← Smart money
0x0a9c…d552
SharpEdge
+7.4pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
43% @ 36.0¢
Brier
0.189
Resolved
1502
Avg size
$51
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 41% (114/280) | +10% | 280 |
| Tech | 67% (2/3) | -0% | 3 |
- Politics280 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (114/280)
- ROI
- +10%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -0%
Track record
41% hit · 116/283- No$266 @ 79.0¢
- No$265 @ 75.2¢
- No$553 @ 81.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$178 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$684 @ 26.8¢
- Yes$745 @ 24.9¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 38.2¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 36.5¢
- Yes$498 @ 22.4¢
- No$470 @ 33.5¢
- No$521 @ 52.8¢
- Yes$211 @ 23.8¢
- Yes$194 @ 16.5¢
- No$134 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$197 @ 17.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 1.5¢
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?WonYes$111 @ 49.0¢
- No$93 @ 34.9¢
- Yes$83 @ 31.6¢
- Yes$102 @ 17.1¢
- No$114 @ 18.9¢
- Yes$569 @ 68.1¢
- No$817 @ 63.5¢
- Yes$123 @ 56.3¢
- Yes$370 @ 38.5¢
- Yes$813 @ 89.9¢
- Yes$514 @ 19.9¢
- Will Styvenson Valentim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?LostYes$6 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$327 @ 36.9¢
- No$173 @ 21.4¢
- Yes$119 @ 52.6¢
- No$299 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$645 @ 51.6¢
- Yes$9 @ 8.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$573 @ 21.8¢
- Yes$69 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$83 @ 24.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$39 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$331 @ 31.8¢
- Yes$189 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$249 @ 29.6¢
- Yes$767 @ 65.1¢
- Yes$32 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$424 @ 26.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$2.4k @ 38.2¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYes$2.3k @ 36.4¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?PoliticsYes$2.2k @ 26.9¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?PoliticsYes$2.0k @ 31.0¢
- Yes$880 @ 59.0¢
- No$553 @ 81.3¢
- Yes$498 @ 22.4¢
- No$466 @ 33.2¢
- No$266 @ 79.0¢
- No$248 @ 80.6¢
- No$186 @ 61.3¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?PoliticsYes$178 @ 7.0¢
- No$164 @ 73.6¢
- No$156 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$86 @ 49.1¢
- No$60 @ 56.3¢
- Yes$46 @ 55.2¢
- Yes$22 @ 48.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$7 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