← Smart money
0xe472…e7eb
SharpEdge
+2.0pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
68% @ 65.8¢
Brier
0.150
Resolved
3099
Avg size
$276
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 60% (49/82) | +17% | 82 |
| Other | 57% (47/82) | -5% | 82 |
| Geopolitics | 56% (10/18) | +12% | 18 |
| Sports | 36% (4/11) | -44% | 11 |
| Economy | 44% (4/9) | +44% | 9 |
| Tech | 50% (2/4) | +9% | 4 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +2% | 1 |
- Politics82 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (49/82)
- ROI
- +17%
- Other82 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (47/82)
- ROI
- -5%
- Geopolitics18 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (10/18)
- ROI
- +12%
- Sports11 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (4/11)
- ROI
- -44%
- Economy9 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (4/9)
- ROI
- +44%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +9%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +2%
Track record
56% hit · 117/208- No$68 @ 17.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 98.3¢
- No$9.0k @ 99.7¢
- No$635 @ 99.4¢
- No$26.3k @ 99.2¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 98.0¢
- Yes$9.6k @ 96.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$106 @ 52.0¢
- No$49 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
- No$85 @ 85.0¢
- No$164 @ 82.0¢
- No$4.2k @ 84.7¢
- No$688 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$15.4k @ 83.5¢
- No$1.0k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 54.9¢
- Yes$225 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 28.5¢
- No$4.2k @ 83.4¢
- Yes$38 @ 16.0¢
- No$5.1k @ 78.9¢
- Yes$155 @ 81.5¢
- No$46 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$13.1k @ 74.4¢
- No$26.1k @ 82.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 13.1¢
- Yes$530 @ 85.2¢
- Yes$206 @ 36.4¢
- No$25.6k @ 83.0¢
- No$383 @ 85.8¢
- No$352 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$92 @ 11.5¢
- Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
- No$342 @ 85.5¢
- No$314 @ 31.4¢
- No$1.2k @ 83.1¢
- No$4.4k @ 76.5¢
- Yes$69 @ 20.0¢
- No$5.8k @ 82.3¢
- No$2.7k @ 83.4¢
- Yes$52 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 63.4¢
- No$3.2k @ 64.5¢
- Yes$91 @ 13.4¢
- Yes$309 @ 3.0¢
- No$2.9k @ 82.2¢
- Yes$14 @ 35.0¢
- Saint Marys Gaels$12.0k @ 60.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$54.6k @ 80.9¢
- Yes$38.9k @ 82.6¢
- No$21.1k @ 92.9¢
- No$19.4k @ 89.4¢
- No$9.0k @ 91.9¢
- No$8.0k @ 93.5¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 77.3¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 90.5¢
- New pandemic in 2026?GeopoliticsNo$2.7k @ 93.4¢
- No$2.3k @ 84.5¢
- No$2.2k @ 93.6¢
- Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?PoliticsYes$2.2k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 67.3¢
- No$1.9k @ 98.7¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 9.2¢
- No$1.2k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 77.0¢
- No$864 @ 96.0¢
- No$770 @ 70.0¢
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$677 @ 91.0¢
- No$637 @ 91.0¢
- No$491 @ 98.1¢
- No$469 @ 96.5¢
- Yes$452 @ 71.1¢
- No$402 @ 96.6¢
- No$356 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$286 @ 96.0¢
- No$285 @ 95.0¢
- No$149 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$114 @ 57.0¢