0x2344…6458

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x234485c24869cab818c56031dc12402895536458
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+59.5pp

ROI

+544%

Win rate

72% @ 12.2¢

Brier

0.535

Resolved

604

Avg size

$15

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	17% (1/6)	+78%	6

Politics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
+78%

Track record

17% hit · 1/6

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	$13.4k	31.0¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	$10.3k	46.9¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	Yes	$359	7.6¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	$695	7.0¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$7.7k	13.4¢	Won
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?	Yes	$10	4.6¢	Lost

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Lost
Yes$13.4k @ 31.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Lost
Yes$10.3k @ 46.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?Lost
Yes$359 @ 7.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Lost
Yes$695 @ 7.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$7.7k @ 13.4¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.6¢

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