PoliticsActiveends Nov 1, 2026

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

1.2¢

No

98.8¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 50 tracked sharps

Strong

No 97%Yes 3%

Include 11 outside the consensus pool51 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x17e3…9ba5	No	$87.5k	87.5¢	48×	+22%	84%	Sharp
0xd3ec…6603	No	$13.2k	84.7¢	21×	+26%	81%	Sharp
0xd34b…0004	No	$13.1k	92.2¢	106×	+24%	73%	Sharp
0x264c…baca	No	$6.3k	90.3¢	24×	+13%	56%	Sharp
0xfc04…4f75	No	$6.2k	93.5¢	12×	+25%	71%	Sharp
0x479d…d469	No	$4.5k	83.5¢	5.4×	+14%	85%	Sharp
0x4b30…4b79	No	$3.3k	92.8¢	19×	+19%	84%	Sharp
0x71ab…f015	No	$2.4k	96.3¢	21×	+56%	57%	Sharp
0xe472…e7eb	No	$2.2k	93.6¢	8.1×	+8%	68%	Sharp
0xdf17…97d1	No	$1.9k	94.0¢	16×	+25%	65%	Profitable
0xa092…11e3	No	$1.9k	93.0¢	10.0×	+16%	75%	Sharp
0x43a6…8b32	No	$1.8k	89.7¢	13×	+12%	84%	Sharp
0x9592…a7b8	Yes	$1.6k	13.1¢	21×	+7%	11%	Sharp
0x8a4c…2c4c	No	$1.5k	88.0¢	21×	+40%	68%	Sharp
0x551e…b0e0	Yes	$1.0k	11.6¢	3.4×	+10%	35%	Sharp
0x0403…a7ee	No	$1000	83.3¢	21×	+37%	79%	Sharp
0x058f…4883	No	$943	85.7¢	4.5×	+11%	73%	Sharp
0x9876…1e66	No	$890	89.0¢	3.0×	+10%	82%	Sharp
0x94b0…9d34	No	$859	95.4¢	21×	+18%	39%	Sharp
0x7bb2…682c	Yes	$800	8.0¢	1.8×	+4%	43%	Profitable
0x7272…a67d	No	$790	79.0¢	3.7×	+41%	75%	Sharp
0xa289…d95c	No	$752	94.0¢	3.1×	+10%	66%	Sharp
0xa82b…5220	Yes	$415	6.7¢	4.2×	+28%	41%	Sharp
0xc34a…6007	No	$388	97.1¢	11×	+12%	65%	Sharp
0x0cb1…a76c	No	$344	79.0¢	11×	+20%	37%	Sharp
0xe1b3…1426	Yes	$318	13.2¢	4.2×	+28%	56%	Sharp
0xd5b9…e44e	Yes	$304	21.7¢	3.4×	+24%	50%	Sharp
0x6fa1…1f74	Yes	$246	13.7¢	3.9×	+28%	25%	Sharp
0xe234…304a	Yes	$244	6.5¢	0.8×	+14%	43%	Sharp
0x1c86…c427	No	$184	92.0¢	2.8×	+5%	82%	Sharp
0xcc79…1c2a	Yes	$160	10.7¢	4.3×	+14%	27%	Sharp
0x5af5…5fcc	No	$139	95.0¢	11×	+15%	86%	Sharp
0x3825…04e8	Yes	$137	15.0¢	12×	+8%	59%	Sharp
0x7130…5387	No	$124	96.3¢	22×	+9%	59%	Sharp
0x9b77…53cd	No	$98	96.7¢	18×	+27%	44%	Sharp
0x34af…bd55	No	$97	97.1¢	3.9×	+15%	72%	Sharp
0x738a…5996	Yes	$89	20.0¢	3.6×	+20%	50%	Sharp
0xca97…5409	No	$47	94.0¢	1.9×	+22%	52%	Sharp
0x6bab…0fe5	No	$43	86.0¢	0.2×	+3%	67%	Profitable
0xfd5a…aa7a	Yes	$41	14.4¢	3.2×	+10%	56%	Sharp
0x99f0…649f	Yes	$33	13.6¢	3.8×	+9%	52%	Sharp
0x4e94…d649	Yes	$30	21.5¢	4.9×	+23%	38%	Sharp
0x957a…c0f7	No	$28	93.0¢	0.8×	+37%	87%	Sharp
0x7e0f…708e	No	$25	96.8¢	9.6×	+15%	49%	Profitable
0x2184…00df	Yes	$21	14.0¢	6.9×	+43%	41%	Sharp
0x2aac…dfad	Yes	$20	17.0¢	0.3×	+4%	58%	Profitable
0xc5bd…ceaa	No	$19	94.0¢	0.5×	+21%	49%	Sharp
0xc440…6149	Yes	$16	16.0¢	1.5×	+10%	28%	Sharp
0x371c…c236	Yes	$14	16.0¢	0.8×	+5%	40%	Profitable
0xc34a…6007	Yes	$14	14.0¢	0.4×	+12%	65%	Sharp
0x81e9…1812	Yes	$11	6.0¢	0.5×	+17%	45%	Sharp

