← Smart money
0x0cb1…a76c
SharpEdge
+11.9pp
ROI
+26%
Win rate
38% @ 26.3¢
Brier
0.192
Resolved
3586
Avg size
$30
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (363/808) | +42% | 808 |
| Politics | 38% (41/108) | +4% | 108 |
| Sports | 22% (15/69) | -50% | 69 |
| Geopolitics | 15% (2/13) | -60% | 13 |
| Tech | 30% (3/10) | -26% | 10 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +112% | 2 |
- Other808 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (363/808)
- ROI
- +42%
- Politics108 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (41/108)
- ROI
- +4%
- Sports69 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (15/69)
- ROI
- -50%
- Geopolitics13 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (2/13)
- ROI
- -60%
- Tech10 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (3/10)
- ROI
- -26%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +112%
Track record
42% hit · 425/1010- No$22 @ 12.1¢
- No$21 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$91 @ 62.6¢
- Yes$74 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 21.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 57.0¢
- No$11 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 47.1¢
- No$153 @ 48.7¢
- Yes$20 @ 21.5¢
- No$44 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$21 @ 6.9¢
- No$815 @ 81.5¢
- No$9 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$164 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$59 @ 50.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 20.4¢
- Yes$105 @ 68.1¢
- No$29 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$43 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$11 @ 33.1¢
- Yes$43 @ 8.2¢
- Spurs vs. KnicksLostKnicks$5 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$216 @ 2.6¢
- No$104 @ 14.6¢
- Yes$102 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$193 @ 25.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 10.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?WonYes$226 @ 73.8¢
- Yes$105 @ 46.7¢
- Yes$199 @ 39.8¢
- Yes$11 @ 7.1¢
- Will "Orb: On the Movements of the Earth" win Best Drama Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?LostYes$4 @ 6.4¢
- No$555 @ 55.5¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 23.9¢
- Yes$75 @ 31.4¢
- Yes$18 @ 1.6¢
- Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?LostYes$11 @ 0.9¢
- No$95 @ 60.0¢
- No$310 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 26.9¢
- Yes$51 @ 44.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$40.5k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$40.5k @ 50.0¢
- No$781 @ 78.1¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?PoliticsNo$769 @ 87.2¢
- Yes$733 @ 38.8¢
- No$617 @ 57.3¢
- Yes$608 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$400 @ 29.9¢
- Yes$367 @ 76.0¢
- No$344 @ 79.0¢
- No$266 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$230 @ 11.5¢
- Yes$215 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$210 @ 62.0¢
- No$199 @ 97.9¢
- Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?PoliticsNo$199 @ 97.9¢
- No$198 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$194 @ 10.1¢
- Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?PoliticsNo$181 @ 97.8¢
- No$180 @ 97.8¢
- Yes$168 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$168 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$157 @ 57.0¢
- Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?PoliticsNo$149 @ 97.5¢
- No$148 @ 97.5¢
- No$148 @ 97.6¢
- No$146 @ 97.6¢
- Yes$136 @ 30.0¢
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?PoliticsNo$133 @ 98.3¢
- Yes$130 @ 26.0¢