← Smart money
0x300b…f636
ProfitableEdge
+6.1pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
61% @ 55.4¢
Brier
0.231
Resolved
1970
Avg size
$266
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 56% (283/504) | +4% | 504 |
| Sports | 55% (56/102) | +5% | 102 |
| Politics | 50% (2/4) | -44% | 4 |
- Other504 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (283/504)
- ROI
- +4%
- Sports102 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (56/102)
- ROI
- +5%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -44%
Track record
56% hit · 341/610- Bengals$1.5k @ 61.0¢
- Raoni Barcelos$500 @ 43.0¢
- Ailin Perez$1000 @ 60.0¢
- Robert Bryczek$750 @ 39.0¢
- Montel Jackson$1.2k @ 68.0¢
- Texas$1.5k @ 66.0¢
- Yes$395 @ 30.2¢
- Clemson$1.5k @ 56.0¢
- Timmy Cuamba$102 @ 36.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 81.0¢
- Athletics$1.0k @ 58.0¢
- Oilers$250 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$381 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 58.0¢
- paiN Academy$559 @ 41.3¢
- No$800 @ 78.6¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 48.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$1.0k @ 58.0¢
- No$759 @ 62.0¢
- Atlanta Braves$1.1k @ 63.0¢
- No$764 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$597 @ 23.6¢
- Under$549 @ 61.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 56.0¢
- Spurs vs. KnicksLostKnicks$1.1k @ 41.4¢
- Manchester City FC$1.0k @ 49.0¢
- Joao Fonseca$1.0k @ 50.0¢
- Chiefs$1000 @ 58.0¢
- No$500 @ 57.2¢
- Kings vs. FlamesLostKings$500 @ 59.0¢
- Chicago Cubs$500 @ 59.0¢
- Celtics$750 @ 53.0¢
- Alabama$1.5k @ 49.0¢
- Washington Nationals$762 @ 58.4¢
- Carlos Alcaraz$500 @ 49.0¢
- Alex Pereira$711 @ 50.0¢
- Kings$250 @ 41.0¢
- No$507 @ 54.0¢
- Knicks$300 @ 52.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 48.5¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 58.0¢
- Knicks$1.0k @ 81.0¢
- Over$250 @ 51.0¢
- No$2.5k @ 72.0¢
- Ann Li$254 @ 50.0¢
- Cavaliers$558 @ 50.0¢
- No$807 @ 80.0¢
- No$700 @ 63.0¢
- Karol Rosa$155 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$507 @ 55.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $10.1k | 43.0¢ |
| Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | Sports | No | $1.5k | 66.0¢ |
| Bengals vs. Steelers | Sports | Bengals | $1.5k | 61.0¢ |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) | Sports | Seahawks | $1.5k | 61.0¢ |
| Spread: Saints (-2.5) | Sports | Saints | $1.5k | 59.0¢ |
| Spread: Jaguars (-1.5) | Sports | Jaguars | $1.5k | 57.0¢ |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | Yes | $198 | 4.5¢ |
| Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | Sports | Yes | $109 | 8.0¢ |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $90 | 0.1¢ |
- Yes$10.1k @ 43.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 66.0¢
- Bengals vs. SteelersSportsBengals$1.5k @ 61.0¢
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)SportsSeahawks$1.5k @ 61.0¢
- Spread: Saints (-2.5)SportsSaints$1.5k @ 59.0¢
- Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)SportsJaguars$1.5k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$198 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$109 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$90 @ 0.1¢