0x300b…f636

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x300b4292912c123066a380a344b505b0f353f636
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+4.5pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

59% @ 54.7¢

Brier

0.227

Resolved

2445

Avg size

$326

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (285/507)	+4%	507
Sports	55% (162/295)	+1%	295
Politics	44% (4/9)	-1%	9

Other507 bets
Hit rate
56% (285/507)
ROI
+4%
Sports295 bets
Hit rate
55% (162/295)
ROI
+1%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
-1%

Track record

56% hit · 451/811

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Losene Keita win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$437	35.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	$1.1k	55.0¢	Lost
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	No	$1.3k	50.7¢	Lost
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	$1.2k	58.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$3.8k	75.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Timmy Cuamba	$102	36.0¢	Lost
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10?	No	$1.0k	81.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics	Athletics	$1.0k	58.0¢	Won
Spread: Broncos (-4.5)	Broncos	$508	50.0¢	Won
Michigan vs. Minnesota	Michigan	$1.8k	67.9¢	Lost
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Oilers	$250	41.0¢	Lost
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?	Yes	$381	38.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$1.0k	58.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5)	paiN Academy	$559	41.3¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?	No	$800	78.6¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$1.5k	48.0¢	Won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	$1.0k	58.0¢	Won
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	$759	62.0¢	Lost
Spread: Pittsburgh (-4.5)	North Carolina	$1.5k	52.0¢	Won
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	No	$43	52.0¢	Won
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	$1.1k	63.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	$764	39.0¢	Lost
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	$2.0k	55.0¢	Lost
Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	Yes	$597	23.6¢	Lost
Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	$1.0k	57.0¢	Lost
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5	Under	$549	61.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	$1.0k	56.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$1.1k	41.4¢	Lost
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	$1.0k	49.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Renato Moicano	$768	53.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	$1.0k	50.0¢	Lost
Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$1000	58.0¢	Won
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-16?	No	$3.6k	73.0¢	Won
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-22?	No	$500	57.2¢	Won
Kings vs. Flames	Kings	$500	59.0¢	Lost
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	$500	59.0¢	Lost
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)	Celtics	$750	53.0¢	Lost
Spread: Alabama (-18.5)	Alabama	$1.5k	49.0¢	Lost
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics	Washington Nationals	$762	58.4¢	Won
Lightning vs. Rangers	Lightning	$1.5k	60.0¢	Lost
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner	Carlos Alcaraz	$500	49.0¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	$711	50.0¢	Lost
Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	$1.5k	53.4¢	Won
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-17?	No	$1.5k	58.0¢	Lost
Avalanche vs. Kings	Kings	$250	41.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?	No	$507	54.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Rockets	Knicks	$300	52.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	$1.0k	48.5¢	Won
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	$1.2k	58.0¢	Won
76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	$1.0k	81.0¢	Won

