0xa092…11e3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa0926fbc4a90e29e479b459ef92a147ebe5b11e3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.5pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

75% @ 59.0¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

3165

Avg size

$186

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	71% (91/129)	+16%	129
Sports	53% (34/64)	+16%	64
Politics	85% (23/27)	+19%	27
Geopolitics	93% (13/14)	+4%	14
Economy	100% (1/1)	+59%	1

Other129 bets
Hit rate
71% (91/129)
ROI
+16%
Sports64 bets
Hit rate
53% (34/64)
ROI
+16%
Politics27 bets
Hit rate
85% (23/27)
ROI
+19%
Geopolitics14 bets
Hit rate
93% (13/14)
ROI
+4%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+59%

Track record

69% hit · 162/235

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$3.0k	20.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$654	72.7¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$4.4k	65.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$10.3k	34.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$10.4k	69.1¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	No	$7.6k	76.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	$2.3k	23.0¢	Lost
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$180	89.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$6.4k	89.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$11.7k	64.1¢	Won
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$5.3k	71.3¢	Won
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?	Yes	$227	75.7¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$375	68.8¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	$1.0k	69.5¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$2.1k	75.5¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$6.0k	57.9¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$1.4k	67.5¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$508	47.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$520	5.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Easter" or "Egg" during Monday news conference?	No	$39	20.3¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$1.9k	84.3¢	Won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Under	$3.7k	78.8¢	Won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Qatar	$1.0k	51.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$3.2k	79.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	$1.6k	52.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$1.4k	47.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$1.7k	78.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$2.3k	73.8¢	Won
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$974	29.7¢	Won
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$3.2k	68.6¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5	Under	$1.4k	83.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 14?	No	$84	89.2¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	No	$515	73.6¢	Lost
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	No	$15.2k	76.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	$291	23.0¢	Lost
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?	Yes	$168	71.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$1.7k	75.6¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$2.3k	79.7¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$344	86.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?	Yes	$100	54.4¢	Won
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	$53	89.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?	Yes	$79	88.0¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	$3.8k	76.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$1.1k	23.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?	Yes	$543	60.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$1.6k	80.5¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$1.3k	82.4¢	Won
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	No	$1.0k	79.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	$506	57.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$5.7k	80.7¢	Won

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 20.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Won
Yes$654 @ 72.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$4.4k @ 65.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$10.3k @ 34.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$10.4k @ 69.1¢
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Won
No$7.6k @ 76.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 23.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$180 @ 89.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$6.4k @ 89.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$11.7k @ 64.1¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
Yes$5.3k @ 71.3¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?Won
Yes$227 @ 75.7¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
No$375 @ 68.8¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 69.5¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$2.1k @ 75.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
Yes$6.0k @ 57.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 67.5¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$508 @ 47.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$520 @ 5.2¢
Will Trump say "Easter" or "Egg" during Monday news conference?Lost
No$39 @ 20.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$1.9k @ 84.3¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Won
Under$3.7k @ 78.8¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Lost
Qatar$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$3.2k @ 79.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$1.6k @ 52.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 47.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$1.7k @ 78.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$2.3k @ 73.8¢
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Over$974 @ 29.7¢
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$3.2k @ 68.6¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Won
Under$1.4k @ 83.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 14?Won
No$84 @ 89.2¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Lost
No$515 @ 73.6¢
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Won
No$15.2k @ 76.0¢
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Lost
Yes$291 @ 23.0¢
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Won
Yes$168 @ 71.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$1.7k @ 75.6¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$2.3k @ 79.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
No$344 @ 86.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Won
Yes$100 @ 54.4¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
No$53 @ 89.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Won
Yes$79 @ 88.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
No$3.8k @ 76.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 23.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?Lost
Yes$543 @ 60.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
No$1.6k @ 80.5¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$1.3k @ 82.4¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Won
No$1.0k @ 79.0¢
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total CornersLost
Over$506 @ 57.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$5.7k @ 80.7¢

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