0x81e9…1812

Specialization by sphere

• Other62 bets

  Hit rate

  48% (30/62)

  ROI

  -3%

• Politics24 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (14/24)

  ROI

  +18%

• Tech5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  +62%

• Crypto3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +127%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +26%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +55%

• Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?Won
  No$30 @ 32.0¢
• Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$21 @ 64.6¢
• Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 0.5¢
• Kings vs. FlamesLost
  Kings$20 @ 61.0¢
• Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
  No$91 @ 87.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$182 @ 81.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.3k @ 25.9¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
  Yes$366 @ 49.4¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 3.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$72 @ 52.8¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 38.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$163 @ 85.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$28 @ 14.4¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$174 @ 78.2¢
• Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Won
  No$176 @ 88.0¢
• Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 3.2¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
  No$182 @ 72.0¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
  No$85 @ 85.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$78 @ 81.0¢
• Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
  Yes$12 @ 22.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$2.5k @ 28.5¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.3k @ 51.4¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 6.0¢
• Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
  No$52 @ 87.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$176 @ 86.4¢
• Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$4 @ 76.0¢
• Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
  Yes$127 @ 55.2¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
  No$294 @ 34.3¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
  Yes$150 @ 46.0¢
• Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Won
  Yes$23 @ 68.0¢
• Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Lost
  Yes$48 @ 82.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 40.8¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?Won
  Yes$119 @ 88.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 49.7¢
• Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?Won
  Yes$46 @ 69.0¢
• Will Trump visit China by May 15?Won
  Yes$167 @ 76.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 9.0¢
• Will Trump say "Too Late" or "Fed" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Won
  Yes$4 @ 79.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
  No$363 @ 25.7¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
  Yes$248 @ 55.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Won
  Yes$17 @ 34.0¢
• Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Lost
  Yes$51 @ 2.1¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
  Yes$258 @ 41.7¢
• LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonWon
  Ici Japon Corp. Esport$3 @ 52.0¢
• Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 39.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 34.8¢

Current positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 35.5¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Crypto
  No$438 @ 87.5¢
• Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics
  No$364 @ 35.2¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$348 @ 70.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  No$302 @ 92.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Other
  No$265 @ 80.6¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
  No$240 @ 93.3¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$221 @ 70.6¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$165 @ 67.0¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
  Yes$125 @ 14.0¢
• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
  Yes$104 @ 77.0¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$77 @ 90.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Politics
  Yes$71 @ 43.3¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$60 @ 96.2¢
• Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports
  Yes$52 @ 62.4¢
• Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Politics
  Yes$50 @ 40.6¢
• Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics
  No$44 @ 69.0¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
  Yes$27 @ 9.7¢
• Ebola case in the US by June 30?Science
  Yes$23 @ 26.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$19 @ 68.0¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics
  Yes$15 @ 3.4¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics
  Yes$4 @ 1.6¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
• 100kt meteor strike in 2026?Tech
  Yes$1 @ 6.0¢