0x7f9e…3a0e

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other129 bets

  Hit rate

  73% (94/129)

  ROI

  +42%

• Politics100 bets

  Hit rate

  73% (73/100)

  ROI

  +10%

• Geopolitics42 bets

  Hit rate

  81% (34/42)

  ROI

  -3%

• Sports21 bets

  Hit rate

  52% (11/21)

  ROI

  +118%

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Won
  Yes$9.0k @ 95.3¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?Won
  Yes$9.0k @ 97.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$72.8k @ 92.9¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$1.7k @ 72.0¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  No$11.1k @ 92.5¢
• Blue wave in 2026?Won
  Yes$3.9k @ 91.6¢
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Lost
  Yes$5.2k @ 92.2¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
  Yes$9.0k @ 86.0¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
  Yes$6.6k @ 77.6¢
• Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
  No$800 @ 93.9¢
• Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Won
  Bibi$3.1k @ 96.0¢
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
  No$6.7k @ 90.3¢
• Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
  Yes$8.0k @ 91.2¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Won
  No$423 @ 93.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Won
  No$306 @ 83.7¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Won
  No$259 @ 96.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?Won
  No$492 @ 98.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Won
  No$478 @ 95.6¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Won
  No$2.4k @ 97.6¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Won
  Yes$3.4k @ 91.8¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Won
  Yes$2.4k @ 93.4¢
• Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 4%?Won
  Yes$86 @ 83.3¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Won
  Yes$210 @ 97.0¢
• Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Won
  No$90 @ 63.3¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Lost
  Yes$168 @ 45.0¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 84.8¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Won
  Yes$984 @ 49.3¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Lost
  Yes$1.6k @ 85.7¢
• Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Won
  Yes$1000 @ 44.3¢
• Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Won
  Yes$91 @ 91.2¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$222.1k @ 86.6¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$55.6k @ 46.6¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  No$4.4k @ 44.2¢
• Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Won
  No$60 @ 66.5¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Won
  Yes$186 @ 78.9¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$1.5k @ 30.2¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Lost
  Yes$3.2k @ 79.6¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
  No$3.5k @ 74.2¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$1.7k @ 87.2¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
  No$4.8k @ 82.7¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
  No$4.1k @ 69.8¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$336 @ 86.0¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Lost
  Yes$296 @ 9.8¢
• Spurs vs. KnicksWon
  Spurs$2.6k @ 83.7¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$1.4k @ 89.9¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$542 @ 80.1¢
• Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
  No$1.5k @ 79.5¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Lost
  No$8.0k @ 78.1¢
• Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$1.9k @ 83.3¢

Current positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$141.8k @ 94.3¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$128.2k @ 74.3¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?Geopolitics
  Yes$68.5k @ 97.4¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Geopolitics
  Yes$27.2k @ 92.9¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Geopolitics
  Yes$17.4k @ 96.8¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$14.0k @ 72.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
  Yes$11.5k @ 96.1¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$11.1k @ 92.5¢
• Blue wave in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10.8k @ 91.9¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Politics
  Yes$8.5k @ 84.4¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  No$8.0k @ 84.5¢
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics
  Yes$5.2k @ 92.2¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Geopolitics
  Yes$3.6k @ 90.1¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$1.7k @ 72.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Politics
  Yes$819 @ 91.3¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$433 @ 94.0¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics
  No$415 @ 68.4¢
• Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$19 @ 90.8¢