0x6fa1…1f74

Specialization by sphere

• Other76 bets

  Hit rate

  20% (15/76)

  ROI

  +23%

• Politics8 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (2/8)

  ROI

  -15%

• Crypto8 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (5/8)

  ROI

  +45%

• Tech7 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (3/7)

  ROI

  +25%

• Science7 bets

  Hit rate

  14% (1/7)

  ROI

  -71%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (2/5)

  ROI

  +142%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?Lost
  No$18 @ 59.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?Lost
  No$34 @ 69.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 10?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 16.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 10?Lost
  No$34 @ 67.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?Won
  No$38 @ 64.0¢
• Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Lost
  Yes$76 @ 30.2¢
• MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
• Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 29.0¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Lost
  No$13 @ 21.3¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$388 @ 77.5¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Lost
  Yes$66 @ 44.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Lost
  Yes$95 @ 19.0¢
• Astra removed from public access by September 30?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 2.1¢
• Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Lost
  Yes$969 @ 34.7¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 13.0¢
• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Won
  No$3.3k @ 73.5¢
• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 88.3¢
• Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
  No$707 @ 43.1¢
• Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
  Yes$322 @ 28.6¢
• Will the government shutdown end November 19?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
  No$14 @ 7.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Lost
  No$41 @ 0.9¢
• Will England win on 2026-07-11?Won
  No$25 @ 48.8¢
• Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 49.8¢
• Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
  Yes$230 @ 35.4¢
• Will the government shutdown end November 20?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Lost
  No$48 @ 4.8¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 3.5¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Lost
  Yes$169 @ 20.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 11?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
• San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz BasilashviliWon
  Mili Poljicak$24 @ 48.3¢
• San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz BasilashviliLost
  Nikoloz Basilashvili$33 @ 67.0¢
• Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Won
  Yes$88 @ 11.0¢
• Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Lost
  No$196 @ 10.0¢
• MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?Won
  Yes$70 @ 69.0¢
• Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Lost
  No$234 @ 3.9¢
• Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? Lost
  No$4.0k @ 14.3¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$381 @ 21.5¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$51 @ 50.0¢
• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?Won
  No$386 @ 18.1¢
• Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Lost
  No$23 @ 15.0¢
• Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Won
  No$5.6k @ 63.1¢
• Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Lost
  Yes$2.1k @ 3.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$241 @ 69.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Won
  Yes$189 @ 37.9¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$426 @ 71.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Lost
  Yes$57 @ 3.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on July 11?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
• Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Lost
  No$139 @ 9.2¢

Current positions

• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
  Yes$894 @ 63.8¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech
  Yes$435 @ 87.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
  Yes$246 @ 13.7¢
• Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture
  Yes$217 @ 43.4¢
• Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Culture
  Yes$201 @ 35.7¢
• Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto
  No$193 @ 26.6¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$146 @ 8.1¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
  Yes$114 @ 38.0¢
• Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?Politics
  Yes$92 @ 23.0¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$90 @ 4.5¢
• Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?Politics
  Yes$84 @ 24.0¢
• Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $700k at auction?Culture
  No$83 @ 99.0¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$83 @ 27.5¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$38 @ 19.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$28 @ 11.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 10?Science
  Yes$16 @ 32.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 10?Science
  Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10?Science
  Yes$7 @ 14.0¢
• Astra removed from public access by October 31?Tech
  Yes$1 @ 5.0¢