Will Losene Keita win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$437 @ 35.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?Lost
No$1.1k @ 55.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?Lost
No$1.3k @ 50.7¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 58.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$3.8k @ 75.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)Lost
Timmy Cuamba$102 @ 36.0¢
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10?Won
No$1.0k @ 81.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. AthleticsWon
Athletics$1.0k @ 58.0¢
Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Won
Broncos$508 @ 50.0¢
Michigan vs. MinnesotaLost
Michigan$1.8k @ 67.9¢
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Lost
Oilers$250 @ 41.0¢
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?Lost
Yes$381 @ 38.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 58.0¢
Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5)Lost
paiN Academy$559 @ 41.3¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?Won
No$800 @ 78.6¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 48.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesWon
Philadelphia Phillies$1.0k @ 58.0¢
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-03?Lost
No$759 @ 62.0¢
Spread: Pittsburgh (-4.5)Won
North Carolina$1.5k @ 52.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?Won
No$43 @ 52.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsWon
Atlanta Braves$1.1k @ 63.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Lost
No$764 @ 39.0¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysLost
Tampa Bay Rays$2.0k @ 55.0¢
Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?Lost
Yes$597 @ 23.6¢
Texans vs. JaguarsLost
Jaguars$1.0k @ 57.0¢
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5Won
Under$549 @ 61.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$1.0k @ 56.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$1.1k @ 41.4¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Won
Manchester City FC$1.0k @ 49.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Renato Moicano$768 @ 53.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao FonsecaLost
Joao Fonseca$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Colts vs. ChiefsWon
Chiefs$1000 @ 58.0¢
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-16?Won
No$3.6k @ 73.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-22?Won
No$500 @ 57.2¢
Kings vs. FlamesLost
Kings$500 @ 59.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsLost
Chicago Cubs$500 @ 59.0¢
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Lost
Celtics$750 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Alabama (-18.5)Lost
Alabama$1.5k @ 49.0¢
Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsWon
Washington Nationals$762 @ 58.4¢
Lightning vs. RangersLost
Lightning$1.5k @ 60.0¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerLost
Carlos Alcaraz$500 @ 49.0¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Alex Pereira$711 @ 50.0¢
Colts vs. CommandersWon
Colts$1.5k @ 53.4¢
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-17?Lost
No$1.5k @ 58.0¢
Avalanche vs. KingsLost
Kings$250 @ 41.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?Lost
No$507 @ 54.0¢
Knicks vs. RocketsLost
Knicks$300 @ 52.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$1.0k @ 48.5¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 58.0¢
76ers vs. KnicksWon
Knicks$1.0k @ 81.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$4.3k	54.1¢
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	Sports	49ers	$2.5k	51.0¢
Spread: Texas (-3.5)	Sports	Missouri	$1.5k	59.0¢
Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Sports	Bears	$1.5k	60.0¢
Spread: Georgia (-3.5)	Sports	Ole Miss	$1.5k	50.0¢
Spread: LSU (-5.5)	Sports	LSU	$1.5k	47.7¢
Spread: Oklahoma (-2.5)	Sports	Oklahoma	$1.5k	56.4¢
Spread: Giants (-3.5)	Sports	Eagles	$1.5k	57.0¢
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Sports	Eagles	$1.5k	54.0¢
Spread: Vikings (-6.5)	Sports	Vikings	$1.5k	53.0¢
Spread: 49ers (-9.5)	Sports	Raiders	$1.5k	52.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	Sports	No	$1.3k	57.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	Sports	No	$1.3k	50.7¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03?	Sports	Yes	$1.2k	58.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	Sports	No	$1.1k	55.0¢
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)	Sports	UMass	$1.0k	52.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$1.0k	64.0¢
UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Sports	Nurullo Aliev	$1.0k	50.0¢
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Sports	Movsar Evloev	$1.0k	50.0¢
Spread: Steelers (-4.5)	Sports	Saints	$1000	59.0¢
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Sports	Cowboys	$1000	57.0¢
Browns vs. Titans: O/U 38.5	Sports	Under	$1000	55.0¢
Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Sports	Vikings	$1000	53.0¢
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-6.5)	Sports	Florida Atlantic	$1000	52.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Sports	Renato Moicano	$750	53.0¢
Packers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5	Sports	Over	$500	59.0¢
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Sports	Panthers	$500	54.0¢
Lakers vs. Pistons	Sports	Pistons	$500	53.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Sports	Yes	$500	53.0¢
Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Sports	Raiders	$500	53.0¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$4.3k @ 54.1¢
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)Sports
49ers$2.5k @ 51.0¢
Spread: Texas (-3.5)Sports
Missouri$1.5k @ 59.0¢
Spread: Bears (-3.5)Sports
Bears$1.5k @ 60.0¢
Spread: Georgia (-3.5)Sports
Ole Miss$1.5k @ 50.0¢
Spread: LSU (-5.5)Sports
LSU$1.5k @ 47.7¢
Spread: Oklahoma (-2.5)Sports
Oklahoma$1.5k @ 56.4¢
Spread: Giants (-3.5)Sports
Eagles$1.5k @ 57.0¢
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Sports
Eagles$1.5k @ 54.0¢
Spread: Vikings (-6.5)Sports
Vikings$1.5k @ 53.0¢
Spread: 49ers (-9.5)Sports
Raiders$1.5k @ 52.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?Sports
No$1.3k @ 57.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?Sports
No$1.3k @ 50.7¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03?Sports
Yes$1.2k @ 58.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?Sports
No$1.1k @ 55.0¢
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)Sports
UMass$1.0k @ 52.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$1.0k @ 64.0¢
UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)Sports
Nurullo Aliev$1.0k @ 50.0¢
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)Sports
Movsar Evloev$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Spread: Steelers (-4.5)Sports
Saints$1000 @ 59.0¢
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Sports
Cowboys$1000 @ 57.0¢
Browns vs. Titans: O/U 38.5Sports
Under$1000 @ 55.0¢
Spread: Lions (-3.5)Sports
Vikings$1000 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-6.5)Sports
Florida Atlantic$1000 @ 52.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports
Renato Moicano$750 @ 53.0¢
Packers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5Sports
Over$500 @ 59.0¢
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)Sports
Panthers$500 @ 54.0¢
Lakers vs. PistonsSports
Pistons$500 @ 53.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?Sports
Yes$500 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Rams (-3.5)Sports
Raiders$500 @ 53.0¢