0x551e…b0e0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x551e72eda42a5ab39d6d78239a1d9bbb5db6b0e0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.8pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

35% @ 32.3¢

Brier

0.120

Resolved

3280

Avg size

$299

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	18% (74/420)	-17%	420
Politics	30% (39/128)	+29%	128
Geopolitics	50% (5/10)	-16%	10
Culture	100% (1/1)	+35%	1

Other420 bets
Hit rate
18% (74/420)
ROI
-17%
Politics128 bets
Hit rate
30% (39/128)
ROI
+29%
Geopolitics10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
-16%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+35%

Track record

21% hit · 119/559

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	$8	15.8¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	$100	19.0¢	Lost
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	$5.0k	11.6¢	Lost
Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?	Yes	$42	3.6¢	Lost
Will R win the second most seats in the Norway election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?	Yes	$9.0k	9.8¢	Lost
Will Lee Nak-yon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	Yes	$154	3.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 28 - April 4?	Yes	$64	4.9¢	Lost
Will Cho Kuk win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	Yes	$154	3.0¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$18.7k	45.9¢	Lost
Will the US strike Mexico next?	Yes	$938	9.0¢	Lost
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$26	2.1¢	Lost
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?	No	$156	16.8¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	Yes	$169	15.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?	Yes	$14	5.8¢	Lost
Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Iran strike on Qatar today?	No	$2.6k	60.6¢	Lost
Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$302	5.1¢	Lost
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. GAM	GAM	$4.7k	10.1¢	Lost
Will KrF win the second most seats in the Norway election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?	No	$34	3.6¢	Lost
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. FlyQuest	FlyQuest	$134	6.0¢	Lost
Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	$28	0.5¢	Lost
Will Han Dong-hoon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	Yes	$154	3.0¢	Lost
Will the US strike another country first?	Yes	$918	9.0¢	Lost
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1	T1	$2.1k	29.4¢	Lost
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?	Yes	$127	25.5¢	Lost
Will SV win the second most seats in the Norway election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?	No	$308	24.7¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 450–474 times August 8–August 15?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$25	2.5¢	Lost
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$302	5.1¢	Lost
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	Yes	$9.4k	47.6¢	Lost
Will Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?	Yes	$94	3.5¢	Lost
Will Tomaïno Ndam Njoya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?	Yes	$93	3.5¢	Lost
Israel strike on Iran on June 16?	No	$725	10.1¢	Lost
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$247	5.1¢	Lost
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?	Yes	$70	28.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?	No	$970	18.6¢	Lost
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$26	2.1¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?	Yes	$354	1.2¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 28 - April 4?	Yes	$64	4.9¢	Lost
Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May?	No	$5	63.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.G	Gen.G	$13.8k	32.4¢	Lost
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	$352	9.0¢	Lost
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$25	2.5¢	Lost

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Lost
Yes$8 @ 15.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Lost
No$100 @ 19.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Lost
Yes$5.0k @ 11.6¢
Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?Lost
Yes$42 @ 3.6¢
Will R win the second most seats in the Norway election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?Lost
Yes$9.0k @ 9.8¢
Will Lee Nak-yon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Lost
Yes$154 @ 3.0¢
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 28 - April 4?Lost
Yes$64 @ 4.9¢
Will Cho Kuk win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Lost
Yes$154 @ 3.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$18.7k @ 45.9¢
Will the US strike Mexico next?Lost
Yes$938 @ 9.0¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$26 @ 2.1¢
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?Lost
No$156 @ 16.8¢
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$169 @ 15.0¢
Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?Lost
Yes$14 @ 5.8¢
Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Lost
No$2.6k @ 60.6¢
Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$302 @ 5.1¢
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. GAMLost
GAM$4.7k @ 10.1¢
Will KrF win the second most seats in the Norway election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Lost
No$34 @ 3.6¢
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. FlyQuestLost
FlyQuest$134 @ 6.0¢
Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?Lost
Yes$28 @ 0.5¢
Will Han Dong-hoon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Lost
Yes$154 @ 3.0¢
Will the US strike another country first?Lost
Yes$918 @ 9.0¢
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1Lost
T1$2.1k @ 29.4¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?Lost
Yes$127 @ 25.5¢
Will SV win the second most seats in the Norway election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? Lost
No$308 @ 24.7¢
Will Elon tweet 450–474 times August 8–August 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
Yes$25 @ 2.5¢
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$302 @ 5.1¢
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Lost
Yes$9.4k @ 47.6¢
Will Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$94 @ 3.5¢
Will Tomaïno Ndam Njoya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$93 @ 3.5¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 16?Lost
No$725 @ 10.1¢
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$247 @ 5.1¢
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Lost
Yes$70 @ 28.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?Lost
No$970 @ 18.6¢
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$26 @ 2.1¢
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$354 @ 1.2¢
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 28 - April 4?Lost
Yes$64 @ 4.9¢
Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May?Lost
No$5 @ 63.0¢
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.GLost
Gen.G$13.8k @ 32.4¢
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the US strike Syria next?Lost
Yes$352 @ 9.0¢
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
Yes$25 @ 2.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$13.8k	51.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$10.3k	15.8¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$7.2k	35.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	3.2¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Politics	No	$1.9k	33.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.8k	12.7¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1.7k	17.0¢
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.4k	93.7¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$1.3k	52.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?	Politics	No	$588	73.5¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$491	0.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	Politics	Yes	$384	25.5¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$348	0.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Politics	No	$280	18.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	Politics	Yes	$240	8.2¢
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Politics	No	$232	37.9¢
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$215	0.4¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$13.8k @ 51.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
Yes$10.3k @ 15.8¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$7.2k @ 35.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 3.2¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Politics
No$1.9k @ 33.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1.8k @ 12.7¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1.7k @ 17.0¢
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1.4k @ 93.7¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$1.3k @ 52.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Politics
No$588 @ 73.5¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$491 @ 0.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Politics
Yes$384 @ 25.5¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$348 @ 0.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics
No$280 @ 18.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Politics
Yes$240 @ 8.2¢
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics
No$232 @ 37.9¢
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$215 @ 0.4¢