← Smart money
0xaacb…5aec
SharpEdge
+7.5pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
55% @ 47.4¢
Brier
0.175
Resolved
268
Avg size
$15
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 57% (47/83) | -13% | 83 |
| Politics | 51% (28/55) | +32% | 55 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | -92% | 2 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other83 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (47/83)
- ROI
- -13%
- Politics55 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (28/55)
- ROI
- +32%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -92%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
54% hit · 76/141- Yes$90 @ 71.2¢
- Yes$85 @ 35.9¢
- No$180 @ 90.0¢
- No$2 @ 60.1¢
- Red Wings$1 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
- No$7 @ 52.0¢
- No$8 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 38.6¢
- No$20 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 9.7¢
- No$37 @ 71.5¢
- Flyers$4 @ 50.0¢
- Flyers$10 @ 40.8¢
- Yes$24 @ 66.0¢
- Flyers$1 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 16.2¢
- Panthers$1 @ 40.0¢
- No$41 @ 48.5¢
- Oilers$4 @ 66.0¢
- No$166 @ 43.2¢
- M$13 @ 20.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$141 @ 73.4¢
- Capitals$2 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$101 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$110 @ 62.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
- No$33 @ 88.1¢
- Blues$8 @ 43.4¢
- Golden Knights$1 @ 57.0¢
- Oilers$1 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 80.0¢
- Wild vs. BluesLostWild$6 @ 38.6¢
- Yes$22 @ 14.2¢
- Lightning$2 @ 60.0¢
- Flyers$1 @ 27.0¢
- Bruins$1 @ 63.0¢
- Wild$1 @ 41.0¢
- No$10 @ 1.0¢
- Hurricanes$12 @ 58.5¢
- No$113 @ 49.9¢
- Yes$69 @ 57.2¢
- Yes$31 @ 67.1¢
- No$26 @ 33.8¢
- Avalanche$1 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$233 @ 74.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 24.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$218 @ 71.8¢
- Yes$147 @ 14.7¢
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$130 @ 51.3¢
- Yes$113 @ 70.7¢
- Yes$105 @ 43.9¢
- Yes$74 @ 53.6¢
- No$57 @ 69.9¢
- Yes$36 @ 30.0¢
- No$35 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$6 @ 10.8¢