← Smart money
0x25d9…ff14
SharpEdge
+8.0pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
47% @ 38.7¢
Brier
0.147
Resolved
171
Avg size
$41
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 68% (13/19) | +13% | 19 |
| Sports | 20% (3/15) | +4% | 15 |
| Other | 100% (1/1) | +22% | 1 |
- Politics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 68% (13/19)
- ROI
- +13%
- Sports15 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (3/15)
- ROI
- +4%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +22%
Track record
49% hit · 17/35- Yes$214 @ 36.1¢
- Yes$104 @ 17.5¢
- No$304 @ 76.0¢
- No$47 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$41 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$42 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$226 @ 32.3¢
- Yes$39 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$146 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$297 @ 74.3¢
- Yes$322 @ 26.8¢
- Yes$166 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$262 @ 87.3¢
- Yes$247 @ 30.4¢
- Yes$73 @ 12.4¢
- Yes$51 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$866 @ 86.6¢
- Yes$584 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 21.5¢
- Yes$208 @ 35.3¢
- No$129 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$391 @ 86.9¢
- Yes$87 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$207 @ 43.3¢
- Yes$73 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$491 @ 61.4¢
- No$40 @ 81.0¢
- No$362 @ 73.1¢
- No$514 @ 83.7¢
- Yes$19 @ 3.8¢
- No$164 @ 82.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $1.6k | 80.3¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $642 | 80.2¢ |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | Yes | $477 | 79.5¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Politics | Yes | $276 | 89.1¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Politics | Yes | $188 | 85.3¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $147 | 29.4¢ |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | No | $145 | 58.5¢ |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $127 | 41.5¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $108 | 54.0¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Politics | Yes | $77 | 48.0¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Politics | Yes | $42 | 26.0¢ |
- Yes$1.6k @ 80.3¢
- No$642 @ 80.2¢
- Yes$477 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$276 @ 89.1¢
- Yes$188 @ 85.3¢
- Yes$147 @ 29.4¢
- No$145 @ 58.5¢
- Yes$127 @ 41.5¢
- Yes$108 @ 54.0¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYes$77 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 26.0¢