0x7f9e…3a0e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-5.3pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

66% @ 71.4¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

863

Avg size

$572

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Geopolitics	74% (17/23)	-14%	23
Sports	52% (11/21)	+118%	21
Other	80% (16/20)	-17%	20
Politics	67% (10/15)	+21%	15

Geopolitics23 bets
Hit rate
74% (17/23)
ROI
-14%
Sports21 bets
Hit rate
52% (11/21)
ROI
+118%
Other20 bets
Hit rate
80% (16/20)
ROI
-17%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
67% (10/15)
ROI
+21%

Track record

68% hit · 54/79

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$4.1k	69.8¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$2.6k	83.7¢	Won
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	No	$8.0k	78.1¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$20.1k	75.2¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5.5k	5.3¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?	No	$1.7k	74.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$2.2k	88.9¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	$804	85.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$200	26.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$3.5k	86.0¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$1.1k	87.0¢	Won
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	No	$1.4k	86.6¢	Won
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	$7.8k	86.9¢	Won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$4.2k	67.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	$42.1k	82.8¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	No	$2.1k	74.9¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	$476	87.0¢	Won
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$9.2k	70.9¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	$2.8k	76.4¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$275	24.9¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	No	$5.6k	80.5¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	No	$165	68.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	No	$6.4k	84.1¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	No	$445	89.4¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$13.3k	72.9¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	$48.0k	71.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$31.3k	87.8¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$2.2k	79.8¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	No	$6.8k	86.8¢	Won
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?	No	$1.8k	34.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	$2.3k	84.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17.5k	16.9¢	Won
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?	No	$225	84.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	$55.4k	86.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	$456	78.3¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$639	65.3¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	$703	87.3¢	Won
Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$744	79.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$3.1k	87.2¢	Won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Croatia	$1.9k	31.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	$392	87.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	$548	89.2¢	Won
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4.0k	4.1¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	No	$1.2k	81.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$603	83.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	$2.1k	69.5¢	Won
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$397	42.3¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$2.8k	88.0¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$103	12.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	No	$14.1k	87.3¢	Won

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$4.1k @ 69.8¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$2.6k @ 83.7¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Lost
No$8.0k @ 78.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
No$20.1k @ 75.2¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5.5k @ 5.3¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?Won
No$1.7k @ 74.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$2.2k @ 88.9¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Lost
No$804 @ 85.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Lost
Yes$200 @ 26.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
Yes$3.5k @ 86.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
No$1.1k @ 87.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Won
No$1.4k @ 86.6¢
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Won
Yes$7.8k @ 86.9¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$4.2k @ 67.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Lost
No$42.1k @ 82.8¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$2.1k @ 74.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Won
No$476 @ 87.0¢
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$9.2k @ 70.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$2.8k @ 76.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Lost
Yes$275 @ 24.9¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Won
No$5.6k @ 80.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Lost
No$165 @ 68.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Won
No$6.4k @ 84.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Won
No$445 @ 89.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Won
Yes$13.3k @ 72.9¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Won
No$48.0k @ 71.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Won
Yes$31.3k @ 87.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 79.8¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Won
No$6.8k @ 86.8¢
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Lost
No$1.8k @ 34.7¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
No$2.3k @ 84.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$17.5k @ 16.9¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?Won
No$225 @ 84.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Won
No$55.4k @ 86.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Won
No$456 @ 78.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Won
Yes$639 @ 65.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Won
No$703 @ 87.3¢
Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$744 @ 79.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Won
No$3.1k @ 87.2¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceLost
Croatia$1.9k @ 31.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Won
No$392 @ 87.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Won
No$548 @ 89.2¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4.0k @ 4.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?Won
No$1.2k @ 81.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$603 @ 83.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 69.5¢
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$397 @ 42.3¢
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$2.8k @ 88.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$103 @ 12.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Won
No$14.1k @ 87.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$413.0k	72.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$59.2k	47.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$29.5k	85.4¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$13.9k	83.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Other	No	$13.5k	70.9¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$8.7k	87.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$8.1k	50.5¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$5.2k	92.5¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$4.4k	71.1¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Politics	No	$3.7k	85.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$3.7k	22.2¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	—	No	$3.6k	79.5¢
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$2.4k	89.1¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	86.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Politics	No	$1.1k	83.4¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	Politics	Yes	$1.0k	77.8¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	—	Yes	$665	64.4¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Politics	No	$460	61.4¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$258	86.0¢
Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$236	70.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$233	78.8¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Politics	Yes	$75	19.8¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Politics	Yes	$59	92.7¢
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?	Politics	No	$57	87.1¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$413.0k @ 72.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$59.2k @ 47.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$29.5k @ 85.4¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$13.9k @ 83.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Other
No$13.5k @ 70.9¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Geopolitics
No$8.7k @ 87.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$8.1k @ 50.5¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Geopolitics
No$5.2k @ 92.5¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
No$4.4k @ 71.1¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics
No$3.7k @ 85.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$3.7k @ 22.2¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?—
No$3.6k @ 79.5¢
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$2.4k @ 89.1¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 86.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
No$1.1k @ 83.4¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Politics
Yes$1.0k @ 77.8¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?—
Yes$665 @ 64.4¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics
No$460 @ 61.4¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$258 @ 86.0¢
Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$236 @ 70.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$233 @ 78.8¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics
Yes$75 @ 19.8¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 92.7¢
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Politics
No$57 @ 87.1¢