0x0414…be21

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics73 bets

  Hit rate

  26% (19/73)

  ROI

  +16%

• Other58 bets

  Hit rate

  28% (16/58)

  ROI

  +31%

• Sports6 bets

  Hit rate

  17% (1/6)

  ROI

  -54%

• Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
• Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$95 @ 8.4¢
• Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?Lost
  Yes$54 @ 3.2¢
• Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?Lost
  No$189 @ 61.0¢
• Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?Lost
  Yes$363 @ 33.1¢
• Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 11.0¢
• Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Lost
  No$365 @ 74.0¢
• Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Lost
  Yes$630 @ 73.8¢
• Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLost
  Argentina$200 @ 41.2¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 0.8¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 0.9¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 1.3¢
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Lost
  No$624 @ 52.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Lost
  No$180 @ 24.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Lost
  No$532 @ 38.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Lost
  No$483 @ 69.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Won
  No$1.0k @ 61.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 29.0¢
• Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Lost
  Yes$297 @ 27.0¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Won
  Yes$541 @ 86.0¢
• France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$616 @ 8.3¢
• Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
  Yes$183 @ 26.9¢
• Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?Won
  No$2.7k @ 93.2¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Lost
  Yes$300 @ 30.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?Lost
  Yes$115 @ 14.1¢
• Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$200 @ 29.8¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Lost
  Yes$46 @ 39.0¢
• Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
  No$81 @ 30.0¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Won
  Yes$443 @ 90.4¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Won
  Yes$38 @ 8.9¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Won
  Yes$2.3k @ 66.0¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Won
  No$264 @ 8.9¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Won
  No$473 @ 86.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$5.6k @ 30.9¢
• Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$98 @ 16.0¢
• Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$360 @ 7.5¢
• Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$391 @ 2.5¢
• Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Lost
  No$271 @ 27.1¢
• Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$1.9k @ 17.9¢
• Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Lost
  Yes$151 @ 3.7¢
• Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?Won
  Yes$470 @ 66.0¢
• Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$153 @ 1.2¢
• Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 1.0¢
• Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Won
  Yes$3.8k @ 66.9¢
• Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 7.9¢
• Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$110 @ 36.0¢
• Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$418 @ 6.0¢
• Will Movement of Society for Peace (MSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 1.3¢

Current positions

• Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
  Yes$3.3k @ 46.1¢
• Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$1.6k @ 13.6¢
• Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 60.9¢
• Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
  Yes$867 @ 90.5¢
• Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?—
  Yes$772 @ 30.6¢
• Will PP win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
  Yes$674 @ 95.0¢
• Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?—
  Yes$640 @ 32.4¢
• Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Politics
  Yes$630 @ 73.8¢
• Will PP win the most seats in Albacete in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
  Yes$558 @ 82.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$483 @ 69.0¢
• Will PP win the most seats in Asturias in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
  Yes$464 @ 80.3¢
• Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?Politics
  Yes$458 @ 33.5¢
• Will PSOE win the most seats in Granada in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
  No$403 @ 82.0¢
• Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?—
  Yes$400 @ 15.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$373 @ 29.4¢
• Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Politics
  No$365 @ 74.0¢
• Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?—
  Yes$363 @ 33.1¢
• Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?—
  Yes$351 @ 13.3¢
• Will PP win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
  Yes$334 @ 95.1¢
• Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?—
  No$326 @ 7.5¢
• Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?—
  Yes$325 @ 20.6¢
• Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance—
  Belgium$303 @ 25.2¢
• Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?—
  Yes$302 @ 6.0¢
• Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5—
  Over$299 @ 52.0¢
• Will PP win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
  Yes$283 @ 94.4¢
• Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?—
  No$271 @ 27.1¢
• Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$264 @ 2.5¢
• Belgium snap election called by December 31?Politics
  No$258 @ 59.8¢
• Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg?—
  Yes$243 @ 40.1¢
• Will PP win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
  Yes$243 @ 83.5¢