0xa289…d95c

Specialization by sphere

• Other145 bets

  Hit rate

  51% (74/145)

  ROI

  -4%

• Politics29 bets

  Hit rate

  59% (17/29)

  ROI

  +25%

• Sports7 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (3/7)

  ROI

  +257%

• Geopolitics6 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (4/6)

  ROI

  -41%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +64%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +186%

• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
  Yes$2.2k @ 88.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
  Yes$177 @ 16.1¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 3.8¢
• Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?Lost
  Yes$28 @ 35.0¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$280 @ 80.0¢
• US government shutdown by October 1?Won
  Yes$2.5k @ 79.4¢
• Will Ripple hit in $3.00 in December?Won
  No$1.2k @ 77.6¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
  No$176 @ 73.7¢
• Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
  No$2.2k @ 88.9¢
• Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?Won
  Yes$100 @ 78.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$136 @ 17.0¢
• Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Lost
  No$1.2k @ 70.4¢
• Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$4.8k @ 82.6¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$693 @ 63.0¢
• Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?Won
  No$1.0k @ 79.0¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
  No$256 @ 64.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
  Yes$6.9k @ 79.2¢
• Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 89.0¢
• Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Won
  Yes$998 @ 35.0¢
• UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. BahamondesLost
  Bahamondes$44 @ 12.4¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$1.6k @ 80.0¢
• Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?Won
  Yes$70 @ 14.0¢
• Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Won
  No$109 @ 61.0¢
• Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 3.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 88.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$701 @ 23.3¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
  No$5.7k @ 74.6¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$532 @ 26.6¢
• Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 9.5¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Won
  No$8.5k @ 56.6¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Lost
  Yes$790 @ 33.1¢
• Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Lost
  Yes$815 @ 62.4¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Lost
  Yes$90 @ 45.0¢
• Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?Lost
  No$1000 @ 82.7¢
• US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
  No$1.7k @ 86.1¢
• Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
• Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Lost
  No$100 @ 34.2¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$972 @ 81.0¢
• Will Barcelona beat Benfica?Won
  Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$1.2k @ 64.8¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$425 @ 34.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$750 @ 82.3¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Lost
  Yes$1.3k @ 64.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$350 @ 35.0¢
• Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Lost
  No$1.9k @ 4.6¢
• Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Won
  Yes$1.7k @ 87.0¢
• Will Bayern Munich beat Paris Saint-Germain?Won
  Yes$523 @ 68.6¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Lost
  Yes$420 @ 21.0¢
• German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Lost
  No$500 @ 23.4¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$13.9k @ 82.8¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  No$5.0k @ 83.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  Yes$4.5k @ 84.8¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$4.0k @ 64.8¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$3.6k @ 94.0¢
• Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  No$3.3k @ 95.3¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$3.1k @ 90.5¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$2.2k @ 92.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 88.0¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 92.0¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 83.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$1.6k @ 67.5¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$1.4k @ 84.0¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 95.1¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 95.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.0k @ 64.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Politics
  Yes$840 @ 35.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
  No$752 @ 94.0¢
• Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Politics
  No$736 @ 92.0¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$499 @ 23.0¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$462 @ 77.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$384 @ 64.0¢
• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$158 @ 88.0¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
  Yes$114 @ 38.0¢