0x957a…c0f7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x957a56902495ede0f4e1ec592a6417208c57c0f7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+28.6pp

ROI

+37%

Win rate

87% @ 58.7¢

Brier

0.190

Resolved

Avg size

$34

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	70% (14/20)	+42%	20
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+23%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other20 bets
Hit rate
70% (14/20)
ROI
+42%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

68% hit · 15/22

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?	No	$426	85.1¢	Won
Will Republicans control 228 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?	Yes	$10	42.0¢	Won
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$30	58.3¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?	Yes	$161	32.9¢	Won
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?	No	$58	32.0¢	Won
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?	Yes	$126	69.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$66	9.3¢	Lost
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?	Yes	$20	57.0¢	Won
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?	No	$26	85.0¢	Won
Will XRP reach $3.50 in March?	No	$30	83.0¢	Won
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	$44	44.0¢	Lost
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House	Yes	$30	48.3¢	Won
Yoon arrested by Friday?	No	$20	83.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?	Yes	$30	51.0¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$50	43.8¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in his first 100 days?	No	$10	26.4¢	Won
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	$50	78.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$945	66.1¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris win Hawaii by the largest margin?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?	No	$10	62.0¢	Won
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	$272	81.1¢	Won

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?Won
No$426 @ 85.1¢
Will Republicans control 228 seats in the House after the election?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Won
Yes$10 @ 42.0¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Lost
Yes$30 @ 58.3¢
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?Won
Yes$161 @ 32.9¢
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?Won
No$58 @ 32.0¢
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?Lost
Yes$126 @ 69.0¢
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
Yes$66 @ 9.3¢
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?Won
Yes$20 @ 57.0¢
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?Won
No$26 @ 85.0¢
Will XRP reach $3.50 in March?Won
No$30 @ 83.0¢
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Lost
No$44 @ 44.0¢
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseWon
Yes$30 @ 48.3¢
Yoon arrested by Friday?Won
No$20 @ 83.0¢
Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?Won
Yes$30 @ 51.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$50 @ 43.8¢
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in his first 100 days?Won
No$10 @ 26.4¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Won
No$50 @ 78.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$945 @ 66.1¢
Will Kamala Harris win Hawaii by the largest margin?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 62.0¢
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Won
No$272 @ 81.1¢

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