0x88c4…129a

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other157 bets

  Hit rate

  77% (121/157)

  ROI

  +47%

• Politics147 bets

  Hit rate

  78% (115/147)

  ROI

  +0%

• Geopolitics34 bets

  Hit rate

  82% (28/34)

  ROI

  -6%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +12%

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?Won
  Yes$14.4k @ 99.1¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$51.4k @ 95.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 73.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$5.9k @ 78.0¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  No$116.0k @ 93.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$250 @ 95.2¢
• Blue wave in 2026?Won
  Yes$93 @ 88.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$170 @ 97.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$53 @ 96.6¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Won
  Yes$7.9k @ 98.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 72.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$177 @ 97.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$222 @ 98.2¢
• Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 97.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 97.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 98.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 97.6¢
• Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 91.5¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
  Yes$10.3k @ 84.3¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
  Yes$3.9k @ 80.6¢
• Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
  Yes$22 @ 94.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Won
  No$565 @ 90.3¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Won
  No$476 @ 89.2¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Won
  Yes$6.2k @ 97.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Won
  Yes$42 @ 93.6¢
• Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Won
  Yes$39 @ 82.0¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Won
  Yes$8.9k @ 96.6¢
• Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Won
  No$29 @ 58.2¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 5.5¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Won
  No$10.0k @ 66.7¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Lost
  Yes$2.7k @ 39.7¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 78.5¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Lost
  Yes$19 @ 68.5¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Won
  Yes$13 @ 44.0¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Lost
  Yes$431 @ 81.3¢
• Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Won
  Yes$108 @ 60.7¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Lost
  Yes$4.1k @ 38.4¢
• Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Won
  Yes$244 @ 93.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$157.9k @ 86.3¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$89.8k @ 48.8¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  No$17.6k @ 54.9¢
• Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Won
  No$75 @ 64.5¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
  Yes$4.4k @ 60.9¢
• Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$1.1k @ 89.5¢
• Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Won
  No$5.3k @ 87.1¢
• Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$982 @ 63.4¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Won
  Yes$616 @ 88.7¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$302 @ 32.1¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Lost
  Yes$10.4k @ 78.6¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
  No$12.3k @ 87.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$130.9k @ 95.0¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$121.9k @ 93.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  No$68.9k @ 82.5¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$39.6k @ 73.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?Geopolitics
  Yes$29.1k @ 97.8¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Geopolitics
  Yes$19.0k @ 98.5¢
• Blue wave in 2026?Politics
  Yes$9.9k @ 91.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$5.9k @ 78.0¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics
  No$5.8k @ 85.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$3.9k @ 73.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 72.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Geopolitics
  Yes$1.1k @ 93.3¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 70.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?Geopolitics
  Yes$980 @ 99.1¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics
  Yes$588 @ 87.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$250 @ 95.2¢
• Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$177 @ 97.6¢
• Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$170 @ 97.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$53 @ 96.6¢