0x8dab…e581

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8dabd33e45a48261e1c9875b407dfa09773de581
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.4pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

49% @ 42.7¢

Brier

0.191

Resolved

2061

Avg size

$63

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (94/230)	+12%	230
Politics	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Sports	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Other230 bets
Hit rate
41% (94/230)
ROI
+12%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

Track record

39% hit · 94/239

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5	Over	$10	16.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	$10	9.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	$1	13.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	$21	12.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	$10	6.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	Yes	$4	19.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	$61	5.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	Yes	$25	0.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	No	$7	64.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	Yes	$46	19.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?	No	$19	88.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	$8	76.2¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	No	$4	82.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	Yes	$2	12.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$47	18.2¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1.4k	21.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	No	$13	77.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	No	$2.7k	77.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	Yes	$198	7.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	Yes	$14	70.4¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	No	$532	85.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	$37	76.2¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$5	16.7¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$100	69.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	No	$3.2k	74.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	$146	24.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	Yes	$217	6.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5	Over	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	Yes	$2	13.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	Yes	$10	7.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	No	$53	61.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	No	$592	79.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	$409	7.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	Yes	$6	13.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	7.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	Yes	$796	10.5¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	$10	77.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	Yes	$6	13.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?	No	$4.4k	79.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	$31	11.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?	No	$2.4k	57.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?	Yes	$572	35.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?	No	$1.6k	53.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?	Yes	$595	65.1¢	Won

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$10 @ 16.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$21 @ 12.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 19.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$61 @ 5.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 0.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 64.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Lost
Yes$46 @ 19.9¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Won
No$19 @ 88.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 76.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 82.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$47 @ 18.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 21.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Won
No$13 @ 77.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?Won
No$2.7k @ 77.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$198 @ 7.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$14 @ 70.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Won
No$532 @ 85.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?Won
No$37 @ 76.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 16.7¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
Seahawks$100 @ 69.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Won
No$3.2k @ 74.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$146 @ 24.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$217 @ 6.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Lost
No$53 @ 61.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?Won
No$592 @ 79.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$409 @ 7.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 13.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$796 @ 10.5¢
Thunder vs. SpursWon
Spurs$10 @ 77.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 13.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?Won
No$4.4k @ 79.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$31 @ 11.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?Lost
No$2.4k @ 57.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?Won
Yes$572 @ 35.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Lost
No$1.6k @ 53.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Won
Yes$595 @ 65.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Sports	Yes	$888	80.0¢
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$113	34.5¢
Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Sports	Spain	$100	24.0¢
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$96	64.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Politics	Yes	$86	43.0¢
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$75	44.3¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$44	87.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Politics	Yes	$27	27.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$21	12.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	—	Yes	$16	5.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$16	80.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	—	Yes	$16	8.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	—	Yes	$15	3.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	—	Yes	$14	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	—	Yes	$13	1.6¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5	Sports	Over	$10	16.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	6.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	9.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	1.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	16.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Politics	Yes	$8	4.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Politics	Yes	$3	0.9¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5	Sports	Over	$2	2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	4.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	—	No	$1	68.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	13.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	0.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	0.2¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports
Yes$888 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$113 @ 34.5¢
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Sports
Spain$100 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?Politics
Yes$96 @ 64.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Politics
Yes$86 @ 43.0¢
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?Politics
Yes$75 @ 44.3¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$44 @ 87.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Politics
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?—
Yes$21 @ 12.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?—
Yes$16 @ 5.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$16 @ 80.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?—
Yes$16 @ 8.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?—
Yes$15 @ 3.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?—
Yes$14 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?—
Yes$13 @ 1.6¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Sports
Over$10 @ 16.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 6.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 9.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 1.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Politics
Yes$8 @ 4.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Politics
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Sports
Over$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 4.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?—
No$1 @ 68.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 13.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