• Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Politics
  No$3.4k @ 90.0¢
• Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics
  Yes$3.1k @ 45.3¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$3.1k @ 39.5¢
• Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$2.6k @ 2.3¢
• Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.4k @ 50.2¢
• Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics
  No$2.3k @ 53.7¢
• Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 89.0¢
• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?—
  Over$2.2k @ 81.8¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 64.0¢
• Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?—
  No$1.9k @ 46.2¢
• Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics
  No$1.9k @ 39.7¢
• Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics
  Yes$1.9k @ 60.2¢
• Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?—
  Yes$1.7k @ 38.0¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.7k @ 25.0¢
• Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 49.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.4k @ 38.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.3k @ 51.4¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.3k @ 31.0¢
• Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 42.0¢
• Will Alexandre Guimarães win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 66.2¢
• Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 88.5¢
• Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 45.4¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 69.0¢