← Smart money
0x7e0f…708e
ProfitableEdge
+7.2pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
49% @ 42.1¢
Brier
0.220
Resolved
3414
Avg size
$3
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 41% (60/145) | +25% | 145 |
| Politics | 48% (11/23) | -32% | 23 |
| Sports | 41% (9/22) | -41% | 22 |
| Tech | 20% (2/10) | -77% | 10 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -81% | 4 |
| Economy | 67% (2/3) | +61% | 3 |
- Other145 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (60/145)
- ROI
- +25%
- Politics23 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (11/23)
- ROI
- -32%
- Sports22 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (9/22)
- ROI
- -41%
- Tech10 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (2/10)
- ROI
- -77%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -81%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +61%
Track record
41% hit · 85/207- No$2 @ 89.4¢
- No$25 @ 99.5¢
- Yes$18 @ 76.3¢
- Yes$14 @ 53.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
- Over$1 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- No$70 @ 84.8¢
- No$125 @ 83.9¢
- Over$1 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 77.0¢
- No$10 @ 88.9¢
- No$5 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 26.6¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Weibo Gaming$10 @ 83.4¢
- Yes$64 @ 4.2¢
- No$198 @ 76.5¢
- Yes$24 @ 1.3¢
- No$203 @ 82.7¢
- Yes$115 @ 12.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
- Nottingham Forest FC$5 @ 59.0¢
- No$5 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$259 @ 39.0¢
- No$73 @ 58.4¢
- Natus Vincere$10 @ 41.0¢
- Under$1 @ 70.0¢
- No$50 @ 84.1¢
- No$163 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$25 @ 2.6¢
- No$565 @ 72.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC$4 @ 86.0¢
- No$15 @ 88.7¢
- Karim Bennani$11 @ 23.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
- Chelsea FC$1 @ 29.0¢
- No$53 @ 81.2¢
- Yes$29 @ 48.2¢
- Crystal Palace FC$1 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 29.6¢
- No$249 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 33.5¢
- No$206 @ 82.3¢
- Over$5 @ 63.0¢
- Under$5 @ 38.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$44 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$37 @ 37.5¢
- No$30 @ 84.3¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$30 @ 96.9¢
- Yes$27 @ 27.8¢
- No$25 @ 95.5¢
- No$23 @ 85.7¢
- No$20 @ 97.5¢
- No$15 @ 94.0¢
- No$15 @ 94.0¢
- No$15 @ 94.0¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$15 @ 96.5¢
- Yes$13 @ 21.8¢
- Yes$12 @ 59.0¢
- No$11 @ 97.7¢
- No$11 @ 53.5¢
- No$10 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 79.7¢
- No$10 @ 92.0¢
- No$10 @ 98.1¢
- Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?PoliticsNo$10 @ 83.5¢
- No$10 @ 89.4¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$10 @ 95.8¢
- No$9 @ 88.6¢
- No$9 @ 90.0¢
- No$9 @ 71.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 2.2¢
- No$7 @ 98.3¢
- No$6 @ 93.1¢