← Smart money
0xc4df…2313
ProfitableEdge
+19.6pp
ROI
+56%
Win rate
47% @ 27.1¢
Brier
0.230
Resolved
45
Avg size
$9
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 44% (15/34) | +152% | 34 |
- Politics34 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (15/34)
- ROI
- +152%
Track record
44% hit · 15/34- Yes$26 @ 14.9¢
- Yes$21 @ 37.7¢
- Yes$23 @ 48.0¢
- No$161 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$71 @ 44.6¢
- Yes$61 @ 13.0¢
- No$28 @ 14.2¢
- No$4 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$42 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 24.8¢
- Yes$14 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
- No$20 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$23 @ 34.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.6¢
- No$4 @ 21.0¢
- No$2 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$16 @ 39.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
- No$30 @ 41.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$90 @ 37.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 23.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 15.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 37.5¢
- No$21 @ 31.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 20.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by less than 3%? | Politics | Yes | $26 | 14.9¢ |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%? | Politics | Yes | $25 | 57.0¢ |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 3%-6%? | Politics | Yes | $21 | 37.7¢ |
- Yes$26 @ 14.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 37.7¢