← Smart money
0xdf17…97d1
SharpEdge
+3.4pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
51% @ 47.1¢
Brier
0.148
Resolved
869
Avg size
$262
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 60% (79/131) | +13% | 131 |
| Other | 53% (10/19) | +34% | 19 |
| Geopolitics | 53% (8/15) | +6% | 15 |
| Sports | 57% (4/7) | +7% | 7 |
| Culture | 100% (7/7) | +25% | 7 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Science | 100% (1/1) | +17% | 1 |
- Politics131 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (79/131)
- ROI
- +13%
- Other19 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (10/19)
- ROI
- +34%
- Geopolitics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (8/15)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +7%
- Culture7 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (7/7)
- ROI
- +25%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +17%
Track record
60% hit · 109/181- No$23 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 1.6¢
- No$25 @ 5.9¢
- No$2.2k @ 7.0¢
- Yes$140 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 5.0¢
- No$5.5k @ 84.4¢
- Yes$63 @ 6.1¢
- Yes$135 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 21.7¢
- Over$26.4k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$87 @ 86.7¢
- No$22.6k @ 84.4¢
- No$2.9k @ 60.2¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 54.6¢
- No$8.4k @ 89.3¢
- Yes$40.5k @ 83.8¢
- Yes$272 @ 31.0¢
- No$3.9k @ 82.9¢
- Yes$17 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 85.7¢
- Yes$26 @ 5.6¢
- Over$15.0k @ 85.6¢
- Yes$187 @ 1.2¢
- Over$46.0k @ 85.9¢
- Yes$77 @ 77.0¢
- No$5.3k @ 25.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$124 @ 1.4¢
- No$4.9k @ 81.2¢
- Yes$612 @ 13.6¢
- No$4 @ 30.2¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 80.7¢
- Yes$16.6k @ 15.9¢
- Yes$28 @ 2.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 89.2¢
- No$5.3k @ 66.1¢
- No$1.1k @ 74.6¢
- Yes$66 @ 4.2¢
- No$681 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 47.2¢
- No$704 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 76.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$162 @ 26.0¢
- No$1 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 2.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$146.7k @ 95.2¢
- No$130.3k @ 99.2¢
- No$47.0k @ 88.0¢
- No$41.0k @ 86.1¢
- Yes$36.8k @ 33.4¢
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$36.4k @ 85.5¢
- No$36.2k @ 92.8¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$32.6k @ 93.2¢
- Yes$31.0k @ 41.5¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?GeopoliticsNo$27.5k @ 91.2¢
- No$24.5k @ 87.8¢
- No$24.0k @ 96.8¢
- No$21.8k @ 92.5¢
- Yes$19.9k @ 54.3¢
- No$19.8k @ 75.0¢
- No$19.2k @ 82.5¢
- Yes$18.0k @ 83.8¢
- No$17.9k @ 89.3¢
- No$16.6k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$16.3k @ 49.3¢
- Yes$16.1k @ 32.5¢
- No$15.6k @ 99.4¢
- No$14.1k @ 90.7¢
- No$12.9k @ 99.2¢
- Yes$12.8k @ 83.1¢
- No$11.4k @ 99.1¢
- No$10.4k @ 91.7¢
- No$9.9k @ 85.8¢
- Yes$8.9k @ 51.3¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?GeopoliticsYes$8.1k @ 56.8¢