0x17e3…9ba5Sharp

No$87.5k @ 87.5¢

Conv: 48×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 84%

0xd3ec…6603Sharp

No$13.2k @ 84.7¢

Conv: 21×
ROI: +26%
Win%: 81%

0xd34b…0004Sharp

No$13.1k @ 92.2¢

Conv: 106×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 73%

0x264c…bacaSharp

No$6.3k @ 90.3¢

Conv: 24×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 56%

0xfc04…4f75Sharp

No$6.2k @ 93.5¢

Conv: 12×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 71%

0x479d…d469Sharp

No$4.5k @ 83.5¢

Conv: 5.4×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 85%

0x4b30…4b79Sharp

No$3.3k @ 92.8¢

Conv: 19×
ROI: +19%
Win%: 84%

0x71ab…f015Sharp

No$2.4k @ 96.3¢

Conv: 21×
ROI: +56%
Win%: 57%

0xe472…e7ebSharp

No$2.2k @ 93.6¢

Conv: 8.1×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 68%

0xdf17…97d1Profitable

No$1.9k @ 94.0¢

Conv: 16×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 65%

0xa092…11e3Sharp

No$1.9k @ 93.0¢

Conv: 10.0×
ROI: +16%
Win%: 75%

0x43a6…8b32Sharp

No$1.8k @ 89.7¢

Conv: 13×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 84%

0x9592…a7b8Sharp

Yes$1.6k @ 13.1¢

Conv: 21×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 11%

0x8a4c…2c4cSharp

No$1.5k @ 88.0¢

Conv: 21×
ROI: +40%
Win%: 68%

0x551e…b0e0Sharp

Yes$1.0k @ 11.6¢

Conv: 3.4×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 35%

0x0403…a7eeSharp

No$1000 @ 83.3¢

Conv: 21×
ROI: +37%
Win%: 79%

0x058f…4883Sharp

No$943 @ 85.7¢

Conv: 4.5×
ROI: +11%
Win%: 73%

0x9876…1e66Sharp

No$890 @ 89.0¢

Conv: 3.0×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 82%

0x94b0…9d34Sharp

No$859 @ 95.4¢

Conv: 21×
ROI: +18%
Win%: 39%

0x7bb2…682cProfitable

Yes$800 @ 8.0¢

Conv: 1.8×
ROI: +4%
Win%: 43%

0x7272…a67dSharp

No$790 @ 79.0¢

Conv: 3.7×
ROI: +41%
Win%: 75%

0xa289…d95cSharp

No$752 @ 94.0¢

Conv: 3.1×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 66%

0xa82b…5220Sharp

Yes$415 @ 6.7¢

Conv: 4.2×
ROI: +28%
Win%: 41%

0xc34a…6007Sharp

No$388 @ 97.1¢

Conv: 11×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 65%

0x0cb1…a76cSharp

No$344 @ 79.0¢

Conv: 11×
ROI: +20%
Win%: 37%

0xe1b3…1426Sharp

Yes$318 @ 13.2¢

Conv: 4.2×
ROI: +28%
Win%: 56%

0xd5b9…e44eSharp

Yes$304 @ 21.7¢

Conv: 3.4×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 50%

0x6fa1…1f74Sharp

Yes$246 @ 13.7¢

Conv: 3.9×
ROI: +28%
Win%: 25%

0xe234…304aSharp

Yes$244 @ 6.5¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 43%

0x1c86…c427Sharp

No$184 @ 92.0¢

Conv: 2.8×
ROI: +5%
Win%: 82%

0xcc79…1c2aSharp

Yes$160 @ 10.7¢

Conv: 4.3×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 27%

0x5af5…5fccSharp

No$139 @ 95.0¢

Conv: 11×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 86%

0x3825…04e8Sharp

Yes$137 @ 15.0¢

Conv: 12×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 59%

0x7130…5387Sharp

No$124 @ 96.3¢

Conv: 22×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 59%

0x9b77…53cdSharp

No$98 @ 96.7¢

Conv: 18×
ROI: +27%
Win%: 44%

0x34af…bd55Sharp

No$97 @ 97.1¢

Conv: 3.9×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 72%

0x738a…5996Sharp

Yes$89 @ 20.0¢

Conv: 3.6×
ROI: +20%
Win%: 50%

0xca97…5409Sharp

No$47 @ 94.0¢

Conv: 1.9×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 52%

0x6bab…0fe5Profitable

No$43 @ 86.0¢

Conv: 0.2×
ROI: +3%
Win%: 67%

0xfd5a…aa7aSharp

Yes$41 @ 14.4¢

Conv: 3.2×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 56%

0x99f0…649fSharp

Yes$33 @ 13.6¢

Conv: 3.8×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 52%

0x4e94…d649Sharp

Yes$30 @ 21.5¢

Conv: 4.9×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 38%

0x957a…c0f7Sharp

No$28 @ 93.0¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +37%
Win%: 87%

0x7e0f…708eProfitable

No$25 @ 96.8¢

Conv: 9.6×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 49%

0x2184…00dfSharp

Yes$21 @ 14.0¢

Conv: 6.9×
ROI: +43%
Win%: 41%

0x2aac…dfadProfitable

Yes$20 @ 17.0¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +4%
Win%: 58%

0xc5bd…ceaaSharp

No$19 @ 94.0¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +21%
Win%: 49%

0xc440…6149Sharp

Yes$16 @ 16.0¢

Conv: 1.5×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 28%

0x371c…c236Profitable

Yes$14 @ 16.0¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +5%
Win%: 40%

0xc34a…6007Sharp

Yes$14 @ 14.0¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 65%

0x81e9…1812Sharp

Yes$11 @ 6.0¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +17%
Win%: 45%