0x7272…a67d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7272c0d9478ef6447f48a20a7db2839a61a4a67d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.1pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

75% @ 57.2¢

Brier

0.112

Resolved

231

Avg size

$212

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	62% (29/47)	+39%	47
Politics	75% (6/8)	+51%	8
Tech	50% (2/4)	+54%	4
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	+15%	3
Culture	50% (1/2)	+5%	2

Other47 bets
Hit rate
62% (29/47)
ROI
+39%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
75% (6/8)
ROI
+51%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+54%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+15%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+5%

Track record

61% hit · 39/64

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?	Yes	$124	62.0¢	Won
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$20	12.0¢	Lost
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?	No	$16	5.3¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$108	54.0¢	Won
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	No	$9	53.0¢	Lost
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?	Yes	$100	20.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	No	$70	70.0¢	Won
Will Trump attend UFC 320?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	$128	25.6¢	Lost
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	$305	60.0¢	Won
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$660	66.0¢	Won
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$1000	72.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?	No	$1000	86.9¢	Won
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?	Yes	$134	44.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$4.0k	76.6¢	Won
Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?	Yes	$52	52.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	$1.7k	82.5¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$790	79.0¢	Won
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?	No	$1000	85.6¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$340	34.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?	No	$720	72.0¢	Won
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?	Yes	$420	42.0¢	Won
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	$4.3k	65.0¢	Won
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?	Yes	$6	2.3¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high by August 31?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	$2.9k	73.0¢	Won
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?	Yes	$100	14.3¢	Lost
Will JD Vance say Charlie/Kirk 25+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?	No	$28	28.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 8+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?	Yes	$130	65.0¢	Won
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?	Yes	$100	25.9¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$700	35.0¢	Lost
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	No	$600	30.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$10.0k	68.1¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$1.5k	47.3¢	Won
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?	Yes	$100	31.0¢	Won
Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	$95	19.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?	Yes	$420	42.0¢	Lost
Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?	No	$1.7k	83.5¢	Lost
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?	Yes	$200	20.0¢	Lost
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?	No	$1.6k	79.0¢	Won

Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Won
Yes$124 @ 62.0¢
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Lost
Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Lost
No$16 @ 5.3¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$108 @ 54.0¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?Lost
No$9 @ 53.0¢
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Won
No$70 @ 70.0¢
Will Trump attend UFC 320?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?Lost
Yes$128 @ 25.6¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Won
No$305 @ 60.0¢
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$660 @ 66.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Won
No$1000 @ 72.4¢
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Won
No$1000 @ 86.9¢
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?Won
Yes$134 @ 44.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$4.0k @ 76.6¢
Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? Lost
Yes$52 @ 52.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Won
No$1.7k @ 82.5¢
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$790 @ 79.0¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?Won
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?Won
No$1000 @ 85.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$340 @ 34.0¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?Won
No$720 @ 72.0¢
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Won
Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Won
No$4.3k @ 65.0¢
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.3¢
Ethereum all time high by August 31?Won
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Won
No$2.9k @ 73.0¢
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? Lost
Yes$100 @ 14.3¢
Will JD Vance say Charlie/Kirk 25+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?Lost
No$28 @ 28.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 8+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Won
Yes$130 @ 65.0¢
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Lost
Yes$100 @ 25.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Lost
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$700 @ 35.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Won
No$600 @ 30.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$10.0k @ 68.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$1.5k @ 47.3¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Won
Yes$100 @ 31.0¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Lost
Yes$95 @ 19.0¢
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?Lost
Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?Lost
No$1.7k @ 83.5¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Lost
Yes$200 @ 20.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Won
No$1.6k @ 79.0¢

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