0x17e3…9ba5

Specialization by sphere

• Politics3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +26%

• Other3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +17%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +25%

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
  No$27.0k @ 81.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$100.0k @ 78.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
  No$64.7k @ 84.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Won
  No$228 @ 87.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Lost
  Yes$817 @ 15.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
  No$926 @ 86.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
  No$124.4k @ 78.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Won
  No$19.1k @ 89.2¢

Current positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
  No$81.8k @ 90.9¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
  No$59.7k @ 85.2¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$38.8k @ 96.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
  No$20.0k @ 80.0¢
• Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Geopolitics
  No$736 @ 98.1¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Economy
  Yes$421 @ 60.9¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy
  No$410 @ 83.2¢
• Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Geopolitics
  No$363 @ 98.1¢
• Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Geopolitics
  No$357 @ 99.1¢
• Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Geopolitics
  No$352 @ 43.5¢
• Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Geopolitics
  No$298 @ 70.4¢
• Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Geopolitics
  No$40 @ 9.1¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy
  Yes$31 @ 11.3¢
• Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Geopolitics
  Yes$28 @ 5.7¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy
  Yes$27 @ 11.7¢
• Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Geopolitics
  Yes$25 @ 5.9¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy
  Yes$17 @ 30.0¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?Economy
  Yes$8 @ 6.5¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?Economy
  Yes$6 @ 8.0¢