0x9592…a7b8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9592adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.4pp

ROI

+535%

Win rate

14% @ 3.2¢

Brier

0.107

Resolved

902

Avg size

$37

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	18% (3/17)	+550%	17
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other17 bets
Hit rate
18% (3/17)
ROI
+550%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

15% hit · 3/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$12.2k	7.4¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?	No	$4.3k	3.5¢	Lost
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	$439	45.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?	No	$4	2.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$4	10.6¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$86	0.4¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$15	0.3¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	$19	0.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	$229	16.8¢	Lost
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	No	$13.5k	28.6¢	Won
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	$61	68.6¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$1.9k	4.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	$11	1.8¢	Lost
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$30	3.7¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	Yes	$151	1.6¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	$31	0.2¢	Lost
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?	No	$112	13.0¢	Lost
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	$343	28.2¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	Yes	$86	0.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	$3	1.2¢	Lost

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Won
No$12.2k @ 7.4¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Lost
No$4.3k @ 3.5¢
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Lost
No$439 @ 45.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Lost
No$4 @ 2.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$86 @ 0.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Lost
No$15 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Lost
No$19 @ 0.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Lost
Yes$229 @ 16.8¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Won
No$13.5k @ 28.6¢
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Won
No$61 @ 68.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Lost
No$1.9k @ 4.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.8¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 3.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$151 @ 1.6¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Lost
Yes$31 @ 0.2¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?Lost
No$112 @ 13.0¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Lost
Yes$343 @ 28.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Lost
Yes$86 @ 0.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$55.7k	17.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	—	No	$5.7k	35.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$4.7k	7.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	—	No	$4.6k	5.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	—	No	$2.2k	11.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	—	No	$1.7k	24.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	—	Yes	$1.7k	18.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	—	No	$1.4k	31.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	14.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$1.0k	16.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	—	Yes	$947	17.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	—	Yes	$811	20.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$731	7.3¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$707	8.2¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$648	16.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$636	13.8¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$630	9.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	—	Yes	$548	4.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$449	6.5¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Politics	Yes	$433	22.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	—	Yes	$375	7.5¢
Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	—	Yes	$370	99.1¢
NATO article 5 before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$362	9.1¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$358	6.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$350	2.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$333	37.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	No	$331	16.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$302	15.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$270	27.0¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$265	6.6¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$55.7k @ 17.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?—
No$5.7k @ 35.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$4.7k @ 7.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?—
No$4.6k @ 5.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?—
No$2.2k @ 11.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?—
No$1.7k @ 24.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?—
Yes$1.7k @ 18.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?—
No$1.4k @ 31.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 14.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
Yes$1.0k @ 16.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?—
Yes$947 @ 17.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?—
Yes$811 @ 20.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
Yes$731 @ 7.3¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$707 @ 8.2¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$648 @ 16.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$636 @ 13.8¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
Yes$630 @ 9.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?—
Yes$548 @ 4.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$449 @ 6.5¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics
Yes$433 @ 22.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?—
Yes$375 @ 7.5¢
Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?—
Yes$370 @ 99.1¢
NATO article 5 before 2027?Politics
Yes$362 @ 9.1¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$358 @ 6.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$350 @ 2.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?—
Yes$333 @ 37.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
No$331 @ 16.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$302 @ 15.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$270 @ 27.0¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics
Yes$265 @ 6.6¢