0x551e…b0e0

Specialization by sphere

• Other182 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (75/182)

  ROI

  +3%

• Politics19 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (9/19)

  ROI

  +48%

• Geopolitics9 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (5/9)

  ROI

  -14%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +35%

• LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 WinnerLost
  Gen.G$351 @ 10.0¢
• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Lost
  No$326 @ 19.0¢
• Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
  No$51.0k @ 80.7¢
• Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
  Yes$386 @ 5.8¢
• Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 78 and 81%?Won
  Yes$2.4k @ 49.5¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?Won
  No$16 @ 89.0¢
• California redistricting referendum passes?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 81.1¢
• Will FrP win the second most seats in the Norway election?Lost
  No$117 @ 8.7¢
• Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Lost
  No$2.7k @ 41.0¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Lost
  Yes$475 @ 19.0¢
• New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?Won
  No$7.6k @ 76.0¢
• Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Won
  Yes$201.6k @ 67.1¢
• Will Quiroga and Rodríguez advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?Lost
  Yes$1.0k @ 4.1¢
• Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?Lost
  Yes$1.3k @ 2.5¢
• Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
  Yes$5.2k @ 23.7¢
• Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Lost
  Yes$135 @ 27.0¢
• LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)Lost
  100 Thieves$14.7k @ 9.3¢
• Democrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election?Won
  Yes$9 @ 7.0¢
• Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Lost
  Yes$6.1k @ 7.7¢
• Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?Lost
  Yes$3.7k @ 11.3¢
• LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)Won
  Anyones Legend$16.2k @ 27.2¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$43.1k @ 86.2¢
• Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?Won
  Yes$1.9k @ 37.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Lost
  No$1.9k @ 29.0¢
• Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
  No$925 @ 37.0¢
• Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Lost
  Yes$260 @ 0.5¢
• 1,550+ Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?Lost
  No$81 @ 35.4¢
• LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.GLost
  Hanwha Life Esports$4.3k @ 28.6¢
• Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Lost
  No$5.2k @ 65.8¢
• Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Won
  Yes$13.3k @ 48.0¢
• Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?Lost
  No$785 @ 22.4¢
• Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Won
  No$878 @ 70.0¢
• LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)Won
  Anyones Legend$12.6k @ 41.3¢
• LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)Lost
  CTBC Flying Oyster$15.9k @ 23.7¢
• LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)Lost
  Top Esports$12.9k @ 56.6¢
• U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Won
  Yes$1.6k @ 45.1¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Won
  No$64 @ 64.0¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 18.6¢
• Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Won
  No$1.2k @ 83.0¢
• Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?Lost
  No$5.6k @ 70.7¢
• Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 3.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Lost
  No$388 @ 31.0¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Won
  No$2.2k @ 31.7¢
• Buccaneers vs. RamsLost
  Buccaneers$13.6k @ 24.0¢
• LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)Won
  Anyones Legend$7.0k @ 32.1¢
• LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)Lost
  Team Secret Whales$2.8k @ 15.3¢
• Will JLP (Jamaica Labour Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?Won
  Yes$377 @ 53.4¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Won
  Yes$216 @ 36.5¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Won
  No$1.6k @ 63.0¢
• Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$23.3k @ 10.7¢

Current positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$15.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$15.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$7.2k @ 35.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
  Yes$5.0k @ 11.6¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 12.7¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?Politics
  Yes$3.1k @ 93.0¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$2.7k @ 3.2¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.6k @ 8.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat?Politics
  No$2.4k @ 94.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?Politics
  Yes$2.3k @ 93.0¢
• Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  No$2.3k @ 40.4¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
  Yes$1.8k @ 14.4¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$1.7k @ 17.0¢
• Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  Yes$1.5k @ 38.9¢
• US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 93.7¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.3k @ 29.3¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 52.9¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 94.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 92.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 15.3¢
• Will the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat?Politics
  No$993 @ 94.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?Politics
  Yes$936 @ 93.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the OH-12 House seat?Politics
  Yes$920 @ 92.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Politics
  No$662 @ 73.5¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat?Politics
  Yes$592 @ 93.9¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$491 @ 0.7¢
• Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat?Politics
  Yes$465 @ 93.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics
  No$463 @ 38.3¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?Politics
  Yes$461 @ 92.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics
  Yes$425 @ 17.0¢